Realized P&L
+$31
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
93.4%
Resolved
237
Trades
746
lifetime
Volume
$5.90K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$209
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 15:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 104 days
Categories
Crypto
53% 90% +$9
Politics
35% 83% +$1
Other
11% 100% +$19
Sports
1% 67% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +94 $92 99¢ $93 +$1 10-22 15:15
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 November 2-8? No +50 $49 100¢ $50 +$1 11-05 09:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +25 $20 88¢ $22 +$1 10-18 17:36
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -15 -$14 98¢ $-15 $0 08-26 10:14
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +12 $8 97¢ $12 +$4 11-05 09:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 09-28 08:32
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +5 $2 100¢ $5 +$3 10-22 10:30
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +6 $4 76¢ $5 +$1 11-04 11:02
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +12 $5 18¢ $2 -$3 07-24 14:11
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +40 $4 4¢ $1 -$3 10-26 09:21