Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$672

Unrealized P&L

-$68

Hit rate

68.5%

Resolved

628

Trades

1,564

lifetime

Volume

$18.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$177

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-31 19:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 117 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 47% -$333

Other

8% 20% -$597

Politics

3% 24% +$264

Sports

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+11,258	$184	1¢	$129	-$54	10-28 12:41
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	+681	$29	2¢	$14	-$15	09-09 13:06
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	+1,173	$15	1¢	$10	-$5	10-23 20:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+32	$5	18¢	$6	+$1	10-31 19:22
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+502	-$16	1¢	$5	+$21	10-26 09:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+50	$10	11¢	$5	-$5	09-09 15:13
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	+42	$8	7¢	$3	-$5	10-26 07:55
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	+71	$5	4¢	$3	-$2	09-13 14:00
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+335	$5	1¢	$2	-$3	09-21 18:50
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	-1	$0	4¢	$-0	+$0	08-21 21:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 21:00 UTC	8	$744	689	590	+99	Up	-$6	08-25 21:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 20:30 UTC	10	$474	482	475	+7	Up	+$46	03-13 20:45
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	17	$414	1,526	1,526	+0	No	-$268	03-29 23:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 15:15 UTC	6	$402	476	469	+7	Up	+$25	03-14 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 12:10 UTC	2	$348	250	250	+0	Up	+$48	08-25 12:11
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	34	$339	6,918	4,885	+2,033	No	-$94	03-30 02:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 22:30 UTC	2	$324	292	287	+5	Down	+$37	03-10 22:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 11:15 UTC	2	$319	260	260	+0	Up	+$19	08-25 11:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 10:30 UTC	2	$312	338	338	+0	Up	+$12	08-25 10:33
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	10	$310	10,665	10,163	+502	open	—	10-26 09:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 15:50 UTC	1	$300	341	0	+341	Down	+$41	08-24 15:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 00:30 UTC	4	$262	194	192	+2	Up	+$13	03-12 00:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 22:00 UTC	2	$230	210	207	+3	Down	+$69	03-10 22:05
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	4	$219	400	200	+200	Yes	+$125	02-13 22:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 06:30 UTC	2	$200	100	100	+0	Down	+$0	03-12 06:45
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	6	$198	12,106	847	+11,258	open	—	10-28 12:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 23:45 UTC	2	$194	169	166	+3	Down	+$13	03-11 23:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 22:45 UTC	2	$189	462	258	+204	Up	-$163	03-10 22:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 23:30 UTC	4	$185	215	213	+2	Down	+$62	03-11 23:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 19?	7	$171	387	284	+103	Yes	+$117	09-19 11:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 09:15 UTC	5	$171	204	201	+3	Up	+$32	03-13 09:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 06:45 UTC	2	$170	134	134	+0	Up	+$20	08-28 06:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 22:10 UTC	2	$161	112	112	+0	Up	+$11	08-25 22:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 20:45 UTC	2	$161	234	166	+68	Down	-$139	08-25 20:53
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	5	$149	5,743	1,436	+4,307	No	-$127	01-26 10:01
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 23:45 UTC	4	$147	150	148	+2	Down	+$41	03-20 23:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 07:15 UTC	6	$145	311	309	+2	Down	+$9	03-14 07:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 21:15 UTC	4	$145	182	180	+2	Down	+$11	03-10 21:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 21:00 UTC	4	$143	225	223	+3	Down	-$1	03-10 21:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 20:45 UTC	6	$139	251	226	+25	Up	+$11	03-13 20:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 19:22:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa975a1…
10-31 19:22:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x6b2afb…
10-31 19:21:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 1?	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xc0d7d6…
10-31 19:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x6c3202…
10-31 19:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x71e7c4…
10-31 16:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3f9b53…
10-30 21:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xfc7e7f…
10-30 20:48:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 31?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc77bc5…
10-30 20:47:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 31?	No	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0xb64080…
10-30 20:47:19	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on October 31?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x96da62…
10-30 17:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5c2fff…
10-30 17:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x882bb0…
10-30 17:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa4e418…
10-30 16:09:42	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0ad499…
10-30 16:09:12	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9ce5fd…
10-30 16:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0xb2fb2d…
10-30 16:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xc14d37…
10-30 16:01:54	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	16¢	$5	0x9cce98…
10-30 15:56:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x0a16af…
10-30 15:46:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x80d22f…
10-30 14:15:10	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on October 30?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe7c3d1…
10-29 22:00:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xab26cf…
10-29 21:55:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x84c6c4…
10-29 21:54:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0acdd3…
10-29 21:49:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	700	1¢	$7	0x574637…
10-29 21:47:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x042251…
10-29 21:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x006053…
10-29 21:41:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xea6025…
10-29 21:40:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 30?	No	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xf9888c…
10-29 21:40:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x1c6207…
10-29 21:39:16	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8dc15e…
10-29 21:38:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 30?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x28ef5a…
10-29 21:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf8b3f4…
10-28 12:49:17	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on October 28?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7cecdd…
10-28 12:42:19	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 28?	No	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xeec4ee…
10-28 12:41:53	Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	847	1¢	$7	0x2cab70…
10-26 09:14:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xdd8190…
10-26 09:14:35	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	89	1¢	$1	0x639b99…
10-26 07:55:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 26?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xd611a0…
10-26 07:55:15	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0xb39963…
10-26 07:35:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 26?	No	BUY	167	1¢	$2	0x2e8f48…
10-26 07:35:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 26?	No	BUY	24	29¢	$7	0xffdcc3…
10-25 04:41:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 25?	No	BUY	91	2¢	$2	0x316764…
10-24 19:16:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 25?	No	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x69b42b…
10-24 17:45:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 25?	No	BUY	77	4¢	$3	0x58333e…
10-24 17:34:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	818	0¢	$3	0x6b0534…
10-24 17:34:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 25?	No	BUY	112	2¢	$2	0xf54473…
10-24 08:17:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 24?	No	BUY	154	1¢	$2	0xe2f84e…
10-24 08:16:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on October 24?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x53aac5…
10-24 08:15:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	1,757	0¢	$2	0xc6c591…
10-24 08:15:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 24?	No	BUY	435	0¢	$2	0xb97369…
10-24 08:15:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 24?	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xbfddec…
10-24 08:14:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 24?	No	BUY	1,503	0¢	$5	0x424671…
10-24 08:13:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	255	1¢	$2	0x4d37ab…
10-23 20:40:41	Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	164	6¢	$10	0x1f8c83…
10-23 20:17:38	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	1,173	1¢	$15	0x513a73…
10-14 18:16:57	will trump say ammunition this week 20261011	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x307f2c…
10-14 14:33:40	will trump say ammunition this week 20261011	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xfdd933…
10-14 10:41:22	will trump say ammunition this week 20261011	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6371f2…
10-14 08:48:44	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x25d0f4…
10-14 07:29:28	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0x479fed…
10-13 20:35:36	will trump say japan during his midterm rally in alaska october 13	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x53b991…
10-13 14:47:25	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:45 UTC	Down	SELL	8	43¢	$3	0xb267a1…
10-13 14:46:19	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xb1caec…
10-13 14:16:08	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x2fbe8a…
10-13 09:00:16	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x9487d3…
10-13 08:57:14	BNB Up or Down - October 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x8013d7…
10-13 08:50:38	BNB Up or Down - October 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xeff0a0…
10-13 08:50:14	BNB Up or Down - October 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8443b7…
10-10 07:08:04	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x295837…
10-09 21:35:19	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xe78db2…
10-09 21:16:44	Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,400	1¢	$51	0x563bb2…
10-09 21:14:55	Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?	Yes	SELL	114	0¢	$0	0x29ccb2…
10-07 09:49:26	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xc69dde…
10-06 12:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd7716a…
09-28 18:11:20	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x464d5c…
09-28 12:46:48	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xbc3966…
09-27 15:23:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 15:20 UTC	Down	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x078901…
09-27 15:22:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa323ad…
09-27 15:22:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 15:20 UTC	Down	SELL	21	14¢	$3	0xc54aa5…
09-27 15:21:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4d21f6…
09-27 15:21:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x68cbeb…
09-27 12:30:35	Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xd8537b…
09-27 12:26:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xcc1ef8…
09-27 12:25:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xf35312…
09-27 09:45:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on September 27?	Yes	BUY	84	4¢	$3	0xc5b247…
09-27 07:55:15	Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?	Yes	SELL	414	2¢	$10	0x807b44…
09-27 07:53:33	Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?	Yes	BUY	65	3¢	$2	0x0692f4…
09-22 21:47:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on September 24?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf7bb4f…
09-21 20:30:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xfd2bfc…
09-21 20:29:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x909841…
09-21 20:27:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 20:25 UTC	Up	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0x820a90…
09-21 20:25:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x29c746…
09-21 18:50:57	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	335	1¢	$5	0x3e41c0…
09-21 15:08:13	Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?	Yes	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0x955d84…
09-21 15:07:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on September 21?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0xf1dcb7…
09-21 15:07:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on September 21?	Yes	SELL	41	50¢	$20	0x37de07…
09-21 14:25:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	46	44¢	$20	0x12845c…
09-21 12:01:53	Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?	Yes	BUY	57	3¢	$2	0xe9b827…
09-21 12:01:44	Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x849d11…