Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 4?
open
Total volume
$3,209
$60 in 24h
Trades
52
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$37,706
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-10-28
last 10-31 00:20
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-29.1¢
(top1%: 4% YES on $2.0K
vs crowd: 33% YES on $3.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $81 | $1.9K | $1.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $1 | $124 | $123 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $947 | $38 | +$910 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $23 | $24 | $1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | $81 | $1.9K | $1.9K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $35 | $35 |
| Median | 3 | $9 | $9 | +$0 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $13 | $24 | $10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $947 | — | +$947 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $1 | $119 | $118 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | +2,857 | $1,909 | $1,909 | 4 | 10-29 14:42 |
| Growing-Unibody 0x0e26…d46c | Yes | +2,810 | $927 | $927 | 1 | 10-29 02:04 |
| Celebrated-Plain 0x6fd0…a85b | Yes | +218 | $66 | $66 | 7 | 10-30 12:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xe419…8aed | No | +160 | $112 | $112 | 4 | 10-29 12:33 |
| Flamboyant-Uniform 0x3885…ca77 | Yes | +48 | $13 | $13 | 5 | 10-30 04:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xa6d1…bd47 | No | +34 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 10-30 12:31 |
| Flamboyant-Uniform 0x3885…ca77 | No | +30 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-29 16:06 |
| Deficient-Pineapple 0x6a43…a472 | Yes | +30 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 10-29 14:38 |
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 10-31 00:20 |
| Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | +12 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 10-28 16:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x3e5c…d31e | Yes | +12 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-28 20:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xf89e…e1bb | No | +11 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-30 04:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 10-30 11:10 |
| Scholarly-Curd 0xe935…3991 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 10-29 14:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x5eaf…ea07 | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-29 14:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | No | +10 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 10-29 16:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x9a48…ba21 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-30 07:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x88d8…7234 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-28 20:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-30 07:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 00:20:28 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xb5b3d1… |
| 10-31 00:20:28 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xb5b3d1… |
| 10-30 12:31:52 | Celebrated-Plain 0x6fd0…a85b | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xbe7fb5… |
| 10-30 12:31:52 | (anonymous) 0xa6d1…bd47 | No | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0xbe7fb5… |
| 10-30 11:10:30 | (anonymous) 0xa6d1…bd47 | No | BUY | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0x1b88a9… |
| 10-30 11:10:30 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x1b88a9… |
| 10-30 11:10:30 | Celebrated-Plain 0x6fd0…a85b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x1b88a9… |
| 10-30 09:01:45 | (anonymous) 0xa6d1…bd47 | No | BUY | 11 | 87¢ | $10 | 0x02c91b… |
| 10-30 09:01:45 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x02c91b… |
| 10-30 09:01:45 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x02c91b… |
| 10-30 07:51:24 | (anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394 | No | BUY | 3 | 84¢ | $3 | 0x7805b4… |
| 10-30 07:51:24 | (anonymous) 0x9a48…ba21 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x7805b4… |
| 10-30 07:51:24 | (anonymous) 0x658d…6e08 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x7805b4… |
| 10-30 04:17:07 | (anonymous) 0xf89e…e1bb | No | BUY | 11 | 85¢ | $9 | 0x05d223… |
| 10-30 04:17:07 | Flamboyant-Uniform 0x3885…ca77 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x05d223… |
| 10-29 17:25:52 | Whole-Study-Originality 0xfb75…d717 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 38¢ | $15 | 0x11ce01… |
| 10-29 17:25:52 | Celebrated-Plain 0x6fd0…a85b | Yes | BUY | 40 | 38¢ | $15 | 0x11ce01… |
| 10-29 16:06:23 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | No | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x5a4964… |
| 10-29 16:06:23 | Flamboyant-Uniform 0x3885…ca77 | No | BUY | 30 | 50¢ | $15 | 0x5a4964… |
| 10-29 16:06:23 | Whole-Study-Originality 0xfb75…d717 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 50¢ | $20 | 0x5a4964… |
| 10-29 14:42:43 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 7 | 56¢ | $4 | 0x5c84b1… |
| 10-29 14:42:43 | (anonymous) 0xfda1…416c | No | SELL | 7 | 56¢ | $4 | 0x5c84b1… |
| 10-29 14:41:10 | Deficient-Pineapple 0x6a43…a472 | No | SELL | 20 | 56¢ | $11 | 0xb2b192… |
| 10-29 14:41:10 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 20 | 56¢ | $11 | 0xb2b192… |
| 10-29 14:38:14 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 20 | 55¢ | $11 | 0x6fcd88… |
| 10-29 14:38:14 | Deficient-Pineapple 0x6a43…a472 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 45¢ | $13 | 0x6fcd88… |
| 10-29 14:38:14 | (anonymous) 0x5eaf…ea07 | No | BUY | 10 | 56¢ | $6 | 0x6fcd88… |
| 10-29 14:33:50 | Flamboyant-Uniform 0x3885…ca77 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x5870d6… |
| 10-29 14:33:50 | Scholarly-Curd 0xe935…3991 | No | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x5870d6… |
| 10-29 14:32:55 | Flamboyant-Uniform 0x3885…ca77 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x214bdc… |
| 10-29 14:32:55 | Scholarly-Curd 0xe935…3991 | No | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x214bdc… |
| 10-29 12:33:55 | (anonymous) 0xe419…8aed | No | BUY | 40 | 70¢ | $28 | 0xa5c744… |
| 10-29 12:33:55 | Celebrated-Plain 0x6fd0…a85b | Yes | BUY | 40 | 30¢ | $12 | 0xa5c744… |
| 10-29 12:33:41 | Celebrated-Plain 0x6fd0…a85b | Yes | BUY | 40 | 30¢ | $12 | 0x47ed73… |
| 10-29 12:33:41 | (anonymous) 0xe419…8aed | No | BUY | 40 | 70¢ | $28 | 0x47ed73… |
| 10-29 12:33:40 | Celebrated-Plain 0x6fd0…a85b | Yes | BUY | 40 | 30¢ | $12 | 0x357a6d… |
| 10-29 12:33:40 | (anonymous) 0xe419…8aed | No | BUY | 40 | 70¢ | $28 | 0x357a6d… |
| 10-29 12:33:07 | Celebrated-Plain 0x6fd0…a85b | Yes | BUY | 40 | 31¢ | $12 | 0x95f346… |
| 10-29 12:33:07 | (anonymous) 0xe419…8aed | No | BUY | 40 | 69¢ | $28 | 0x95f346… |
| 10-29 08:11:19 | Deficient-Pineapple 0x6a43…a472 | No | BUY | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0x798f38… |
| 10-29 08:11:19 | Flamboyant-Uniform 0x3885…ca77 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0x798f38… |
| 10-29 04:46:53 | (anonymous) 0xfda1…416c | No | BUY | 7 | 71¢ | $5 | 0x125877… |
| 10-29 04:46:53 | Flamboyant-Uniform 0x3885…ca77 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x125877… |
| 10-29 02:04:40 | Growing-Unibody 0x0e26…d46c | Yes | BUY | 2,810 | 33¢ | $927 | 0x47fb4d… |
| 10-29 02:04:40 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 2,810 | 67¢ | $1,883 | 0x47fb4d… |
| 10-28 20:59:56 | (anonymous) 0x658d…6e08 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 42¢ | $3 | 0x284bd1… |
| 10-28 20:59:56 | (anonymous) 0x88d8…7234 | No | BUY | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0x284bd1… |
| 10-28 20:59:56 | (anonymous) 0x3e5c…d31e | Yes | BUY | 12 | 42¢ | $5 | 0x284bd1… |
| 10-28 16:56:11 | (anonymous) 0x658d…6e08 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x094db7… |
| 10-28 16:56:11 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | BUY | 6 | 63¢ | $4 | 0x094db7… |
| 10-28 16:46:35 | (anonymous) 0x658d…6e08 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xf450c1… |
| 10-28 16:46:35 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | BUY | 6 | 66¢ | $4 | 0xf450c1… |