Graceful-Street — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.0%

Resolved

Trades

664

lifetime

Volume

$2.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 07:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

64% 91% +$4

Crypto

23% — —

Tech

7% — —

Politics

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will nvda reach 208 in february	6	$97	56	56	+0	open	—	02-26 16:28
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$89	43	53	-10	open	—	06-24 00:16
deepseek v4 released by april 24	8	$85	50	50	+0	open	—	04-24 04:47
will spy reach 770 in june 2026	3	$78	60	20	+40	open	—	06-27 04:15
will gold gc hit high 5100 by end of january 412 277 258 652	3	$69	35	35	+0	open	—	01-28 17:15
gc hit 5000 high jan 2026 374 153 895 849	3	$67	34	34	+0	open	—	01-27 07:41
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	5	$64	30	100	-70	open	—	06-14 14:13
deepseek v4 released by april 7	3	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	04-08 04:40
will xauusd reach 4700 in june 2026	6	$50	26	26	+0	open	—	06-23 07:11
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	8	$46	25	25	+0	open	—	07-30 07:47
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$42	31	11	+20	open	—	04-24 07:21
nvda above 210 on january 30 2026	2	$42	23	23	+0	open	—	01-20 15:24
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	7	$31	21	21	+0	open	—	07-30 07:48
will spy reach 800 in july 2026	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	07-11 15:25
bitcoin above 78k on april 19	3	$30	20	10	+10	open	—	04-19 13:06
spx opens up or down on april 2 2026	3	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	04-02 15:23
will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	5	$29	16	16	+0	open	—	07-10 06:17
si above 90 jan 2026	3	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	01-28 15:14
bitcoin above 78k on april 17	3	$27	15	15	+0	open	—	04-17 14:03
will spy reach 780 in july 2026	4	$27	15	15	+0	open	—	07-14 16:48
will nvda reach 220 in february	3	$25	14	14	+0	open	—	02-13 08:57
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	13	$24	70	70	+0	open	—	04-24 04:46
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	6	$24	23	28	-5	open	—	06-15 07:08
will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 343 693 775 861 153	2	$24	13	13	+0	open	—	02-02 08:40
will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	3	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	07-12 17:11
nvda above 200 on february 27 2026	4	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	02-27 15:12
bitcoin above 78k on april 18	4	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	04-18 16:40
will gold gc hit high 5200 by end of january 343 743 428	4	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	01-29 02:02
will gold gc hit high 5600 by end of march	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	03-13 17:39
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	4	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-14 13:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 07:58:00	btc updown 5m 1786434900	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xbb0ea4…
08-11 07:37:01	btc updown 5m 1786433700	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x794dda…
08-11 07:28:09	btc updown 5m 1786433100	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x526c97…
08-11 07:18:37	btc updown 5m 1786432500	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x153f27…
08-11 07:12:48	btc updown 5m 1786432200	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x52509a…
08-10 12:45:57	bitcoin above 66k on august 10 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9c27c2…
08-10 01:53:01	will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x0b98ed…
08-09 15:35:49	will xauusd dip to 4000 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0xc7648e…
08-09 06:13:19	will spy reach 800 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x41b1c1…
08-08 05:59:52	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xac8228…
08-08 05:57:42	will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x5be981…
08-08 05:57:22	will xauusd dip to 4000 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x19801c…
08-08 05:45:22	will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x9f84ca…
08-08 05:45:13	will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x05e382…
08-07 06:16:48	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x589735…
08-06 09:47:26	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x47179b…
08-05 17:04:03	btc updown 5m 1785949200	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb83f9e…
08-05 17:03:05	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6f8033…
08-05 05:55:27	bitcoin above 68k on august 6 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xdca6d0…
08-05 05:55:14	bitcoin above 66k on august 6 2026	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x3057be…
08-04 17:05:35	bitcoin above 68k on august 5 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9ba17b…
08-04 17:04:56	bitcoin above 66k on august 5 2026	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x333fad…
08-04 04:57:56	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x8f52de…
08-04 04:57:42	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	SELL	3	46¢	$2	0x6ddebc…
08-04 01:55:35	bitcoin above 66k on august 4 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0a25d3…
08-03 09:10:29	bitcoin above 64k on august 4 2026	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xb98234…
08-01 17:02:57	will bitcoin reach 75k in august 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x01d557…
08-01 17:02:50	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x317fc3…
08-01 17:02:35	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xc705eb…
07-31 16:56:32	spx up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x09457e…
07-31 16:51:14	btc updown 5m 1785516600	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xfd5a09…
07-31 16:46:33	btc updown 5m 1785516300	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7faec0…
07-31 16:44:50	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xbbfe36…
07-31 16:43:09	btc updown 5m 1785516000	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xfd41d5…
07-31 13:59:12	bitcoin up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x16a917…
07-31 13:56:59	bitcoin above 66k on july 31 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x582758…
07-31 10:14:24	will bitcoin reach 66k july 27 august 2 2026	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x138020…
07-31 06:50:02	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xb3c392…
07-30 07:51:45	will bitcoin reach 68k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x98a0e0…
07-30 07:51:35	will bitcoin reach 66k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x2f0b28…
07-30 07:49:08	bitcoin above 66k on july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9d13e4…
07-30 07:48:56	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x4a54aa…
07-30 07:47:27	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x8e632c…
07-27 07:48:58	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xac31d9…
07-26 02:45:16	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7fef26…
07-26 02:45:00	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x6bd660…
07-26 02:44:21	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x55060c…
07-25 00:36:07	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0x843042…
07-23 15:23:12	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x529c2c…
07-23 14:12:30	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x33de02…
07-22 01:40:58	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf80add…
07-22 01:40:37	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	Yes	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x064636…
07-20 14:56:10	btc updown 4h 1784548800	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xfd7bf7…
07-20 14:55:22	bitcoin up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa0047a…
07-20 14:54:37	bitcoin above 66k on july 20 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x91a741…
07-20 12:35:06	bitcoin above 66k on july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5f38e3…
07-20 12:33:51	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x3feeb8…
07-20 12:33:21	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 14 20	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x37f60d…
07-19 21:10:12	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x2e4352…
07-18 04:52:37	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe68709…
07-18 04:51:57	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x963571…
07-18 04:51:45	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xf6b968…
07-18 04:49:27	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9c48d2…
07-18 04:49:12	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x8be6d3…
07-17 05:59:34	bitcoin above 62k on july 17 2026	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe55d43…
07-17 05:58:43	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0xad70ba…
07-17 04:00:13	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2162f7…
07-17 03:12:25	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xc5dff2…
07-17 02:42:46	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	SELL	11	87¢	$9	0x2238dc…
07-16 23:57:34	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x9b8ef4…
07-16 14:46:47	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xd40edb…
07-16 14:12:46	will nvda reach 240 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x99e35c…
07-16 07:18:25	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 14 20	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x5d7ba1…
07-16 07:17:53	bitcoin above 66k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x886ffa…
07-14 17:46:19	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	No	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xed5e32…
07-14 17:45:37	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	No	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x676977…
07-14 17:17:01	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x19b6b7…
07-14 16:49:07	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	No	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x524c0a…
07-14 16:48:34	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x07a302…
07-14 16:48:20	will spy reach 780 in july 2026	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xd806aa…
07-14 11:11:32	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x540e03…
07-13 16:35:43	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0x0c4137…
07-13 04:02:49	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xe57c91…
07-12 17:17:40	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x444b06…
07-12 17:13:11	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xa75dea…
07-12 17:11:28	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	No	SELL	12	98¢	$11	0xd372a9…
07-12 13:49:29	btc updown 5m 1783863900	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6e65a6…
07-12 09:37:43	btc updown 5m 1783848900	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x0d7589…
07-12 09:21:20	btc updown 5m 1783848000	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xa0a40d…
07-12 09:03:47	btc updown 5m 1783846800	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x7c56d5…
07-12 08:54:13	btc updown 5m 1783846200	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xf6cf9d…
07-12 07:26:53	btc updown 5m 1783841100	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x8b9d72…
07-12 07:24:20	eth updown 5m 1783840800	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x2c3b38…
07-12 06:41:40	btc updown 5m 1783838400	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x6a4198…
07-12 05:23:55	btc updown 5m 1783833600	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xea70dc…
07-12 05:03:28	btc updown 5m 1783832400	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd6708b…
07-12 04:51:44	btc updown 5m 1783831800	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x5695c7…
07-11 19:25:41	bitcoin above 66k on july 12 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc3a928…
07-11 19:24:26	btc updown 5m 1783797600	Down	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0xd907f2…
07-11 19:20:59	btc updown 5m 1783797600	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xddeaac…