Graceful-Street — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

97.0%

Resolved

Trades

485

lifetime

Volume

$2.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-30 06:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

70% 91% +$4

Crypto

13% — —

Tech

9% — —

Politics

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		-10	$-9	95¢	$-10	$-0	06-24 00:16
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes		-14	$-10	26¢	$-3	+$7	06-02 09:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will nvda reach 208 in february	6	$97	56	56	+0	open	—	02-26 16:28
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$89	43	53	-10	open	—	06-24 00:16
deepseek v4 released by april 24	8	$85	50	50	+0	open	—	04-24 04:47
will spy reach 770 in june 2026	3	$78	60	20	+40	open	—	06-27 04:15
will gold gc hit high 5100 by end of january 412 277 258 652	3	$69	35	35	+0	open	—	01-28 17:15
gc hit 5000 high jan 2026 374 153 895 849	3	$67	34	34	+0	open	—	01-27 07:41
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	5	$64	30	100	-70	open	—	06-14 14:13
deepseek v4 released by april 7	3	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	04-08 04:40
will xauusd reach 4700 in june 2026	6	$50	26	26	+0	open	—	06-23 07:11
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$42	31	11	+20	open	—	04-24 07:21
nvda above 210 on january 30 2026	2	$42	23	23	+0	open	—	01-20 15:24
bitcoin above 78k on april 19	3	$30	20	10	+10	open	—	04-19 13:06
spx opens up or down on april 2 2026	3	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	04-02 15:23
si above 90 jan 2026	3	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	01-28 15:14
bitcoin above 78k on april 17	3	$27	15	15	+0	open	—	04-17 14:03
will nvda reach 220 in february	3	$25	14	14	+0	open	—	02-13 08:57
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	13	$24	70	70	+0	open	—	04-24 04:46
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	6	$24	23	28	-5	open	—	06-15 07:08
will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 343 693 775 861 153	2	$24	13	13	+0	open	—	02-02 08:40
nvda above 200 on february 27 2026	4	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	02-27 15:12
bitcoin above 78k on april 18	4	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	04-18 16:40
will gold gc hit high 5200 by end of january 343 743 428	4	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	01-29 02:02
will gold gc hit high 5600 by end of march	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	03-13 17:39
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	4	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-14 13:14
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	4	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	01-24 11:48
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in April?	3	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	04-24 04:14
nvda above 170 on january 30 2026	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	01-26 09:29
nvda above 160 on january 30 2026	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	01-26 09:29
will gold gc hit high 5400 by end of march	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-26 11:38
claude 4pt7 released by april 24 251	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-16 15:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 06:19:47	will spy reach 760 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc31201…
06-30 06:19:32	will spy reach 755 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x7204e3…
06-30 06:19:22	will spy reach 750 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xfbeeb6…
06-29 15:42:08	will spy reach 740 by june 29 2026	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x046335…
06-27 04:15:34	will spy reach 770 in june 2026	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x31ed9f…
06-26 17:57:23	will spy reach 755 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbf0949…
06-26 06:27:10	will spy reach 760 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8bc7dc…
06-24 02:19:52	will spy reach 755 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x95b1eb…
06-24 00:16:49	will spy reach 770 in june 2026	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xe99e5c…
06-24 00:16:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	43	94¢	$40	0x490ece…
06-24 00:13:58	will spy reach 770 in june 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf2591b…
06-23 07:11:22	will xauusd reach 4700 in june 2026	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xd33bfd…
06-23 03:03:05	spy up or down on june 23 2026	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x2ba0eb…
06-19 09:03:34	will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x13ea7c…
06-18 14:28:40	will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x35d15f…
06-18 11:11:04	spy up or down on june 18 2026	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x35d943…
06-18 11:10:34	will xauusd reach 4700 in june 2026	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x4df527…
06-15 07:08:57	will xauusd reach 4700 in june 2026	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x4f8db1…
06-15 07:08:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	28	14¢	$4	0x0efae2…
06-15 07:08:03	will xauusd reach 4700 in june 2026	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xe3c6c9…
06-14 14:13:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x7e2b2d…
06-14 14:12:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x5100e4…
06-14 13:29:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0xf4b1ec…
06-14 13:18:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	80	50¢	$40	0x93b06b…
06-14 11:16:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x0dae36…
06-14 11:16:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x90b617…
06-14 11:16:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x1c81db…
06-13 11:34:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x86ce47…
06-13 11:33:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xe61337…
06-12 16:55:52	will xauusd reach 4700 in june 2026	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xde8acd…
06-12 16:55:33	will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	No	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0xc3f534…
06-12 02:53:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xa88b20…
06-11 11:09:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb14caf…
06-11 02:00:07	will xauusd reach 4700 in june 2026	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xe34f6d…
06-10 10:12:24	spx up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x90354f…
06-10 06:34:06	spx up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xae4cf6…
06-08 12:36:25	will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x34888c…
06-08 12:34:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf756c0…
06-07 17:01:43	spx up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x085c98…
06-07 16:50:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x591934…
06-07 16:44:00	will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	No	SELL	7	76¢	$6	0x8ed10d…
06-06 16:58:55	will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x01b3be…
06-05 16:33:09	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?	No	SELL	14	91¢	$13	0x89886e…
06-05 12:54:43	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x82852e…
06-04 09:51:13	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x8010f1…
06-04 00:57:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xacfa64…
06-02 09:19:28	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	75¢	$10	0xe4896d…
05-31 17:51:50	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x575f3e…
05-29 05:10:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x2e5263…
05-27 17:52:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xe9d1ab…
05-27 17:51:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x4ee41c…
05-27 17:51:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0xc29bef…
05-27 12:32:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x389671…
05-21 19:37:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	4	86¢	$3	0xbd6296…
05-21 19:17:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x3039f6…
05-21 12:09:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0x5e9009…
05-21 09:24:53	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x70f0bf…
05-21 08:15:53	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $650 in May?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd2279a…
05-20 15:12:43	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in May?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x765a9d…
05-20 15:12:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x69ba12…
05-20 13:28:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0df606…
05-20 11:17:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xf6bab0…
05-20 02:08:41	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $650 in May?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x958826…
05-20 02:02:48	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May?	No	SELL	4	92¢	$3	0xf67fbe…
05-19 12:50:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x0d94fc…
05-19 03:11:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x964531…
05-19 02:56:39	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in May?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x9ee069…
05-18 16:11:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x2a1ba4…
05-18 15:29:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe0cfbe…
05-18 08:03:05	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x7f54f5…
05-15 13:25:14	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in May?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x73efca…
05-15 13:23:57	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xf6d10f…
05-15 06:45:36	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xedc024…
05-14 13:14:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x7d8a2a…
05-14 12:02:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1f5489…
05-14 08:47:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x3f6347…
05-14 07:39:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x92a1f0…
05-14 04:46:59	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in May?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xebda7c…
05-13 15:07:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb15a95…
05-13 11:50:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x8011ce…
05-13 11:50:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xf93ab1…
05-13 09:10:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xf2ce32…
05-13 09:10:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe1f3aa…
05-13 08:51:15	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in May?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x7492a9…
05-12 16:07:14	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in May?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa4d758…
05-11 11:53:30	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?	No	SELL	4	63¢	$2	0x0c05d6…
05-09 08:59:40	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x1b1d52…
05-09 08:56:22	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd7a298…
05-09 08:56:13	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in May?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xdefe6a…
05-08 16:28:23	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x07bef4…
05-08 11:57:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xd0abb5…
05-07 11:20:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xbbfe8c…
05-07 01:50:43	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4e077d…
05-06 14:36:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x889079…
05-06 13:11:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xe06da3…
05-06 05:14:50	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,450 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x555e89…
05-06 03:26:38	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0867b5…
05-06 03:24:20	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6284b3…
05-05 08:57:34	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,450 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xd305cf…
05-05 08:55:38	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	3	81¢	$3	0xb22794…