Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

+$42

Hit rate

56.6%

Resolved

Trades

338

lifetime

Volume

$119.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$355

Open exposure

$1.64K

1 position

First seen

2026-08-02

last 10-27 18:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 70% +$4

Other

46% 0% -$14

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes		+1,673	$1,598	98¢	$1.6K	+$42	10-27 18:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	35	$46.4K	24,448	24,448	+0	open	—	09-28 15:42
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	2	$18.2K	9,395	9,395	+0	open	—	09-26 13:21
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	5	$5.2K	3,523	1,850	+1,673	open	—	10-27 18:52
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	13	$4.7K	2,400	2,400	+0	No	-$2	08-19 16:12
will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	11	$4.7K	6,580	6,580	-0	No	-$373	08-19 17:36
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$3.5K	1,889	1,889	+0	No	-$12	10-26 20:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 13:35 UTC	17	$3.0K	1,516	1,516	+0	Down	+$4	09-27 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	12	$3.0K	1,566	1,566	+0	Down	+$150	10-27 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	13	$2.5K	1,437	1,437	+0	Down	-$16	10-27 18:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 14:00 UTC	13	$1.9K	1,739	1,739	+0	Up	+$400	09-26 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 13:25 UTC	10	$1.7K	2,239	1,005	+1,234	Down	+$94	09-26 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	12	$1.7K	1,628	1,628	+0	Down	+$95	09-26 14:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 15:45 UTC	16	$1.6K	2,165	0	+2,165	Up	+$565	09-28 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	13	$1.5K	1,604	348	+1,256	Up	-$180	10-27 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	11	$1.5K	1,650	849	+801	Down	+$282	09-26 13:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 13:30 UTC	8	$1.4K	766	766	+0	Up	+$81	09-27 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	15	$1.4K	1,541	147	+1,394	Up	+$22	10-27 17:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 15:40 UTC	7	$1.4K	1,321	1,321	+0	Down	+$382	09-25 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	15	$1.4K	1,377	220	+1,158	Up	+$19	10-27 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	11	$1.2K	1,263	78	+1,185	Up	-$214	10-27 18:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 16:00 UTC	6	$1.1K	638	638	+0	Up	+$132	09-25 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	7	$1.1K	725	725	+0	Up	-$75	09-26 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	9	$1.1K	1,174	0	+1,174	Down	+$74	10-27 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	7	$1.0K	645	645	+0	Up	+$14	09-26 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	7	$923	714	524	+189	Down	+$63	09-26 13:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 15:45 UTC	8	$800	1,443	0	+1,443	Down	+$79	09-25 15:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 13:35 UTC	8	$800	1,249	0	+1,249	Up	-$800	09-26 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	6	$750	788	0	+788	Up	+$38	10-27 18:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 13:30 UTC	7	$700	1,612	0	+1,612	Down	-$700	09-26 13:32
will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in august 2026	2	$641	1,563	1,563	+0	No	-$359	08-22 15:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 18:52:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x016a96…
10-27 18:51:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1,000	98¢	$975	0x66781b…
10-27 18:51:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	645	97¢	$628	0x69bbe4…
10-27 18:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1,130	100¢	$1,129	0xed41b8…
10-27 18:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x06e725…
10-27 18:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x711404…
10-27 18:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	155	97¢	$150	0xb28fab…
10-27 18:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0x296632…
10-27 18:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	118	81¢	$95	0x578e38…
10-27 18:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xd9eb69…
10-27 18:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x633b5c…
10-27 18:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xd49c24…
10-27 18:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	307	30¢	$92	0x1419d8…
10-27 18:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x5bbbcb…
10-27 18:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x7c3425…
10-27 18:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xdfe6da…
10-27 18:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0x7cc814…
10-27 18:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	160	94¢	$150	0x170eb7…
10-27 18:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0x0b270b…
10-27 18:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x427f2a…
10-27 18:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xb837ec…
10-27 18:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	113	89¢	$100	0x588da0…
10-27 18:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x7d5b9b…
10-27 18:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x0b7e09…
10-27 18:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x465d45…
10-27 18:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	158	95¢	$150	0xa0eaf8…
10-27 18:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0xfda207…
10-27 18:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0xd745ee…
10-27 18:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0xb80316…
10-27 18:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0xce4811…
10-27 18:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x739ae3…
10-27 18:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x3bf602…
10-27 18:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x81115b…
10-27 18:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x3b7718…
10-27 18:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1,566	99¢	$1,550	0xcac4ce…
10-27 18:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0xc87979…
10-27 18:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0x77af46…
10-27 18:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	155	97¢	$150	0x7cc35d…
10-27 18:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	155	97¢	$150	0x6a7216…
10-27 18:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	158	95¢	$150	0xf7e93c…
10-27 18:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	158	95¢	$150	0x660cbc…
10-27 18:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	158	95¢	$150	0x25368d…
10-27 18:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x402d3d…
10-27 18:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xa17f2f…
10-27 18:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	70	72¢	$50	0x96253b…
10-27 18:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	191	52¢	$100	0xf02469…
10-27 18:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0xa8d6c3…
10-27 18:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0xa2cf38…
10-27 18:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0xa29bbe…
10-27 18:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x3390a5…
10-27 18:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	158	95¢	$150	0x1f4ae5…
10-27 18:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	163	92¢	$150	0xcbea0f…
10-27 18:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	165	91¢	$150	0x496e95…
10-27 18:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	163	92¢	$150	0x226dc2…
10-27 18:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	348	10¢	$34	0xa524de…
10-27 18:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	126	79¢	$100	0x49f76b…
10-27 18:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	124	80¢	$100	0xc7fc23…
10-27 18:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x95ec85…
10-27 18:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x39d1a2…
10-27 18:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x8a5915…
10-27 18:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0x859b50…
10-27 18:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x59bfd4…
10-27 18:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0xf0cae4…
10-27 18:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0x797dd3…
10-27 18:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0x658f72…
10-27 18:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	118	84¢	$100	0xbe17cd…
10-27 18:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x08da79…
10-27 18:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x7e3060…
10-27 18:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	78	34¢	$27	0x938279…
10-27 18:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x7cbced…
10-27 18:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x33b6a9…
10-27 18:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xd0bc97…
10-27 18:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x4be6a8…
10-27 18:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xcd4cc0…
10-27 18:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x8776f8…
10-27 18:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xe1ed1c…
10-27 18:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xf09267…
10-27 18:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xa54da4…
10-27 18:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x098c0e…
10-27 18:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	99	8¢	$8	0x2ec162…
10-27 18:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xaaad9f…
10-27 18:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xfdc6ea…
10-27 18:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	120	86¢	$104	0x873a55…
10-27 18:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xc8c9e2…
10-27 18:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	99	50¢	$50	0x8c5dc9…
10-27 18:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	385	13¢	$50	0x4b07a1…
10-27 18:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x819e8c…
10-27 18:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xc34f8e…
10-27 18:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x0cd8a3…
10-27 18:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x2da2be…
10-27 18:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x69c8b6…
10-27 18:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0xb70562…
10-27 17:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0x86e3c9…
10-27 17:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0xbea032…
10-27 17:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0x2dce55…
10-27 17:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0xecd5d6…
10-27 17:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x3ccf2a…
10-27 17:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x5123e3…
10-27 17:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x4b2433…
10-27 17:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0xd3c363…