Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

+$70

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

22.4%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

479 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$4.63K

$163.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

$341

Open exposure

$465

1 position

First seen

2026-08-02

last 11-05 15:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 66% -$1,145

Other

36% 50% +$597

Politics

17% 100% +$326

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?	Yes		+600	$462	78¢	$465	+$3	11-05 09:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	35	$46.4K	24,448	24,448	+0	open	—	09-28 15:42
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	2	$18.2K	9,395	9,395	+0	open	—	09-26 13:21
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	9	$10.4K	7,460	6,660	+800	Yes	+$253	11-04 00:13
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	6	$6.8K	3,523	3,523	+0	Yes	+$60	10-28 22:13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	13	$4.7K	2,400	2,400	+0	No	-$2	08-19 16:12
will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	11	$4.7K	6,580	6,580	-0	No	-$373	08-19 17:36
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$3.5K	1,889	1,889	+0	No	-$12	10-26 20:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	8	$3.5K	1,814	1,814	+0	open	—	11-02 20:33
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	6	$3.4K	1,772	1,772	+0	open	—	11-05 15:17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	3	$3.2K	1,707	1,707	+0	open	—	10-29 21:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 13:35 UTC	17	$3.0K	1,516	1,516	+0	Down	+$4	09-27 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	12	$3.0K	1,566	1,566	+0	Down	+$150	10-27 18:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 4?	2	$2.7K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$73	11-04 16:33
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on November 4?	5	$2.5K	1,284	1,284	+0	No	-$5	11-04 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	13	$2.5K	1,437	1,437	+0	Down	-$16	10-27 18:51
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	2	$1.9K	2,302	0	+2,302	Yes	+$414	11-04 16:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 14:00 UTC	13	$1.9K	1,739	1,739	+0	Up	+$400	09-26 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 13:25 UTC	10	$1.7K	2,239	1,005	+1,234	Down	+$94	09-26 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	12	$1.7K	1,628	1,628	+0	Down	+$95	09-26 14:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 15:45 UTC	16	$1.6K	2,165	0	+2,165	Up	+$565	09-28 15:49
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?	1	$1.6K	1,781	0	+1,781	Yes	+$196	10-31 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	13	$1.5K	1,604	348	+1,256	Up	-$180	10-27 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	11	$1.5K	1,650	849	+801	Down	+$282	09-26 13:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 13:30 UTC	8	$1.4K	766	766	+0	Up	+$81	09-27 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	15	$1.4K	1,541	147	+1,394	Up	+$22	10-27 17:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 15:40 UTC	7	$1.4K	1,321	1,321	+0	Down	+$382	09-25 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	15	$1.4K	1,377	220	+1,158	Up	+$19	10-27 18:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4?	6	$1.3K	1,062	1,062	+0	Yes	-$812	11-04 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	11	$1.2K	1,263	78	+1,185	Up	-$214	10-27 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	9	$1.2K	933	716	+218	Up	-$130	11-03 16:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 15:17:58	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,508	97¢	$1,466	0x2352aa…
11-05 15:13:13	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	264	97¢	$257	0xfb7ea6…
11-05 15:10:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0x1a3a66…
11-05 15:10:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	49	94¢	$46	0xbeaa9c…
11-05 15:10:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xb7ea6a…
11-05 15:10:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	116	92¢	$106	0x427130…
11-05 09:22:34	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,309	97¢	$1,270	0x316ff0…
11-05 09:22:34	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	97¢	$88	0x1237a0…
11-05 09:22:25	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	97¢	$242	0x260dc8…
11-05 09:22:13	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	123	97¢	$118	0x603fba…
11-05 09:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	226	95¢	$216	0x31a22a…
11-05 09:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	226	66¢	$150	0x19d7f0…
11-05 09:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	128	75¢	$96	0xed9be0…
11-05 09:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xdae3ed…
11-05 09:17:04	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	600	77¢	$462	0x3bbc8d…
11-04 16:50:55	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	1,702	82¢	$1,396	0x5fb4db…
11-04 16:50:09	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on November 4?	No	SELL	1,284	98¢	$1,261	0x5bc2e0…
11-04 16:37:04	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x32c2d7…
11-04 16:36:46	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	681	99¢	$671	0x04a59a…
11-04 16:36:28	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	184	99¢	$181	0x78c596…
11-04 16:36:10	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	353	98¢	$348	0x3ec301…
11-04 16:33:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 4?	No	SELL	1,400	100¢	$1,394	0x42b1e6…
11-04 16:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x55114d…
11-04 16:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x62a28b…
11-04 15:34:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	1,400	94¢	$1,322	0xed8021…
11-04 15:26:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4?	No	SELL	421	28¢	$119	0x861363…
11-04 15:20:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4?	No	SELL	641	18¢	$113	0xce6466…
11-04 13:58:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	211	98¢	$208	0xeb4fec…
11-04 13:58:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0xe6880b…
11-04 13:58:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	556	98¢	$546	0x258fee…
11-04 13:58:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	252	98¢	$247	0x5df160…
11-04 13:57:28	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	600	82¢	$492	0x746e67…
11-04 00:13:43	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	750	98¢	$736	0x406693…
11-04 00:13:16	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	800	83¢	$664	0x5ea84a…
11-04 00:06:37	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1,568	83¢	$1,302	0x5b06ee…
11-04 00:06:15	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	249	45¢	$112	0xcface6…
11-03 23:36:49	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	249	48¢	$119	0xcaf206…
11-03 17:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xe39b9b…
11-03 17:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	227	99¢	$225	0x4cbf1d…
11-03 17:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	62	68¢	$42	0x672837…
11-03 17:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	165	60¢	$100	0xf0f3ab…
11-03 17:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0xa5c729…
11-03 17:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xd45653…
11-03 17:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	67	41¢	$28	0xb7a137…
11-03 17:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xeac955…
11-03 17:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xa24fc5…
11-03 17:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x796e5e…
11-03 17:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0xd35bd2…
11-03 17:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x51801f…
11-03 17:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x468511…
11-03 17:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	239	39¢	$93	0x8be21d…
11-03 17:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	39	43¢	$17	0xc387db…
11-03 17:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0xf4f4bb…
11-03 16:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x9e0e9a…
11-03 16:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x0aa3a6…
11-03 16:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	203	74¢	$150	0x9aa645…
11-03 16:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	317	100¢	$317	0x732051…
11-03 16:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	160	94¢	$150	0x2d4c9f…
11-03 16:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	158	95¢	$150	0x00c715…
11-03 16:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x482620…
11-03 16:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xdbc045…
11-03 16:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	213	40¢	$85	0x2d208f…
11-03 16:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x6d9495…
11-03 16:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	185	64¢	$118	0xca23ae…
11-03 16:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0xa74193…
11-03 16:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0xfca9cf…
11-03 16:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x89c4bb…
11-03 16:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	287	92¢	$264	0xd4fc9c…
11-03 16:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x8d35ec…
11-03 16:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	168	89¢	$150	0xfcb1f9…
11-03 16:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	152	79¢	$120	0x34e509…
11-03 16:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xeb4371…
11-03 16:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	172	67¢	$116	0x67cd9c…
11-03 16:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xb89133…
11-03 16:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x78b085…
11-03 16:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	170	88¢	$150	0x51461e…
11-03 16:24:37	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	551	76¢	$419	0x5c6da9…
11-02 21:26:33	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	520	77¢	$400	0xadecf9…
11-02 21:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	393	100¢	$393	0xd4bdfb…
11-02 21:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x6f4ad3…
11-02 21:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	168	89¢	$150	0xdf79b5…
11-02 21:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	113	88¢	$100	0x94e212…
11-02 21:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	159	37¢	$59	0x2cbfbb…
11-02 21:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x6e2fbc…
11-02 21:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x24adb9…
11-02 21:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x076f3e…
11-02 21:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x367099…
11-02 21:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x319b86…
11-02 21:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xd9a9ed…
11-02 21:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	341	100¢	$341	0x61d612…
11-02 21:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x68f023…
11-02 21:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x817319…
11-02 21:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x934123…
11-02 21:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	237	100¢	$237	0xa61f8c…
11-02 21:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x636efa…
11-02 21:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xb726dc…
11-02 21:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xa7bcd0…
11-02 21:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x05e77a…
11-02 20:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xbad088…
11-02 20:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x92598c…