Energetic-Producer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$90.6K

Unrealized P&L

-$3.57K

Hit rate

60.9%

Resolved

478

Trades

16,274

lifetime

Volume

$980.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$60

Open exposure

$17.2K

14 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 15:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 94 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 38% -$27,209

Other

41% 31% -$64,049

Politics

6% 42% -$2,582

Sports

3% 67% +$1,250

Tech

3% 60% +$1,956

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 2722 trades/day

Open positions (14) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?	Yes	+6,887	$4,762	78¢	$5.3K	+$575	10-02 09:04
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes	+13,564	$5,388	38¢	$5.1K	-$301	10-01 19:28
No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	+9,475	$1,219	24¢	$2.3K	+$1,088	10-20 19:15
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?	No	+13,832	$4,561	14¢	$1.9K	-$2,680	10-11 18:26
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	+6,799	$1,046	15¢	$1.0K	-$26	10-27 05:35
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?	No	+6,082	$2,606	15¢	$882	-$1,724	09-17 15:45
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+4,727	$473	6¢	$284	-$189	10-05 16:22
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,225	$402	20¢	$245	-$157	10-25 23:00
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?	Yes	+10,000	$320	1¢	$125	-$195	10-23 14:16
Will Solana reach $140 in October?	Yes	+5,000	$75	0¢	$23	-$52	10-24 03:57
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in October?	Yes	+8,310	$643	0¢	$21	-$622	10-27 07:58
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+3,676	$433	0¢	$13	-$420	09-29 03:39
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+1,766	-$1,045	1¢	$11	+$1,056	10-26 04:05
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	+0	-$80	98¢	$0	+$80	09-06 19:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	36	$55.7K	34,882	45,000	-10,117	No	+$8,194	01-14 19:28
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	94	$42.7K	42,744	42,744	+0	Yes	+$1,888	09-10 19:36
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	213	$38.0K	92,371	92,439	-68	No	+$1,188	01-15 05:52
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	171	$22.5K	25,238	25,238	+0	Yes	-$12	09-10 05:19
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?	90	$21.2K	18,224	18,224	+0	No	+$832	09-10 05:30
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	42	$18.7K	10,699	10,699	+0	Yes	+$2,670	09-01 15:50
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	296	$17.4K	281,989	281,989	+0	No	+$1,402	07-07 04:43
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	33	$14.9K	11,518	11,518	+0	Yes	+$4,058	09-02 23:47
No one announced as next James Bond?	23	$12.4K	31,019	21,544	+9,475	open	—	10-20 19:15
LAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch?	49	$11.5K	8,827	8,827	+0	No	+$1,425	09-10 16:03
will bitcoin reach 92k december 29 january 4	12	$11.3K	10,000	10,000	+0	Yes	+$1,500	01-02 18:42
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 14?	11	$11.0K	10,000	10,000	+0	Yes	+$8,976	05-14 16:58
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	98	$9.9K	34,514	34,514	+0	open	—	08-21 01:22
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	24	$9.6K	6,000	6,000	+0	No	+$216	09-06 08:23
efl cfc ars 2026 01 14 ars win	39	$9.5K	7,622	7,622	+0	Yes	+$1,607	01-14 21:07
efa cha3 cfc 2026 01 10 cfc	27	$9.4K	7,031	6,000	+1,031	Yes	+$999	01-10 21:19
SSI public model released by September 30, 2026?	15	$9.1K	6,403	4,435	+1,968	No	+$1,018	09-28 05:38
efa swe bre1 2026 01 10 bre1	15	$9.1K	4,999	4,999	+0	Yes	+$790	01-10 16:30
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	19	$8.8K	18,598	18,598	+0	open	—	08-21 21:32
will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	98	$8.8K	78,748	78,748	+0	No	-$5,193	01-25 14:20
laptop fdv above 1pt5b one day after launch	22	$8.8K	5,496	5,496	+0	No	+$739	09-10 07:14
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	67	$8.3K	50,372	50,372	+0	open	—	06-27 15:14
Will Solana reach $120 in August?	40	$8.1K	42,394	42,394	+0	No	+$2,611	08-30 12:59
efa por1 ars 2026 01 11 ars	7	$8.1K	8,124	1,000	+7,124	Yes	+$946	01-11 14:45
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?	10	$7.8K	8,756	1,869	+6,887	open	—	10-02 09:04
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	24	$7.7K	5,000	4,987	+13	Yes	+$3	01-14 07:57
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	42	$7.4K	51,104	51,104	+0	open	—	08-19 21:48
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?	9	$7.4K	7,000	3,271	+3,729	Yes	-$2,758	09-02 16:52
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?	28	$7.3K	5,281	3,746	+1,535	open	—	10-25 00:10
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	11	$6.7K	5,306	5,306	+0	Yes	+$760	09-05 21:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 15:23:00	Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	2,067	0¢	$10	0xf66d9f…
10-27 12:33:51	Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	212	0¢	$1	0xfe85ee…
10-27 12:26:44	Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	1,984	0¢	$10	0xdaa215…
10-27 11:51:26	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	7,567	1¢	$53	0x37cb1f…
10-27 08:00:53	Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	599	0¢	$3	0x241cb8…
10-27 07:59:39	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	2,433	1¢	$17	0x8475ed…
10-27 07:58:59	Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in October?	Yes	SELL	829	0¢	$2	0x43ec7e…
10-27 07:58:53	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in October?	Yes	SELL	1,690	0¢	$7	0xc19530…
10-27 05:35:57	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x535f41…
10-27 05:35:53	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x9faa15…
10-27 05:35:50	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0xb22867…
10-27 05:35:45	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x4c7cdb…
10-27 05:35:42	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x019937…
10-27 05:35:39	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x484092…
10-27 05:35:35	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0xe7157e…
10-27 05:35:32	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x915b6b…
10-27 05:35:29	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x1387c4…
10-27 05:35:23	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x59c82b…
10-27 05:35:14	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0x3714c8…
10-27 05:34:44	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0x83d5c8…
10-27 04:52:38	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0x15c74b…
10-26 07:59:24	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0x647a65…
10-26 04:05:59	Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0xa20451…
10-25 23:00:53	Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	190	38¢	$72	0xf2a053…
10-25 21:00:35	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x7252c1…
10-25 00:10:32	SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0x4b96ec…
10-24 16:47:15	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0x57a346…
10-24 16:37:53	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0xb4abe8…
10-24 16:37:23	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	14	17¢	$2	0xfc77d9…
10-24 16:37:21	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	94	17¢	$16	0xaa274e…
10-24 16:37:15	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0x2b35ea…
10-24 16:37:14	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x17188c…
10-24 16:36:29	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	17	17¢	$3	0xcfe33d…
10-24 16:36:29	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	90	17¢	$15	0xcf42e6…
10-24 16:36:29	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0x4f83f4…
10-24 16:36:23	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	16	17¢	$3	0x528286…
10-24 16:36:21	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	104	17¢	$18	0xffafd3…
10-24 16:36:21	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	32	17¢	$5	0xd2e028…
10-24 16:36:21	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	82	17¢	$14	0xcf3b5b…
10-24 16:36:21	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	114	17¢	$19	0x7288f5…
10-24 16:36:20	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	25	17¢	$4	0xb3f713…
10-24 16:36:20	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0x8dcc1e…
10-24 08:28:57	Will Solana reach $130 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,834	3¢	$57	0x9d08cc…
10-24 08:23:44	Will Solana reach $130 in October?	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$9	0x2ebed0…
10-24 08:17:33	Will Solana reach $130 in October?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$16	0x1ec9db…
10-24 08:13:59	Will Solana reach $130 in October?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$16	0xcb9f22…
10-24 08:04:14	Will Solana reach $130 in October?	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$9	0x80a9a7…
10-24 07:26:09	Will Solana reach $130 in October?	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$9	0x2da8ff…
10-24 06:36:02	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	113	17¢	$19	0xeebe1f…
10-24 05:30:11	Will Solana reach $130 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x4004a3…
10-24 03:57:56	Will Solana reach $140 in October?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0xa5d36a…
10-24 03:57:48	Will Solana reach $140 in October?	Yes	BUY	4,566	2¢	$68	0x8260a0…
10-24 02:04:56	Will Solana reach $130 in October?	Yes	BUY	160	3¢	$5	0xb43860…
10-23 21:32:45	Will Solana reach $140 in October?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0x1d1304…
10-23 19:06:59	Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)	Ipswich Town FC	BUY	1,232	12¢	$148	0xc32051…
10-23 19:06:59	Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)	Ipswich Town FC	BUY	46	12¢	$5	0x3fbf77…
10-23 19:06:57	Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)	Ipswich Town FC	BUY	696	12¢	$84	0x7e5304…
10-23 19:06:56	Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)	Ipswich Town FC	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0xc5a7ef…
10-23 19:06:56	Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)	Ipswich Town FC	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xba6ad1…
10-23 19:06:54	Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)	Ipswich Town FC	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xc7aa93…
10-23 19:06:53	Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)	Ipswich Town FC	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0x59f3ce…
10-23 15:48:41	Will Solana reach $140 in October?	Yes	BUY	218	2¢	$3	0x01d2d1…
10-23 14:16:48	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?	Yes	BUY	9,600	3¢	$307	0x54b963…
10-23 10:18:12	Will Solana reach $130 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,101	3¢	$34	0x056b72…
10-23 09:39:48	Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x526c03…
10-23 09:25:44	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	300	17¢	$51	0x8cc81c…
10-23 09:25:32	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	316	2¢	$6	0xc86ef5…
10-23 09:25:32	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	3,000	2¢	$60	0x99915c…
10-23 09:25:32	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	3,000	2¢	$60	0x1e5034…
10-23 09:25:30	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	3,000	2¢	$60	0x952ade…
10-23 07:50:26	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	171	2¢	$3	0x1a3d9e…
10-23 04:56:20	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	171	2¢	$3	0xc6f7a6…
10-23 01:27:53	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x23f99c…
10-23 01:17:18	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	171	2¢	$3	0x5a8e9d…
10-23 00:00:24	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?	Yes	BUY	394	3¢	$13	0x75065c…
10-22 23:46:29	Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xee790c…
10-22 23:35:06	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	171	2¢	$3	0x76d877…
10-22 23:27:20	Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	554	0¢	$3	0x0b351c…
10-22 06:01:08	SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,035	97¢	$1,004	0x3ab198…
10-22 05:59:59	SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x72129d…
10-21 17:40:39	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x662b29…
10-21 16:50:14	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	529	19¢	$100	0xdda00f…
10-21 15:12:23	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	487	17¢	$83	0x8fa278…
10-20 19:40:18	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	714	21¢	$150	0xf281d2…
10-20 19:40:02	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	536	21¢	$113	0xd0bbe5…
10-20 19:40:00	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xba0984…
10-20 19:39:59	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xe3e7d0…
10-20 19:17:15	Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	2,000	8¢	$160	0x108f42…
10-20 19:15:20	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	1,185	31¢	$363	0x58531a…
10-20 10:28:02	Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	146	5¢	$7	0x324097…
10-19 16:48:59	Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x5126c4…
10-19 16:04:56	Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$1	0x24033c…
10-11 22:16:59	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	3,037	3¢	$79	0xb1f8f7…
10-11 22:02:48	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x3da069…
10-11 21:55:41	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	308	3¢	$8	0x64ed9a…
10-11 21:55:02	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0x01b7a7…
10-11 21:50:17	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	42	3¢	$1	0x651086…
10-11 21:18:47	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	945	3¢	$25	0x875bf7…
10-11 21:15:11	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	317	3¢	$8	0x6e0779…
10-11 21:13:35	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x68596c…