Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$13

Unrealized P&L

+$340

Hit rate

70.9%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

764

261,617 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$1.78K

$495.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$508

30 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 10-28 15:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 255 days

Categories

Other

48% 48% +$9,644

Politics

23% 57% +$11,015

Crypto

14% 49% -$49

Sports

10% 55% +$3,245

Tech

4% 57% +$1,174

Pop-Culture

0% 48% -$84

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 1736 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	+9,243	-$17	0¢	$37	+$54	10-28 14:31
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	No	+1,308	$7	3¢	$36	+$29	10-28 14:25
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?	Yes	+3,020	-$28	1¢	$33	+$61	10-28 14:44
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	+6,965	$13	0¢	$28	+$15	10-28 09:57
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?	Yes	+982	-$70	3¢	$26	+$96	10-26 09:21
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	+5,558	$27	0¢	$25	-$2	10-28 13:39
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	+2,191	$26	1¢	$22	-$4	10-28 15:47
Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	+841	$11	3¢	$22	+$11	10-27 04:21
Will New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	-514	$12	4¢	$-22	-$34	05-19 03:30
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+518	$13	4¢	$20	+$7	10-26 12:44
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	Yes	+434	$13	4¢	$19	+$6	10-27 14:38
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	-1,358	-$10	1¢	$-17	-$7	05-01 16:34
Yoon out of custody before 2027?	Yes	+716	$20	2¢	$15	-$4	10-28 15:30
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	Yes	+1,300	$15	1¢	$15	$0	10-27 17:35
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+3,948	$16	0¢	$14	-$2	10-27 12:16
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+1,410	$10	1¢	$13	+$4	10-28 06:48
SBF released from custody in 2026?	Yes	+846	$12	2¢	$13	+$1	10-14 13:15
Will Frosinone win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	+5,093	$96	0¢	$13	-$83	10-23 21:19
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+3,587	$7	0¢	$13	+$6	10-28 10:07
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	+2,501	-$52	0¢	$13	+$65	10-27 15:53
Will Oklahoma Sooners win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	+1,582	$18	1¢	$12	-$6	10-26 20:01
Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?	Yes	+296	$11	4¢	$11	$0	10-26 19:50
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?	Yes	-2,089	-$39	0¢	$-10	+$29	10-25 17:15
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?	Yes	+1,692	-$2	1¢	$9	+$12	10-25 18:15
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?	Yes	+1,014	$8	1¢	$9	+$1	10-19 06:08
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+291	$1	3¢	$9	+$7	10-28 13:25
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?	Yes	+3,458	$11	0¢	$9	-$3	10-21 20:42
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?	Yes	+1,710	-$69	0¢	$9	+$77	10-28 13:34
Will SC Freiburg be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?	Yes	+788	-$10	1¢	$8	+$18	10-25 17:18
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+762	$20	1¢	$8	-$12	10-03 16:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in April?	316	$1.7K	24,349	27,717	-3,368	No	+$529	04-29 11:38
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?	699	$1.3K	61,662	61,662	+0	No	+$280	05-12 19:36
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	817	$1.3K	45,634	45,634	+0	No	+$254	07-23 04:53
Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?	745	$1.2K	75,777	75,777	+0	No	+$407	04-12 14:18
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?	857	$1.2K	64,765	64,765	+0	No	+$311	06-20 06:29
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	948	$1.1K	64,557	64,557	+0	No	+$206	06-20 21:03
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	473	$1.1K	36,376	17,507	+18,869	No	+$201	03-08 21:15
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	94	$1.1K	44,788	44,788	-0	No	+$336	08-26 14:06
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?	159	$993	44,608	39,397	+5,211	Yes	+$190	04-12 21:32
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	1,226	$966	77,117	73,478	+3,639	No	+$217	07-24 14:23
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	804	$935	51,023	43,973	+7,050	No	+$132	03-08 20:58
will backpack launch a token on march 23	86	$903	13,282	11,482	+1,800	Yes	+$81	03-23 12:36
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	575	$895	30,861	30,861	-0	No	+$193	06-21 00:54
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	923	$893	62,631	62,631	+0	No	+$142	07-24 09:35
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	653	$885	57,352	57,352	+0	No	+$175	07-16 00:21
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	603	$875	25,130	25,130	+0	No	+$176	07-19 23:55
will iran strike israel on march 4	101	$860	20,474	20,474	+0	Yes	+$241	03-06 19:26
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	995	$831	55,361	55,361	-0	No	+$70	06-21 11:09
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	244	$825	22,286	22,286	+0	Yes	+$138	03-31 07:02
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	903	$799	57,875	57,793	+82	No	+$62	03-08 21:04
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	330	$794	28,739	25,687	+3,052	No	+$130	03-08 21:09
Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?	396	$787	48,731	48,731	+0	No	+$133	04-12 18:41
Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1,145	$775	62,722	59,015	+3,707	No	+$171	03-08 19:26
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May?	65	$773	17,429	17,429	+0	No	+$71	05-20 10:02
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026?	390	$757	43,352	43,352	+0	open	—	10-27 06:06
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	318	$752	65,836	65,836	+0	No	+$170	04-24 22:20
will mouz win blast bounty 2026 season 2 20260709150231156	147	$729	5,512	5,299	+213	resolved	+$304	07-12 15:49
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	716	$720	41,204	41,204	+0	No	+$77	07-22 14:43
will mrbeasts next video get 90 million or more views on week 1	228	$707	24,092	24,120	-28	No	+$156	03-13 23:54
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	156	$700	12,118	12,118	+0	No	+$139	06-12 17:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 16:42:19	Will Lionel Messi win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x469cab…
10-28 16:42:08	Will Lionel Messi win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0xfea757…
10-28 16:37:11	Will Natus Vincere Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	5¢	$5	0x9754c8…
10-28 16:36:49	Will Solana dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	1¢	$0	0xe51f37…
10-28 16:34:02	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	57	3¢	$2	0xa4586f…
10-28 16:27:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	268	0¢	$1	0x0cff89…
10-28 16:26:14	Will The Drama win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xf21e97…
10-28 16:26:13	Will Artificial win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xfd6ae2…
10-28 16:26:13	Will Artificial win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xdf0493…
10-28 16:26:13	Will Artificial win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xb0fb67…
10-28 16:26:13	Will The Drama win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x66fb36…
10-28 16:26:13	Will The Drama win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x4ae985…
10-28 16:26:13	Will The Drama win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x29ca76…
10-28 16:26:13	Will Artificial win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x205731…
10-28 16:19:07	Will Solana dip to $70 in October?	Yes	SELL	178	1¢	$2	0x43ca43…
10-28 16:17:32	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Michigan?	Yes	SELL	848	1¢	$8	0x60b216…
10-28 16:17:22	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x9f7d03…
10-28 16:14:40	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	187	1¢	$1	0x34fa57…
10-28 16:11:49	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xc47643…
10-28 15:59:16	Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xe5bf58…
10-28 15:59:13	Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x2954ba…
10-28 15:59:07	Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x0abeff…
10-28 15:59:01	Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x7211bf…
10-28 15:58:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	268	0¢	$1	0x064737…
10-28 15:55:55	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	SELL	250	2¢	$4	0x9f96a7…
10-28 15:47:53	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xe9eff2…
10-28 15:46:20	Will Natus Vincere Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	BUY	190	2¢	$3	0x381cfc…
10-28 15:39:55	Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	130	23¢	$30	0x40df29…
10-28 15:38:47	Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	130	11¢	$14	0x71475c…
10-28 15:36:53	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xbb86e1…
10-28 15:30:04	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	Yes	SELL	406	2¢	$9	0x55ff5f…
10-28 15:28:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	695	0¢	$3	0xd0c8ce…
10-28 15:28:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	285	0¢	$1	0x806c7c…
10-28 15:25:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 October 26-November 1?	Yes	SELL	1,015	1¢	$6	0x08c081…
10-28 15:21:01	Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	2¢	$2	0x3b1b8c…
10-28 15:12:58	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $46 in October?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x09e6a5…
10-28 15:09:59	Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	SELL	143	1¢	$1	0x58ba36…
10-28 15:08:32	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xfa1450…
10-28 15:08:32	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xda4747…
10-28 15:08:32	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x881ca8…
10-28 15:05:07	Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	70	0¢	$0	0x8bbe71…
10-28 15:01:19	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xcc9f1b…
10-28 15:00:41	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x791996…
10-28 15:00:35	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x0068a9…
10-28 15:00:23	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xb76658…
10-28 15:00:16	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x0c1bf4…
10-28 15:00:08	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0xf3a093…
10-28 14:59:17	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0x9f9fba…
10-28 14:58:40	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 October 26-November 1?	Yes	SELL	411	1¢	$5	0x9cbf1a…
10-28 14:52:40	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	480	2¢	$7	0x80a37a…
10-28 14:48:49	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	SELL	291	1¢	$4	0xc26087…
10-28 14:48:14	Will Elon Musk attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xdfeab6…
10-28 14:48:14	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	42	0¢	$0	0x8e0601…
10-28 14:47:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x19b557…
10-28 14:47:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	995	0¢	$4	0x18a775…
10-28 14:46:41	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xf8a01e…
10-28 14:46:40	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xd3cccb…
10-28 14:46:40	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	4,229	0¢	$8	0xc3f8ec…
10-28 14:46:22	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1,330	0¢	$3	0x253d56…
10-28 14:44:55	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?	Yes	SELL	207	1¢	$3	0x0b25b9…
10-28 14:38:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in October?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xb39c0b…
10-28 14:35:13	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	SELL	1,084	2¢	$21	0xd7fe48…
10-28 14:32:55	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?	Yes	SELL	1,078	0¢	$2	0x3ed8ba…
10-28 14:31:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x145e9f…
10-28 14:31:16	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	72	0¢	$0	0xe23d92…
10-28 14:27:34	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	111	0¢	$0	0x0a3bbd…
10-28 14:25:43	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	No	BUY	654	2¢	$14	0x269fe4…
10-28 14:18:02	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xa0a4a8…
10-28 14:17:46	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x77cbd5…
10-28 14:17:41	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x39d351…
10-28 14:17:26	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xcee7e2…
10-28 14:17:10	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x18bce3…
10-28 14:17:02	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x9f3dc6…
10-28 14:17:02	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	28	2¢	$0	0x95d5ca…
10-28 14:17:02	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x693018…
10-28 14:17:02	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x67a6e4…
10-28 14:17:02	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x65bc94…
10-28 14:17:02	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	90	3¢	$3	0x63a779…
10-28 14:16:38	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0xc6d2c3…
10-28 14:16:38	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	45	3¢	$1	0x84c13f…
10-28 14:16:37	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0xc3ba93…
10-28 14:14:43	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	No	BUY	654	2¢	$14	0x9f3779…
10-28 14:14:38	Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xd0897f…
10-28 14:12:23	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	365	1¢	$3	0xa537f5…
10-28 14:10:35	Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x493635…
10-28 14:09:53	Will Solana reach $160 in October?	Yes	SELL	991	0¢	$1	0x5ec678…
10-28 14:09:40	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x7808de…
10-28 14:09:20	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xb942c2…
10-28 14:09:19	Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x2e95fb…
10-28 14:09:14	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xbc8307…
10-28 14:09:04	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x29c1ec…
10-28 14:08:41	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0xce32b1…
10-28 14:06:04	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	275	1¢	$2	0xf8af07…
10-28 14:05:10	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	277	1¢	$2	0x590e0d…
10-28 14:04:58	Will the Democratic Party win the MO-06 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc58bb2…
10-28 14:04:40	Will the Democratic Party win the MO-06 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x3137c7…
10-28 14:04:37	Will the Democratic Party win the MO-06 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x4dc144…
10-28 14:04:34	Will the Democratic Party win the MO-06 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xe9e873…
10-28 14:04:32	Will the Democratic Party win the MO-06 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x175b97…
10-28 14:00:41	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	0¢	$0	0x6b32d9…