Realized P&L (7d)
+$875
Unrealized P&L
+$409
Hit rate
82.8%
Resolved (7d)
135
Trades (7d)
5,121
261,727 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$12.6K
$495.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$527
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-15
last 10-28 20:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 255 days
Categories
Other
48% 48% +$9,644
Politics
23% 57% +$11,015
Crypto
14% 49% -$49
Sports
10% 55% +$3,245
Tech
4% 57% +$1,174
Pop-Culture
0% 48% -$84
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1736 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? Yes +3,020 -$28 1¢ $36 +$64 10-28 14:44
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +5,558 $27 1¢ $33 +$6 10-28 13:39
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +9,248 -$17 0¢ $32 +$49 10-28 17:29
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +6,965 $13 0¢ $31 +$19 10-28 09:57
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? Yes +982 -$70 3¢ $27 +$97 10-26 09:21
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No +9,512 -$1 0¢ $24 +$25 10-28 19:46
Will New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes -514 $12 4¢ $-22 -$34 05-19 03:30
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? Yes +3,343 -$60 1¢ $22 +$82 10-28 20:13
Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +811 $10 3¢ $21 +$11 10-28 19:32
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? Yes +518 $13 4¢ $20 +$8 10-26 12:44
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? Yes +434 $13 4¢ $18 +$5 10-27 14:38
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +3,948 $16 0¢ $18 +$2 10-27 12:16
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M? No +1,287 $6 1¢ $17 +$11 10-28 17:17
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +3,587 $7 0¢ $16 +$9 10-28 10:07
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes +716 $20 2¢ $15 -$4 10-28 15:30
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? Yes +1,300 $15 1¢ $15 $0 10-27 17:35
Will LYON win Worlds 2026? Yes +654 -$20 2¢ $14 +$34 10-28 20:07
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,410 $10 1¢ $13 +$4 10-28 06:48
SBF released from custody in 2026? Yes +846 $12 2¢ $13 +$1 10-14 13:15
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -1,358 -$10 1¢ $-13 -$3 05-01 16:34
Will Frosinone win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes +5,093 $96 0¢ $13 -$83 10-23 21:19
Will Oklahoma Sooners win the 2027 CFP National Championship? Yes +1,582 $18 1¢ $13 -$5 10-26 20:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,107 $14 1¢ $12 -$2 10-28 20:15
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +2,501 -$52 0¢ $11 +$63 10-27 15:53
Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes +296 $11 4¢ $11 $0 10-26 19:50
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? Yes -2,089 -$39 0¢ $-10 +$29 10-25 17:15
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? Yes +1,692 -$2 1¢ $9 +$12 10-25 18:15
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%? Yes +1,014 $8 1¢ $9 +$1 10-19 06:08
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +495 -$5 2¢ $9 +$14 10-28 18:21
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? Yes +3,458 $11 0¢ $9 -$3 10-21 20:42