Realized P&L
+$25.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$257
Hit rate
70.0%
Resolved
7,885
Trades
260,828
lifetime
Volume
$493.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$490
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-15
last 10-27 15:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 254 days
Categories
Other
48% 48% +$9,661
Politics
23% 57% +$11,011
Crypto
14% 49% -$49
Sports
10% 55% +$3,245
Tech
4% 57% +$1,174
Pop-Culture
0% 48% -$84
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1736 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes +1,122 $29 3¢ $36 +$8 10-27 05:32
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? Yes +982 -$70 3¢ $30 +$100 10-26 09:21
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? Yes -2,089 -$39 1¢ $-25 +$14 10-25 17:15
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? No +656 -$21 4¢ $23 +$44 10-26 22:04
Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +841 $11 3¢ $22 +$11 10-27 04:21
Will New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes -514 $12 4¢ $-22 -$34 05-19 03:30
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? Yes +434 $13 4¢ $20 +$6 10-27 14:38
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? Yes +518 $13 4¢ $19 +$7 10-26 12:44
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +5,494 $37 0¢ $19 -$17 10-27 03:09
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? Yes +3,458 $11 1¢ $19 +$8 10-21 20:42
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +482 -$14 4¢ $19 +$33 10-27 13:36
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? Yes +1,162 $14 2¢ $18 +$4 10-27 13:32
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +3,047 $19 1¢ $17 -$2 10-27 12:51
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? No +1,028 $14 2¢ $16 +$2 10-27 10:44
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? Yes +1,158 $14 1¢ $14 +$1 10-27 02:25
Will Oklahoma Sooners win the 2027 CFP National Championship? Yes +1,582 $18 1¢ $14 -$3 10-26 20:01
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +2,826 $5 0¢ $14 +$9 10-27 08:16
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +3,948 $16 0¢ $14 -$2 10-27 12:16
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? Yes +2,400 $12 1¢ $13 +$1 10-26 23:40
Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes +296 $11 4¢ $13 +$2 10-26 19:50
SBF released from custody in 2026? Yes +846 $12 2¢ $13 +$1 10-14 13:15
Will Frosinone win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes +5,093 $96 0¢ $13 -$83 10-23 21:19
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes +615 -$14 2¢ $11 +$25 10-27 13:36
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +497 -$4 2¢ $10 +$14 10-27 14:25
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +1,645 -$55 1¢ $10 +$65 10-27 04:17
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? Yes +1,692 -$2 1¢ $9 +$12 10-25 18:15
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%? Yes +1,014 $8 1¢ $9 +$1 10-19 06:08
France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026? Yes +2,605 $15 0¢ $9 -$6 10-27 12:28
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +491 -$12 2¢ $9 +$21 10-27 13:36
Will SC Freiburg be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? Yes +788 -$10 1¢ $8 +$18 10-25 17:18