Daring-Tendency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$193

Unrealized P&L

-$16

Hit rate

2.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$412

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-22

last 10-25 14:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Sports

64% 0% -$92

Other

32% 11% -$85

Politics

2% 0% -$10

Crypto

2% 0% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?	Yes		+77	$10	3¢	$2	-$8	05-22 11:08
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes		+40	$10	3¢	$1	-$9	06-07 13:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$172	507	507	+0	Yes	$0	06-11 17:14
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$91	797	0	+797	No	-$91	06-11 17:15
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$27	227	0	+227	No	-$27	10-25 14:47
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	2	$20	337	0	+337	No	-$20	05-28 12:46
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	1	$10	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	-$10	05-24 19:33
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	1	$10	40	0	+40	open	—	06-07 13:14
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	1	$10	649	0	+649	Yes	-$10	05-24 19:34
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	1	$10	435	0	+435	No	-$10	06-07 13:17
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?	1	$10	77	0	+77	open	—	05-22 11:08
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	1	$10	37	0	+37	No	-$10	06-10 17:42
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	1	$10	27	0	+27	Yes	+$17	06-10 17:41
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	1	$10	17	0	+17	No	-$10	06-10 17:42
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	1	$10	36	0	+36	G2 Esports	-$10	05-24 19:29
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$7	233	0	+233	Up	-$7	05-27 18:42
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in July 2026?	1	$5	590	0	+590	No	-$5	05-24 19:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 14:47:33	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	227	12¢	$27	0x22863d…
06-11 17:15:07	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	701	12¢	$81	0xb2f994…
06-11 17:14:45	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	507	17¢	$86	0x937b19…
06-11 17:09:39	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	507	17¢	$86	0x18e733…
06-10 17:42:37	Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x57d722…
06-10 17:42:07	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xa8f9df…
06-10 17:41:42	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x5cb3a1…
06-07 13:17:30	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	Yes	BUY	435	2¢	$10	0xac5381…
06-07 13:14:49	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x6367ff…
05-28 12:46:58	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	124	8¢	$10	0xa8cfa2…
05-28 12:33:07	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	96	10¢	$10	0xb9edb3…
05-27 18:42:52	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0xccdb29…
05-27 18:42:51	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	173	3¢	$5	0x26c676…
05-24 19:34:47	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	649	2¢	$10	0xe380bb…
05-24 19:33:21	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x5a4b96…
05-24 19:30:00	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	590	1¢	$5	0xb77562…
05-24 19:29:15	LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Movistar KOI	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x64edba…
05-22 11:08:09	José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x4baf9e…
05-22 08:51:57	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	213	5¢	$10	0x8c22f3…