Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open
Total volume
$4,345
$49 in 24h
Trades
41
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$2,262
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-05 14:36
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $3.2K | $3 | +$3.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $211 | $2 | +$209 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $514 | $0 | +$514 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $102 | $2 | +$99 |
| Median | 4 | $108 | — | +$108 |
| Below median | 3 | $100 | $0 | +$100 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| unranked | 7 | $3.6K | — | +$3.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beautiful-Thistle 0x7bd9…bd75 | Yes | +3,168 | $3,164 | $3,164 | 1 | 06-05 14:36 |
| Frightened-Kitsch 0x58fd…43a6 | No | +2,000 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-05 14:36 |
| Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | +988 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-05 14:36 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +336 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 06-01 01:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xfc64…1ad1 | Yes | +180 | $179 | $179 | 1 | 05-30 13:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e80…30e2 | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-05 14:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x288c…1575 | Yes | +98 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 05-31 11:53 |
| Grimy-Organ 0x33c6…fde1 | Yes | +81 | $81 | $81 | 4 | 06-04 20:23 |
| Handsome-Fibroblast 0xf82f…5ac5 | No | +80 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-05 14:36 |
| Shiny-Private 0xa0c0…0865 | Yes | +79 | $79 | $79 | 3 | 06-01 18:00 |
| Unconscious-Grandfather 0x1d5a…7a46 | Yes | +78 | $78 | $78 | 1 | 06-01 01:53 |
| Rowdy-Position 0x3a59…c2b6 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-04 09:58 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-05 14:36:06 | Handsome-Fibroblast 0xf82f…5ac5 | No | BUY | 80 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x577f9e… |
| 06-05 14:36:06 | Beautiful-Thistle 0x7bd9…bd75 | Yes | BUY | 3,168 | 100¢ | $3,164 | 0x577f9e… |
| 06-05 14:36:06 | Frightened-Kitsch 0x58fd…43a6 | No | BUY | 2,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x577f9e… |
| 06-05 14:36:06 | Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | BUY | 988 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x577f9e… |
| 06-05 14:36:06 | (anonymous) 0x9e80…30e2 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x577f9e… |
| 06-04 20:23:03 | Grimy-Organ 0x33c6…fde1 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x2f025d… |
| 06-04 20:23:03 | Amazing-Counseling 0xa639…f5e8 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x2f025d… |
| 06-04 20:13:03 | Amazing-Counseling 0xa639…f5e8 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xfdc375… |
| 06-04 20:13:03 | Meaty-Project 0xf68c…d5b1 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xfdc375… |
| 06-04 10:33:57 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x300a8a… |
| 06-04 10:33:57 | Beautiful-Message 0x6328…1bf3 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x300a8a… |
| 06-04 10:33:57 | Grimy-Organ 0x33c6…fde1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x300a8a… |
| 06-04 10:22:18 | Beautiful-Message 0x6328…1bf3 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xd33019… |
| 06-04 10:22:18 | Amazing-Counseling 0xa639…f5e8 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xd33019… |
| 06-04 10:16:27 | Amazing-Counseling 0xa639…f5e8 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x2dae82… |
| 06-04 10:16:27 | Grimy-Organ 0x33c6…fde1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x2dae82… |
| 06-04 10:16:27 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2dae82… |
| 06-04 10:16:27 | Beautiful-Message 0x6328…1bf3 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 100¢ | $70 | 0x2dae82… |
| 06-04 10:00:22 | Amazing-Counseling 0xa639…f5e8 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 100¢ | $70 | 0x4274b3… |
| 06-04 10:00:22 | Beautiful-Message 0x6328…1bf3 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 100¢ | $70 | 0x4274b3… |
| 06-04 09:58:48 | Amazing-Counseling 0xa639…f5e8 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 100¢ | $70 | 0x510d19… |
| 06-04 09:58:48 | Rowdy-Position 0x3a59…c2b6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x510d19… |
| 06-04 09:58:48 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x510d19… |
| 06-04 09:58:48 | Grave-Combination 0x49b1…c280 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x510d19… |
| 06-02 01:41:37 | Grimy-Organ 0x33c6…fde1 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $49 | 0xa0b148… |
| 06-02 01:41:37 | Grave-Combination 0x49b1…c280 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 100¢ | $49 | 0xa0b148… |
| 06-01 18:00:14 | Shiny-Private 0xa0c0…0865 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 100¢ | $27 | 0xb4ac0d… |
| 06-01 18:00:14 | Grave-Combination 0x49b1…c280 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 100¢ | $27 | 0xb4ac0d… |
| 06-01 17:04:40 | (anonymous) 0x8981…ce82 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xa2558f… |
| 06-01 17:04:40 | Shiny-Private 0xa0c0…0865 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xa2558f… |
| 06-01 01:53:19 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 78 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb55544… |
| 06-01 01:53:19 | Unconscious-Grandfather 0x1d5a…7a46 | Yes | BUY | 78 | 100¢ | $78 | 0xb55544… |
| 05-31 11:53:21 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 98 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf7a7f2… |
| 05-31 11:53:21 | (anonymous) 0x288c…1575 | Yes | BUY | 98 | 100¢ | $98 | 0xf7a7f2… |
| 05-30 13:26:40 | (anonymous) 0xb7ac…f13a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x917465… |
| 05-30 13:26:40 | (anonymous) 0xfc64…1ad1 | Yes | BUY | 180 | 100¢ | $179 | 0x917465… |
| 05-30 13:26:40 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 160 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x917465… |
| 05-30 12:18:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 42 | 100¢ | $42 | 0x545d97… |
| 05-30 12:18:55 | Shiny-Private 0xa0c0…0865 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 100¢ | $42 | 0x545d97… |
| 05-29 20:32:52 | Limited-Spokesman 0xa58c…56e3 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x321c22… |
| 05-29 20:32:52 | Salty-Face 0x5f9d…cf72 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x321c22… |