Realized P&L
+$57
Unrealized P&L
-$35
Hit rate
66.7%
Resolved
24
Trades
1,575
lifetime
Volume
$53.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$167
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 06-09 22:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
87% 38% +$57
Politics
6%
Crypto
4%
Sports
2%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -150 $-113 84¢ $-126 $-13 06-06 07:28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? Yes -2,000 $-25 $-19 +$6 06-03 13:24
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -60 $-12 25¢ $-15 $-3 06-02 14:52
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -10 $-6 64¢ $-6 $-1 06-06 23:31
Tabi FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -2 $-0 21¢ $-0 $-0 06-03 08:00
Tabi FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -1 $24 15¢ $-0 $-25 06-02 14:50