Handsome-Fibroblast — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.7%

Resolved

Trades

5,709

lifetime

Volume

$409

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 07-30 05:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

42% 36% +$16

Sports

41% 67% +$11

Politics

14% 22% +$1

Crypto

3% 0% $-1

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Braga win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	3	$6	50	50	+0	No	+$5	04-17 04:00
Will Ferran Torres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	13	$3	240	160	+80	open	—	04-18 09:46
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	15	$3	240	160	+80	No	+$2	04-15 11:35
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	7	$3	240	160	+80	open	—	04-11 03:33
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	6	$3	240	160	+80	No	+$2	04-13 16:34
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?	15	$3	240	160	+80	No	+$2	04-13 16:57
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	4	$3	160	160	+0	open	—	04-23 22:17
Will Ray McAdam win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	9	$3	160	160	+0	open	—	04-21 13:48
Will Joe Hunter win Survivor Season 50?	12	$3	156	160	-4	open	—	04-10 13:56
Will Rizo Velovic win Survivor Season 50?	15	$3	118	136	-18	open	—	04-07 03:22
Will Logan Forsythe be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	8	$2	160	100	+60	open	—	04-03 16:03
Will Julian Alvarez be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	11	$2	181	101	+80	No	+$1	04-15 19:42
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	10	$2	160	80	+80	open	—	03-11 14:40
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	5	$2	160	80	+80	open	—	04-28 07:33
Will Christian Hubicki win Survivor Season 50?	9	$2	160	80	+80	open	—	03-31 20:49
Will Kamilla Karthigesu win Survivor Season 50?	3	$2	160	80	+80	open	—	03-17 02:10
Will Udinese finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	3	$2	160	80	+80	open	—	04-17 07:21
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	3	$2	160	80	+80	open	—	03-09 00:09
Will Inter finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	10	$2	160	80	+80	open	—	04-17 17:51
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$2	160	80	+80	open	—	04-07 20:52
Will Malachy Steenson win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	6	$2	160	80	+80	open	—	04-27 04:01
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	7	$2	160	80	+80	open	—	04-15 19:40
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$2	160	80	+80	open	—	04-18 03:13
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$2	160	80	+80	No	+$1	04-24 14:09
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	5	$2	160	80	+80	No	+$1	04-24 14:58
Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	3	$2	160	80	+80	open	—	03-06 02:01
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	3	$2	160	80	+80	No	+$1	04-11 19:27
Will Janet Horner win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	3	$2	160	80	+80	open	—	04-17 03:52
Will Eintracht Frankfurt finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?	5	$2	160	80	+80	open	—	04-18 00:10
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$2	160	80	+80	No	+$1	04-09 13:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-30 05:25:08	Will the Seattle Mariners win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x8a8204…
07-29 19:20:18	will russia enter khatnie by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x253884…
07-29 18:37:44	will russia enter khatnie by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0x5a6b8b…
07-29 18:25:33	will russia enter khatnie by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x17c7cc…
07-29 18:12:51	will russia enter khatnie by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xe12ac8…
07-28 15:11:17	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x2c914c…
07-28 13:32:43	claudia sheinbaum out as president of mexico by july 31 20260626151340948	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x7598ea…
07-28 02:53:49	new stranger things episode released by july 31	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0xf5894d…
07-27 01:25:04	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1t cny 20260722211138920	No	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0xa3ffa9…
07-26 22:57:18	Will the New York Mets win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Yes	BUY	68	0¢	$0	0xea9f18…
07-26 12:05:10	netanyahu out by july 31	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0xd5af78…
07-26 09:02:21	Will the New York Mets win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xb99137…
07-26 06:45:42	will xi meet with takaichi by july 31 2026 20260626183128772	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x753739…
07-26 04:57:28	will xi meet with takaichi by july 31 2026 20260626183128772	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x738c68…
07-25 09:15:46	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0xde4d1e…
07-23 00:27:34	Will D.K. Metcalf be traded?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xed3827…
07-22 22:06:15	Will Trent Williams be traded?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x3d4305…
06-29 00:22:50	EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x4cba15…
06-27 21:45:20	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x4b0907…
06-26 07:04:49	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0xc32191…
06-26 05:52:26	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x6f4e32…
06-17 14:29:22	Fed Rate Hike by June 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x9bd8f9…
06-15 06:52:54	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xbd6fb4…
06-12 17:07:55	Will Trent Williams be traded?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x59f1ef…
06-12 05:01:45	Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x5bfd5b…
06-10 09:29:54	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x4e7993…
06-09 12:48:55	XRP all time high by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x232235…
06-08 15:31:42	Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2026?	No	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x2d2adc…
06-07 10:02:03	Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	80	2¢	$1	0xbb5b7e…
06-06 08:57:49	Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x5795d7…
06-05 14:36:06	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x577f9e…
06-04 03:26:48	Will D.K. Metcalf be traded?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xf0b851…
05-29 07:14:12	Netanyahu out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x435709…
05-28 18:15:49	Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?	No	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x577de1…
05-18 07:04:33	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0xdf5387…
05-16 04:16:50	GPT-5.6 released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0x7d4292…
05-16 00:59:42	GPT-5.6 released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0x75de02…
05-15 15:24:11	Will Drake release an album in 2026?	No	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x9bd243…
05-15 04:03:01	Will Drake feature Kendrick Lamar on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	56	0¢	$0	0x3b0031…
05-15 04:02:37	Will Drake feature Kendrick Lamar on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x0110fd…
05-15 01:54:01	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	No	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x1851c8…
05-14 23:52:59	Will Drake release a new song in 2026?	No	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0xc5ae60…
05-12 19:56:26	Will Osasuna be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0x8f2139…
05-12 18:48:56	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?	No	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x46435c…
05-12 07:16:12	Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 5M ETH before 2027?	No	BUY	68	0¢	$0	0x1292a3…
05-11 14:17:21	Will Citrea launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x36bbae…
05-11 11:01:32	Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 5M ETH before 2027?	No	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x719b4c…
05-10 16:19:47	Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	68	0¢	$0	0x2f97a2…
05-10 14:59:18	Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x166f19…
05-10 11:18:27	Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2fee04…
05-10 08:44:29	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x8b16d8…
05-10 08:08:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0xe2dd41…
05-08 23:57:34	Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	No	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0xc852d3…
05-07 13:33:14	Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2026?	No	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x1af088…
05-07 11:53:58	Will Itzy release a song in 2026?	No	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x22e91d…
04-28 07:33:00	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x1f5469…
04-28 07:11:40	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xb62dd6…
04-28 07:10:48	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0xe86275…
04-28 06:05:22	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	39	0¢	$0	0xef7533…
04-28 06:05:22	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0x6d1ff9…
04-28 06:05:22	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x1d064d…
04-28 00:22:40	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	SELL	80	2¢	$1	0x751eba…
04-27 22:09:28	Will Anastasia Potapova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	SELL	80	2¢	$1	0x3cc477…
04-27 21:06:52	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x80fa9c…
04-27 20:46:00	Will Gabriel Caceres be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x626e6b…
04-27 16:36:26	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x38bf0e…
04-27 14:39:16	Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	80	2¢	$1	0x02bf2f…
04-27 13:26:06	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Yes	SELL	80	2¢	$1	0x264d4e…
04-27 09:52:28	Will Crystal Palace be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	80	2¢	$1	0x620cc2…
04-27 09:51:14	Will Newcastle be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	62	2¢	$1	0xb326ec…
04-27 08:10:10	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x77d405…
04-27 04:01:36	Will Malachy Steenson win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x16a08f…
04-26 23:58:20	Will Newcastle be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x4fb6ed…
04-26 23:55:24	Will Susana Martinez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xb718f8…
04-26 23:55:24	Will Susana Martinez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4ded13…
04-26 23:22:56	Will Jordan Pickford be the goalkeeper with the most clean sheets in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0xaf9020…
04-26 21:22:50	Will Strasbourg finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?	Yes	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0xb4a762…
04-26 18:05:46	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x709f95…
04-26 17:16:18	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	80	2¢	$1	0xe50c8c…
04-26 15:30:54	Will Folarin Balogun be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x40d793…
04-26 15:23:46	Will Achraf Hakimi be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0xc0d6e2…
04-26 15:23:46	Will Folarin Balogun be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x20ae78…
04-26 15:23:44	Will Achraf Hakimi be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xa24973…
04-26 15:23:44	Will Folarin Balogun be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x11f49d…
04-26 14:39:50	Will the Los Angeles Kings win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xeed719…
04-26 14:39:50	Will the Los Angeles Kings win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xcc5ac3…
04-26 14:39:22	Will the Los Angeles Kings win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xefd6e3…
04-26 14:39:22	Will the Los Angeles Kings win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xb819b8…
04-26 14:39:22	Will the Los Angeles Kings win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x08535d…
04-26 11:06:36	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	80	2¢	$1	0xe1921c…
04-26 06:34:26	Will Sebastian Korda win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	80	2¢	$1	0xe88482…
04-26 06:19:22	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x470275…
04-26 06:03:28	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x22e1e6…
04-26 03:33:20	Will Strasbourg finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf496d1…
04-26 02:40:42	Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0xde18b2…
04-25 22:40:58	Will Newcastle be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xf1701a…
04-25 19:25:26	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	80	2¢	$1	0x4a5d76…
04-25 15:50:18	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0xb07554…
04-25 15:26:18	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	49	0¢	$0	0xbf0afe…
04-25 14:58:56	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x62715b…