Realized P&L
+$257
Unrealized P&L
+$19
Hit rate
63.1%
Resolved
1,786
Trades
8,874
lifetime
Volume
$878
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$31
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-27
last 11-07 15:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 198 days
Categories
Other
48% 17% +$138
Sports
30% 12% +$9
Politics
20% 17% +$34
Crypto
2% 11% +$77
Tech
0% 0% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes -80 -$1 6¢ $-5 -$3 08-19 18:57
Will Kingston Flemings win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes +80 $0 6¢ $5 +$4 10-13 14:39
Will Alex Pretti be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? Yes +80 $0 3¢ $3 +$2 09-29 11:20
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +80 $0 2¢ $2 +$2 10-24 04:17
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +80 $0 2¢ $2 +$1 10-01 14:29
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +80 $0 2¢ $1 +$1 08-13 18:23
Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? Yes +69 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 05-14 01:58
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +80 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 11-07 15:29
Will Paris FC win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes +80 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 09-04 13:52
Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -80 -$1 1¢ $-1 +$1 06-07 10:02
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? Yes +80 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 10-17 14:20
Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +80 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 08-23 16:54
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +80 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 08-11 11:04
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +80 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 09-07 09:03
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +80 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 09-03 21:58
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +80 $0 1¢ $1 +$0 10-19 13:41
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +80 $0 1¢ $1 +$0 10-04 23:39
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +80 $0 1¢ $1 +$0 09-23 13:36
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? Yes -80 -$1 1¢ $-0 +$1 08-28 03:29
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +80 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 11-05 15:42
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +80 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 09-06 20:15
Will Matt Carroll win The Bachelorette Season 22? Yes +80 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 08-26 22:33
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +80 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 09-06 21:31
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +80 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 08-31 16:59
Will Colorado Rapids win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +68 -$1 1¢ $0 +$1 11-01 08:20
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +80 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 07-25 09:14
Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +80 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 08-24 01:36
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +80 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-02 23:15
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +80 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-19 22:22
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +80 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-08 01:55