Fixed-Blight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.0%

Resolved

479

Trades

577

lifetime

Volume

$5.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 10-28 14:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Other

58% 95% -$3

Crypto

27% 72% +$23

Sports

13% 97% -$4

Politics

1% 92% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 15:15 UTC	4	$203	205	+205	Down	+$2	04-22 15:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 07:30 UTC	1	$198	200	+200	Up	+$2	04-22 07:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 10:50 UTC	1	$196	198	+198	Up	+$2	04-22 10:55
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 17:45 UTC	2	$124	125	+125	Down	+$1	04-22 17:50
Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 22°C on August 24?	1	$110	110	+110	No	+$0	08-25 05:47
Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 23.5	1	$110	110	+110	Over	+$0	08-25 17:14
Charleston Battery vs. Miami FC: O/U 4.5	1	$109	109	+109	Over	+$0	08-25 03:07
Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	1	$109	109	+109	Under	+$0	08-22 14:01
Will "Gold" be in the headlines this week?	1	$109	109	+109	No	+$0	08-23 07:28
mlb oak kc 2026 08 18 f5 total 5pt5	1	$108	108	+108	Under	+$0	08-19 01:09
Atletico de Rafaela vs. CA Defensores de Belgrano: Neither team to score first?	1	$108	108	+108	Yes	+$0	08-15 04:13
Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)	1	$108	108	+108	SC Freiburg	+$0	08-15 20:36
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5	1	$108	108	+108	Under	+$0	08-16 01:29
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5	1	$108	108	+108	Under	+$0	08-15 01:56
mlbb tlid dewa 2026 08 16	1	$108	108	+108	Team Liquid ID	+$0	08-16 10:58
itf murcia walke 2026 08 18	1	$108	108	+108	Brandy Walker	+$0	08-18 13:08
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	1	$108	108	+108	FC Barcelona	+$0	08-16 18:27
mlb cin cws 2026 08 12 total 4pt5	1	$107	107	+107	Over	+$0	08-13 02:11
mlb mia cin 2026 08 14 nrfi	1	$107	107	+107	No	+$0	08-14 22:41
itf yilmaz ahti 2026 08 11 first set winner Yilmaz vs Ahti	1	$107	107	+107	Ahti	+$0	08-11 19:02
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5	1	$107	107	+107	Under	+$0	08-14 23:38
Will Best Buy say "Vendor" 20+ times during earnings call?	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	08-27 16:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 18:10 UTC	1	$99	100	+100	Down	+$1	04-23 18:15
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	1	$95	95	+95	Under	+$0	08-19 16:55
Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 20°C or below on August 23?	2	$75	75	+75	No	+$0	08-24 11:38
Will it rain in Seattle, WA on August 19?	1	$74	74	+74	No	+$0	08-20 20:42
Will the lowest temperature in Manila be 25°C on August 23?	1	$70	70	+70	No	+$0	08-23 16:20
Will Detroit City FC win on 2026-08-22?	2	$63	63	+63	Yes	+$0	08-23 03:05
Will Undying Be the Most Banned Hero at The International 2026?	1	$60	60	+60	No	+$0	08-19 12:27
Will anyone say "Trust" during Big Brother E23?	1	$50	50	+50	Yes	+$0	08-24 04:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 14:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x8f2476…
10-28 13:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x261fc0…
10-28 13:16:28	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x877f74…
10-28 10:35:47	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xe8d2b7…
10-28 10:08:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x9d6b09…
10-28 10:07:22	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x2b4884…
10-28 10:06:19	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x754608…
10-28 09:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc6473e…
10-28 09:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xadfbcd…
10-28 09:41:38	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7da669…
10-28 09:39:29	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x961d9e…
10-28 09:37:32	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x99aa39…
10-28 05:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x306831…
10-28 04:46:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa1fbe3…
10-28 04:35:34	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xa439ee…
10-28 02:49:14	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xed220f…
10-28 02:38:38	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x39670c…
10-27 23:38:32	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x506289…
10-27 22:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x6edd26…
10-27 22:32:36	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xd7845c…
10-27 22:32:21	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x7d36da…
10-27 22:14:33	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x6c4598…
10-27 22:14:23	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xffc5e7…
10-27 21:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xbd7fb8…
10-27 21:17:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x46b446…
10-27 19:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x18816a…
10-27 18:34:32	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x45f231…
10-27 14:19:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xbeba4b…
10-27 13:22:11	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf023c6…
10-27 13:16:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x58d286…
10-27 13:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x69ca4d…
10-27 13:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	1	63¢	$1	0x187e6b…
10-27 10:39:15	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x09eea8…
10-27 10:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xf7306c…
10-27 09:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xe147d9…
10-27 08:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xe4b4b8…
10-27 08:39:48	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xd9622d…
10-27 08:31:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xda0cdc…
10-27 08:20:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x90c068…
10-26 22:45:02	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x0086e7…
10-25 19:10:29	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xc6bb1e…
10-25 13:41:15	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xc181c3…
10-24 22:03:33	BNB Up or Down - October 24, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x1e305b…
10-24 19:06:27	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xeac4fd…
10-24 15:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x41f01d…
10-24 14:32:32	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xe51dd0…
10-23 19:29:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x9781ca…
10-23 17:17:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x7d973c…
10-23 16:07:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6e34f5…
10-23 11:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd75f6e…
10-23 07:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xc72e33…
10-22 19:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x1c9f58…
10-22 17:41:08	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x86ff18…
10-22 14:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x4fcea8…
10-22 09:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xdec5c7…
10-22 00:27:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 21, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x49cdce…
10-21 18:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xa78392…
10-21 15:45:59	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xfc9a79…
10-21 13:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x23156f…
10-21 08:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x75c1d1…
10-20 20:41:18	BNB Up or Down - October 20, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x4bcd2d…
10-20 20:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xfd6f90…
10-19 02:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x877a01…
10-18 06:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x5f9165…
10-18 05:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x68fe85…
10-18 03:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x2fe0b2…
10-17 21:10:32	bnb up or down october 17 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1b91cb…
10-17 21:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x20588a…
10-17 10:04:51	bitcoin up or down october 17 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x351a6b…
10-17 06:51:20	XRP Up or Down - October 17, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x86a46a…
10-17 05:00:02	XRP Up or Down - October 17, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7dd507…
10-17 03:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1290ca…
10-17 01:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb13b6c…
10-16 16:59:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xdb1b81…
10-16 14:53:12	XRP Up or Down - October 16, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xf4c024…
10-16 13:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xbaa543…
10-16 13:55:18	XRP Up or Down - October 16, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x2d1883…
10-16 11:01:57	XRP Up or Down - October 16, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x4364d3…
10-16 10:33:16	XRP Up or Down - October 16, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb66822…
10-16 08:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb00b09…
10-16 08:02:18	XRP Up or Down - October 16, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xdac6f5…
10-16 07:57:42	XRP Up or Down - October 16, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1fe513…
10-16 06:31:24	XRP Up or Down - October 16, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x2d01a2…
10-16 02:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x50162d…
10-15 23:59:22	BNB Up or Down - October 15, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x3d36cc…
10-15 20:58:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x32f1aa…
10-15 20:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x3fa860…
10-15 18:59:23	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa4762a…
10-15 13:28:13	BNB Up or Down - October 15, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xef47c7…
10-15 13:27:37	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x95a938…
10-15 12:40:19	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xfe0f35…
10-15 12:30:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xad5cfd…
10-15 12:29:23	XRP Up or Down - October 15, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd85bd9…
10-15 11:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd6ec7c…
10-15 11:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x83ea22…
10-15 08:50:38	solana up or down october 15 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x2bfb19…
10-15 08:47:14	solana up or down october 15 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0xbe9c61…
10-14 15:48:09	dogecoin up or down october 14 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xd66976…
10-14 15:47:52	dogecoin up or down october 14 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x66cff0…
10-14 15:45:28	ethereum up or down october 14 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x87de3e…