Realized P&L
-$7.30K
Unrealized P&L
-$254
Hit rate
67.5%
Resolved
1,497
Trades
37,513
lifetime
Volume
$200.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$3.27K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-11 18:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 116 days
Categories
Other
59%
57%
+$3,008
Sports
32%
53%
-$2,449
Politics
8%
30%
-$7,895
Tech
0%
100%
+$10
Crypto
0%
—
—
Pop-Culture
0%
50%
+$26
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-11).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Databricks IPO before 2027? | No | +1,020 | $812 | 98¢ | $997 | +$184 | 07-06 08:07 | |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | No | -590 | -$463 | 99¢ | $-582 | -$119 | 05-09 16:31 | |
| Discord IPO before 2027? | No | -390 | -$201 | 94¢ | $-365 | -$164 | 07-06 08:07 | |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | -370 | -$291 | 94¢ | $-350 | -$59 | 05-25 08:12 | |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | No | +610 | $464 | 56¢ | $345 | -$120 | 07-11 18:51 | |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? | Yes | -350 | -$309 | 88¢ | $-308 | +$1 | 06-22 03:54 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | +520 | $46 | 18¢ | $95 | +$49 | 06-28 22:59 | |
| Ramp IPO before 2027? | No | -60 | -$53 | 98¢ | $-59 | -$5 | 06-03 02:43 | |
| Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? | No | -60 | -$55 | 97¢ | $-58 | -$4 | 06-26 08:23 | |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | Yes | -130 | -$30 | 44¢ | $-57 | -$26 | 06-18 18:22 | |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | +2,006 | $30 | 1¢ | $27 | -$3 | 06-20 11:28 | |
| Deel IPO before 2027? | No | -10 | -$9 | 100¢ | $-10 | -$1 | 05-20 20:38 | |
| Anduril IPO before 2027? | No | +10 | $9 | 98¢ | $10 | +$1 | 06-12 15:52 | |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | -90 | -$47 | 3¢ | $-3 | +$44 | 06-26 11:42 | |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | -161 | $16 | 1¢ | $-1 | -$17 | 06-28 22:54 | |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | +217 | $17 | 0¢ | $0 | -$16 | 06-23 18:59 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 3,008 | $15.3K | 13,939 | 16,470 | -2,531 | Yes | +$2,472 | 01-27 08:05 |
| will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january | 1,553 | $6.8K | 14,465 | 1,136 | +13,329 | Yes | -$5,645 | 01-28 18:44 |
| will trump talk to vladimir putin in january | 1,056 | $6.1K | 6,625 | 3,970 | +2,655 | No | -$2,468 | 01-29 21:34 |
| will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in january | 303 | $2.5K | 2,590 | 440 | +2,150 | Yes | +$372 | 01-22 11:44 |
| will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month | 1,157 | $2.5K | 8,312 | 4,395 | +3,917 | Yes | -$1,077 | 02-19 22:04 |
| will no one dissent the march fed decision | 219 | $2.2K | 2,030 | 160 | +1,870 | No | +$29 | 03-17 14:37 |
| will bridgerton season 4 be the top us netflix show this week february 3 2026 | 203 | $2.0K | 2,020 | 10 | +2,010 | Yes | +$57 | 01-31 09:27 |
| will the night agent season 3 be the top us netflix show this week 842 | 200 | $2.0K | 2,000 | 0 | +2,000 | No | +$49 | 03-01 10:23 |
| will bridgerton season 4 be the top us netflix show this week 951 | 205 | $1.9K | 2,020 | 30 | +1,990 | Yes | +$136 | 02-28 14:29 |
| will the lincoln lawyer season 4 be the top us netflix show this week | 194 | $1.8K | 1,890 | 60 | +1,830 | No | +$101 | 02-17 01:10 |
| nba den mem 2026 01 25 | 207 | $1.8K | 2,000 | 2,010 | -10 | Grizzlies | +$7 | 02-04 02:25 |
| nba was lal 2026 03 30 | 196 | $1.7K | 1,940 | 20 | +1,920 | Lakers | +$173 | 03-30 00:29 |
| nba was gsw 2026 03 27 | 200 | $1.7K | 2,000 | 0 | +2,000 | Warriors | +$320 | 03-25 22:03 |
| nba sas gsw 2026 04 01 | 184 | $1.6K | 1,840 | 0 | +1,840 | Spurs | +$208 | 03-31 16:54 |
| wta gauff rakhimo 2026 03 06 | 180 | $1.6K | 1,800 | 0 | +1,800 | Coco Gauff | +$179 | 03-06 22:08 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | 642 | $1.6K | 3,210 | 3,210 | +0 | open | — | 06-28 18:12 |
| will louis theroux inside the manosphere be the 2 us netflix movie this week | 157 | $1.5K | 1,570 | 0 | +1,570 | No | +$20 | 03-15 16:14 |
| wta pegula vekic 2026 03 07 | 173 | $1.5K | 1,730 | 0 | +1,730 | Jessica Pegula | +$206 | 03-08 01:55 |
| nba sas mil 2026 03 28 | 167 | $1.5K | 1,670 | 0 | +1,670 | Spurs | +$200 | 03-26 22:27 |
| nba det was 2026 03 19 | 170 | $1.5K | 1,650 | 50 | +1,600 | Pistons | +$184 | 03-18 20:43 |
| nba bkn lal 2026 03 27 | 161 | $1.4K | 1,610 | 0 | +1,610 | Lakers | +$170 | 03-26 02:06 |
| will bad bunny have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month | 543 | $1.4K | 4,744 | 740 | +4,004 | No | -$1,054 | 02-17 23:12 |
| will love is blind season 10 be the top us netflix show this week | 137 | $1.3K | 1,370 | 0 | +1,370 | No | +$42 | 02-17 01:09 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | 630 | $1.3K | 4,006 | 2,590 | +1,416 | open | — | 06-20 11:28 |
| atp djokovi majchrz 2026 03 06 | 141 | $1.2K | 1,400 | 10 | +1,390 | Novak Djokovic | +$159 | 03-07 20:37 |
| will people we meet on vacation be the 2 us netflix movie this week january 20 2026 | 138 | $1.2K | 900 | 480 | +420 | Yes | +$74 | 01-19 16:15 |
| nba bkn phx 2026 01 27 spread home 8pt5 | 244 | $1.2K | 2,440 | 0 | +2,440 | Nets | -$1,207 | 01-28 01:59 |
| nba phi ind 2026 04 10 | 145 | $1.2K | 1,380 | 72 | +1,308 | 76ers | +$135 | 04-10 10:25 |
| nba mil lac 2026 03 23 | 133 | $1.2K | 1,330 | 0 | +1,330 | Clippers | +$173 | 03-24 02:15 |
| nba sac atl 2026 03 28 | 138 | $1.1K | 1,340 | 40 | +1,300 | Hawks | +$169 | 03-28 22:26 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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