Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
+$133
Hit rate
91.0%
Resolved
17
Trades
1,014
lifetime
Volume
$23.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$2.45K
22 positions
First seen
2026-04-11
last 06-20 12:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
53% 90% $-15
Other
30% 100% +$5
Crypto
14% 100% +$0
Tech
4%
Pop-Culture
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1,376 $1,120 92¢ $1.3K +$153 06-19 17:02
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -250 $-248 100¢ $-249 $-1 06-14 12:51
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +250 $159 96¢ $239 +$79 06-19 20:05
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +200 $190 99¢ $197 +$7 06-19 11:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +1,036 $173 $78 $-95 06-20 13:32
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +60 $58 99¢ $60 +$2 06-10 20:05
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $41 94¢ $57 +$16 05-31 17:20
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +50 $46 99¢ $50 +$3 05-31 15:49
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +41 $39 99¢ $41 +$1 06-10 18:46
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? No -40 $-40 100¢ $-40 $-0 06-14 13:04
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No +30 $29 99¢ $30 +$1 05-31 16:27
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +53 $45 40¢ $21 $-24 06-20 11:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +50 $31 42¢ $21 $-10 06-14 22:07
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? No -20 $-20 100¢ $-20 $-0 06-05 10:35
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -20 $-17 78¢ $-16 +$1 06-10 22:01
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -15 $-15 100¢ $-15 $-0 06-02 21:30
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 06-11 17:05
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 +$0 06-07 20:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +10 $7 88¢ $9 +$1 06-07 14:04
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -10 $-9 88¢ $-9 $-0 06-18 19:14
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -10 $-7 76¢ $-8 $-1 06-14 18:36
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No -10 $-5 51¢ $-5 $-0 06-01 14:33