Realized P&L
+$2.54K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.67K
Hit rate
77.8%
Resolved
532
Trades
4,535
lifetime
Volume
$172.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$16.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-11
last 10-31 04:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 149 days
Categories
Other
51% 84% +$956
Politics
45% 83% +$1,838
Crypto
4% 62% -$158
Tech
1% 78% -$105
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$3
Sports
0% 60% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,000 $2,236 45¢ $1.8K -$454 10-15 21:59
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 No +1,408 $1,134 99¢ $1.4K +$264 10-08 20:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,100 $684 88¢ $974 +$290 09-20 18:21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +1,000 $712 97¢ $970 +$258 10-30 23:02
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +900 $656 97¢ $873 +$217 10-28 21:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,000 $766 82¢ $825 +$59 10-23 22:39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,100 $567 57¢ $632 +$66 10-27 20:46
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +600 $417 100¢ $600 +$183 10-27 22:58
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +600 $354 99¢ $594 +$240 10-27 22:33
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +700 $518 72¢ $500 -$17 10-26 19:51
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +500 $455 94¢ $472 +$18 10-25 23:30
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +500 $446 94¢ $472 +$26 10-25 22:51
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,100 $265 42¢ $467 +$202 10-27 22:48
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +468 $372 99¢ $463 +$91 10-27 19:58
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +650 $449 64¢ $416 -$33 10-23 17:21
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +550 $448 72¢ $399 -$50 10-28 10:28
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +400 $357 99¢ $397 +$40 10-27 21:42
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +400 $378 99¢ $397 +$19 10-08 15:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +400 $364 94¢ $376 +$12 10-20 14:31
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +550 $424 66¢ $366 -$58 10-30 19:41
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +500 $366 72¢ $358 -$8 10-28 22:03
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +300 $240 97¢ $291 +$51 09-17 14:28
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +300 $273 96¢ $286 +$14 10-20 23:38
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +400 $250 72¢ $286 +$36 10-24 16:00
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +400 $248 72¢ $286 +$38 10-24 08:16
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +400 $255 70¢ $282 +$27 10-24 02:16
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No +300 $218 88¢ $262 +$44 10-29 08:31
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +300 $238 86¢ $256 +$18 10-18 23:58
iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885 Yes +700 $174 36¢ $252 +$78 10-03 19:21
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +300 $206 70¢ $211 +$5 10-30 17:21