Few-Mistake-Spice — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,530

lifetime

Volume

$55.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 08-01 18:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

57% 100% +$5

Politics

35% 90% $-15

Crypto

6% 100% +$0

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	36	$7.9K	6,350	6,350	+0	open	—	07-30 21:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	47	$7.0K	4,512	6,000	-1,488	open	—	07-06 14:10
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	43	$5.2K	2,789	2,789	+0	open	—	07-10 18:03
will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	50	$3.5K	2,528	1,770	+758	open	—	06-14 21:44
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	37	$1.6K	2,700	800	+1,900	open	—	07-30 14:48
will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	15	$1.6K	900	900	+0	open	—	06-16 00:53
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	21	$1.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	08-01 21:29
will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	30	$1.3K	940	940	+0	open	—	06-16 19:08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	4	$1.2K	600	600	+0	open	—	06-25 23:48
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	19	$1.0K	570	525	+45	open	—	07-28 11:49
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	36	$939	1,044	1,044	+0	open	—	06-28 05:36
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	10	$913	500	500	+0	open	—	07-20 12:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	23	$885	451	490	-39	open	—	05-31 15:03
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	6	$880	900	0	+900	open	—	08-01 22:56
will iran close its airspace by june 13 20260609184136051	9	$776	400	400	+0	open	—	06-14 02:58
will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	5	$772	800	0	+800	open	—	06-12 13:57
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	24	$672	461	500	-38	open	—	06-08 00:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	8	$621	550	300	+250	open	—	07-30 01:34
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	29	$617	345	375	-30	open	—	06-11 16:34
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	28	$606	1,200	600	+600	open	—	07-31 19:30
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	16	$545	549	0	+549	open	—	06-18 00:40
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	19	$535	571	600	-29	open	—	06-05 21:41
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	8	$390	200	200	+0	open	—	06-29 20:20
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	6	$388	200	200	+0	open	—	07-04 16:13
will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	12	$384	180	230	-50	open	—	06-12 04:36
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	5	$383	200	200	+0	open	—	07-16 22:31
will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	2	$383	400	0	+400	open	—	07-30 22:41
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	22	$332	610	310	+300	open	—	06-19 21:12
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	42	$313	310	496	-186	open	—	06-09 15:29
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	20	$296	292	225	+67	open	—	06-20 21:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 22:56:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x9c8d71…
08-01 21:47:48	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xe0b097…
08-01 21:29:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x436404…
08-01 19:57:06	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xaad95d…
08-01 19:25:15	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x904b21…
08-01 18:54:30	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xf74f9c…
08-01 18:53:56	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xeb5d4e…
08-01 18:11:03	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x051a6d…
08-01 18:02:23	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x94d6f2…
08-01 17:40:54	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x2622f1…
08-01 17:33:12	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xb33a77…
08-01 15:02:11	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x857beb…
08-01 15:00:00	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x470ab2…
08-01 14:45:08	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x16a048…
08-01 14:43:48	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	14	67¢	$9	0x42992b…
08-01 14:43:30	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x9ad12a…
08-01 14:37:05	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x7ca0a5…
08-01 14:35:02	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x5960ec…
08-01 14:19:59	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xafd943…
08-01 13:43:11	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x851ef2…
08-01 11:17:48	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xd3adba…
08-01 10:16:47	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0xb0fe6c…
08-01 05:06:38	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x1a9e87…
08-01 04:31:38	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x2ebef6…
08-01 03:19:41	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x4dd015…
08-01 01:02:00	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xbf3c10…
07-31 22:45:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x3fab93…
07-31 22:25:41	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x1badd4…
07-31 22:20:54	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xd0fd6f…
07-31 21:53:26	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x7db0ad…
07-31 21:38:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xbfdc32…
07-31 21:02:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x0d7690…
07-31 21:02:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x7b719b…
07-31 21:00:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xe9b8ac…
07-31 20:59:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x178dd0…
07-31 20:23:02	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x8141ff…
07-31 20:23:02	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x2ce19a…
07-31 20:22:56	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xfab2fe…
07-31 20:22:56	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x358463…
07-31 20:22:56	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x220784…
07-31 20:22:53	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xecca3c…
07-31 20:22:53	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x6f22c8…
07-31 20:22:53	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x47cec2…
07-31 20:05:27	will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xe632f1…
07-31 19:30:50	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	600	3¢	$16	0xcad360…
07-31 14:05:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x9563ff…
07-31 12:26:36	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xaf8686…
07-31 12:06:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x967c47…
07-31 11:24:23	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xdaf076…
07-31 11:22:56	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x15c283…
07-31 10:46:05	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x163fb8…
07-31 09:51:14	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xf91423…
07-31 02:26:06	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x5b9538…
07-30 22:41:18	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0xabd567…
07-30 21:52:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x4e55fe…
07-30 21:31:26	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xe6104a…
07-30 20:48:26	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	74	18¢	$13	0x19f60c…
07-30 20:43:45	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	26	18¢	$5	0xc82916…
07-30 19:55:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xfb5f9e…
07-30 19:30:11	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x0420a0…
07-30 19:25:36	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	97	80¢	$78	0xd05e05…
07-30 19:17:38	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$3	0x7d791c…
07-30 18:49:09	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x4a50a8…
07-30 16:22:33	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xbdf8b2…
07-30 14:48:39	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xc30165…
07-30 14:48:39	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xc30165…
07-30 14:47:29	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x3279c5…
07-30 14:43:57	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xaffa9f…
07-30 14:35:12	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xa21163…
07-30 14:35:12	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x9b05f2…
07-30 14:35:12	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x7b680e…
07-30 14:35:12	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x744c3b…
07-30 14:35:12	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x68f276…
07-30 14:35:12	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x6791b9…
07-30 14:35:12	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x3c63db…
07-30 14:35:11	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x8787c5…
07-30 14:35:11	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x82ac81…
07-30 14:35:11	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x6547cc…
07-30 14:35:11	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x5f685f…
07-30 14:35:11	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x188963…
07-30 14:13:11	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x716f0a…
07-30 14:04:08	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xbc5942…
07-30 13:52:24	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xc65eda…
07-30 12:54:03	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x0a8223…
07-30 12:53:23	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	45	80¢	$36	0x1ed070…
07-30 12:52:56	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc64aa3…
07-30 08:15:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x9f7e91…
07-30 01:34:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xb178d0…
07-29 19:25:57	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xdb5a5e…
07-29 18:48:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	17	98¢	$16	0xf537d7…
07-29 18:47:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	183	98¢	$179	0x5c313d…
07-29 16:57:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x89060b…
07-28 23:06:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x217556…
07-28 23:02:34	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xf8f84a…
07-28 22:56:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x7e935e…
07-28 22:47:31	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xb782d7…
07-28 22:31:59	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x05dc60…
07-28 22:16:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x602a54…
07-28 22:08:44	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$3	0x2fac42…
07-28 21:53:05	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xc93229…