Bustling-Boom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

-$23

Hit rate

78.9%

Resolved

Trades

129

lifetime

Volume

$1.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$146

8 positions

First seen

2026-05-31

last 10-15 20:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

49% 75% +$7

Politics

35% 50% -$26

Crypto

14% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+39	$29	87¢	$34	+$5	06-24 15:42
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	+27	$20	97¢	$26	+$6	07-01 19:31
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	+26	$20	94¢	$25	+$5	07-01 19:29
AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	+24	$20	92¢	$22	+$2	07-14 13:30
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+28	$20	71¢	$20	$0	10-15 20:11
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	No	+27	$20	64¢	$17	-$3	06-24 15:46
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	+30	$20	8¢	$2	-$18	07-01 19:27
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	+29	$20	2¢	$0	-$20	10-15 20:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	4	$68	55	55	+0	No	+$8	07-01 19:17
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	4	$51	53	15	+39	open	—	06-24 15:42
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	2	$49	31	31	+0	open	—	10-01 06:39
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	2	$47	36	36	+0	No	+$3	07-07 11:30
Trump declares election interference national emergency?	2	$44	29	29	+0	open	—	07-14 13:19
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?	3	$43	29	29	+0	open	—	07-01 19:19
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	3	$42	34	34	+0	open	—	07-07 11:33
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	4	$42	28	28	+0	open	—	06-17 15:39
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	2	$42	26	26	+0	open	—	07-14 13:19
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	3	$41	26	26	+0	open	—	07-01 19:15
Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$41	36	36	+0	Yes	+$1	08-11 10:56
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	3	$41	28	28	+0	open	—	07-01 19:14
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$41	48	48	+0	open	—	07-27 07:27
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	3	$40	42	16	+26	open	—	07-01 19:29
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$39	33	33	+0	open	—	08-11 11:01
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	2	$34	24	24	+0	open	—	08-11 11:00
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	4	$33	21	21	+0	open	—	07-14 13:18
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$32	32	32	+0	Yes	-$8	10-01 06:44
AI bubble burst in 2026?	4	$30	31	7	+24	open	—	07-14 13:30
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$28	19	19	+0	open	—	07-27 07:13
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$22	13	13	+0	Yes	+$2	06-09 17:07
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$22	15	15	+0	Yes	+$2	06-07 17:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$22	15	15	+0	open	—	06-24 15:38
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	2	$21	14	14	+0	open	—	06-24 15:38
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$21	14	14	+0	open	—	06-24 15:38
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$21	13	13	+0	Yes	+$1	06-07 17:06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	2	$21	12	12	+0	No	+$1	06-09 17:07
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	2	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	06-07 17:07
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	06-07 17:07
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	06-07 17:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 20:13:57	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x33f25a…
10-15 20:12:58	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xe71301…
10-15 20:11:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x1218d9…
10-15 20:10:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xf8fc97…
10-01 06:44:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	32	36¢	$12	0xda6c0e…
10-01 06:39:54	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	31	94¢	$29	0x911bc4…
08-11 11:07:16	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x37e547…
08-11 11:06:12	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x8656ac…
08-11 11:05:27	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x50d30a…
08-11 11:01:31	Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	33	58¢	$19	0xd5bb21…
08-11 11:00:24	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	24	79¢	$19	0x0e6ff3…
08-11 10:56:22	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	59¢	$21	0xfa6763…
07-27 07:43:46	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x1513fc…
07-27 07:42:19	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0xd22bf5…
07-27 07:27:28	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	48	43¢	$21	0xb325dc…
07-27 07:13:57	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	19	73¢	$14	0xed2605…
07-14 13:40:44	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0x69bc3b…
07-14 13:31:41	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x4181bd…
07-14 13:30:14	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xf4f14d…
07-14 13:29:26	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x7daec6…
07-14 13:19:50	Trump declares election interference national emergency?	No	SELL	29	82¢	$24	0x0a3d49…
07-14 13:19:13	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	82¢	$22	0x2d326c…
07-14 13:18:43	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	17	79¢	$14	0x247d40…
07-07 11:38:58	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x368cc3…
07-07 11:37:34	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x3761ca…
07-07 11:33:05	US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	No	SELL	34	66¢	$22	0x5fbc6d…
07-07 11:30:14	Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	36	68¢	$25	0xb3892a…
07-01 19:32:40	Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	36	61¢	$22	0xbc241a…
07-01 19:31:41	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x615433…
07-01 19:29:32	Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xa9b24c…
07-01 19:28:32	Trump declares election interference national emergency?	No	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xac8217…
07-01 19:27:31	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xf200e2…
07-01 19:19:43	will openais valuation hit low 750b by december 31 995 138	No	SELL	29	77¢	$23	0x215289…
07-01 19:17:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	55	70¢	$38	0x4558d9…
07-01 19:15:58	Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	No	SELL	26	80¢	$21	0xf8ac75…
07-01 19:14:13	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	28	75¢	$21	0xd0aea0…
06-24 15:52:32	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0xfcd87d…
06-24 15:48:47	Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x09ed4d…
06-24 15:47:23	will openais valuation hit low 750b by december 31 995 138	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xc786bf…
06-24 15:46:31	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x83f0fc…
06-24 15:45:25	US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x40118a…
06-24 15:44:20	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x4114a2…
06-24 15:43:02	Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x701b79…
06-24 15:42:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x3cfc66…
06-24 15:42:05	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0x2689e7…
06-24 15:38:31	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	77¢	$11	0xdbac56…
06-24 15:38:23	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	81¢	$11	0x3c57d2…
06-24 15:38:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	76¢	$12	0x6cf073…
06-17 15:39:08	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	84¢	$12	0x941acd…
06-16 17:17:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x998020…
06-16 09:05:45	Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x159415…
06-16 09:04:31	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x2a1995…
06-16 09:03:36	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x9921ce…
06-16 09:03:06	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xa3a6fd…
06-16 09:02:31	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x110318…
06-16 09:01:21	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x3c5c6d…
06-16 09:00:57	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0x512d4a…
06-16 08:59:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xdc3248…
06-15 16:49:09	Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x623e88…
06-15 16:49:03	Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x989511…
06-14 07:22:09	Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x017485…
06-14 07:21:55	Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0x8ed122…
06-14 07:21:49	Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	SELL	53	0¢	$0	0xc655c9…
06-14 07:21:39	Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	SELL	106	0¢	$0	0xaac0fa…
06-14 07:21:22	Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	SELL	203	0¢	$0	0x667a14…
06-14 07:21:01	Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	SELL	131	0¢	$0	0xea5d17…
06-14 07:20:48	Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	SELL	182	0¢	$0	0xfe6ae2…
06-10 13:04:25	US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xb4cd5b…
06-10 13:03:39	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x7f9527…
06-10 13:03:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x9be968…
06-10 06:29:06	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xcd70da…
06-09 17:08:37	Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xe2a2e5…
06-09 17:08:24	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x1567ed…
06-09 17:08:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x9e58f8…
06-09 17:07:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	SELL	12	87¢	$11	0xf60900…
06-09 17:07:10	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0xce5bbb…
06-07 17:09:36	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xcb82c2…
06-07 17:09:27	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x6ea0c7…
06-07 17:09:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0x985cf9…
06-07 17:09:10	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0xf6dc9b…
06-07 17:08:58	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0x045f4d…
06-07 17:08:21	Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	No	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0xd3ef0d…
06-07 17:08:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	12	87¢	$10	0x47dfc3…
06-07 17:07:57	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0xa86a1a…
06-07 17:07:49	Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	16	63¢	$10	0xaf03de…
06-07 17:07:34	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0x397471…
06-07 17:07:09	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0x799eaa…
06-07 17:07:00	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	90¢	$10	0xffefb4…
06-07 17:06:42	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	74¢	$11	0x938b7b…
06-07 17:06:33	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0x8b7e3f…
06-07 17:06:18	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	15	83¢	$12	0x89648d…
06-07 17:06:12	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in May?	Yes	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x3b5f8c…
06-06 07:13:28	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x4b7c16…
06-05 10:56:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xc110d9…
06-04 20:00:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x32a66e…
06-04 19:57:21	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x2c4ffa…
06-01 21:52:13	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xa71ba5…
06-01 21:49:01	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x5d3ba6…
06-01 21:47:49	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xd6fe62…
06-01 21:46:53	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in May?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x9efdda…