Subtle-Fencing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

4.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,500

lifetime

Volume

$26.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 03:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

54% 0% $-3

Politics

21% 50% +$0

Crypto

15% — —

Sports

10% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	78	$3.4K	3,830	3,860	-30	open	—	03-23 00:02
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	39	$2.1K	1,224	1,224	-0	open	—	03-02 19:54
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	30	$1.2K	666	738	-72	open	—	02-13 01:10
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	17	$1.1K	693	693	-0	open	—	06-28 01:24
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	233	$1.0K	3,778	159	+3,619	open	—	08-10 15:15
will gold gc hit low 4600 by end of february 292 259 212 256 398 758 656 625 549 536	13	$956	514	534	-20	open	—	02-23 04:01
will gold gc hit low 4700 by end of march	31	$776	909	0	+909	open	—	03-17 11:08
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	39	$652	1,223	1,223	+0	open	—	08-10 06:13
will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	33	$598	3,886	3,886	+0	open	—	07-30 22:49
will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of march	11	$567	288	298	-10	open	—	04-01 02:07
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	12	$538	300	300	+0	open	—	01-25 05:26
nothing ever happens elon edition	13	$488	264	274	-10	open	—	02-23 03:58
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	20	$479	328	349	-22	open	—	03-02 19:54
internet access restored in iran by friday	32	$471	297	344	-47	open	—	01-13 18:46
will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026	10	$434	261	261	+0	open	—	07-17 14:10
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	37	$363	400	415	-15	open	—	02-28 14:35
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	9	$336	190	190	+0	open	—	01-15 04:14
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	28	$282	234	234	+0	open	—	06-28 03:25
will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31	28	$275	416	0	+416	open	—	08-11 03:13
epl mac bri 2026 01 07 bri	6	$268	139	139	+0	open	—	01-07 22:12
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	7	$262	200	200	+0	open	—	01-29 13:10
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	16	$260	249	259	-10	open	—	01-30 01:19
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	12	$253	215	215	+0	open	—	01-25 03:54
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	7	$244	200	200	+0	open	—	01-30 03:32
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	8	$239	130	130	+0	open	—	06-30 02:50
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	22	$236	372	417	-45	open	—	01-28 04:24
another us bank failure by february 28	11	$236	134	134	+0	open	—	02-11 18:00
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	6	$223	178	166	+12	open	—	06-29 23:28
will the us embassy in venezuela reopen by march 31	4	$209	61	220	-159	open	—	01-27 23:44
Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$197	120	120	+0	open	—	06-24 01:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 03:13:21	will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31	No	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x0cb9c9…
08-10 17:29:54	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x0af117…
08-10 15:15:52	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x7c77f8…
08-10 06:13:07	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	140	42¢	$59	0x95ec60…
08-10 04:41:09	will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xb2ee92…
08-10 04:24:06	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xf3b5e9…
08-10 04:21:39	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x73cb22…
08-10 04:14:25	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd153b1…
08-10 04:13:46	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	19¢	$25	0x2bbe87…
08-10 03:51:48	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x419db7…
08-10 03:38:24	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x00a301…
08-10 01:50:36	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	969	27¢	$262	0xe31e37…
08-09 04:43:34	will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xddf5e0…
08-09 04:43:27	will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xa4ee21…
08-09 04:41:49	will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xd3084d…
08-09 04:41:09	will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31	Yes	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0xe925f6…
08-09 04:38:54	will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xfd0e1a…
08-09 04:38:39	will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31	Yes	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xe593eb…
08-09 04:34:12	will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x4cda78…
08-09 04:33:57	will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31	Yes	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xc13c26…
08-09 04:32:33	will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31	No	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0x5d3718…
08-09 04:32:25	will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31	No	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x609baa…
08-09 04:32:15	will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31	No	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x254ee8…
08-09 03:06:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	125	64¢	$80	0x78bf98…
08-09 02:47:57	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	140	20¢	$28	0x12841a…
08-09 02:36:42	will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x127d7e…
08-08 13:07:25	will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xa167fb…
08-06 19:53:41	will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31	Yes	BUY	44	87¢	$38	0xa74c69…
08-06 00:57:59	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x2628aa…
08-05 17:56:18	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	27¢	$7	0x8187de…
08-05 17:46:44	will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31	Yes	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0x445da8…
08-05 17:28:24	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x6c817d…
08-05 17:01:08	will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x7dd2ed…
08-05 15:08:27	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$0	0x049d2e…
08-05 09:41:47	will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31	Yes	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x860e73…
08-05 09:41:33	will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x1f6a6e…
08-05 09:40:23	will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xf916c6…
08-05 04:30:03	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xe995bb…
08-04 21:44:24	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xbc5a30…
08-04 20:43:56	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xf49031…
08-04 18:49:26	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0x86ec38…
08-04 07:27:02	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x795bd3…
08-04 06:20:20	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x628c6a…
08-04 06:18:50	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x6530d8…
08-04 01:36:32	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x0cc92b…
08-04 00:36:03	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xb414f9…
08-04 00:35:36	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x3f5c86…
08-04 00:33:18	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x4a6886…
08-04 00:32:12	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x1dbe34…
08-03 23:02:33	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x4eee5e…
08-03 23:01:54	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0xfc9442…
08-03 22:01:03	will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31	Yes	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0x00c5c4…
08-03 21:46:20	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xc80384…
08-03 21:34:03	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	24¢	$19	0x48ba7a…
08-03 12:55:53	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x4702a9…
08-03 12:55:41	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	60	24¢	$14	0xf6784f…
08-03 12:52:11	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x238ef3…
08-03 12:52:02	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x65a222…
08-03 09:32:20	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x4e8e9a…
08-03 07:46:08	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$0	0x6ff78e…
08-03 05:27:14	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xc0c4d3…
08-03 04:54:09	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x4870b2…
08-03 04:51:08	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x136383…
08-03 02:57:38	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xcce43c…
08-03 02:01:27	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	34	28¢	$9	0x847798…
08-03 01:41:12	will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x310acc…
08-03 00:58:20	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x8ce130…
08-03 00:57:15	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x19cc78…
08-03 00:55:26	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x7c4446…
08-03 00:27:53	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x4b4d2e…
08-03 00:12:51	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x98e463…
08-03 00:05:32	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xdf9c4d…
08-02 21:46:41	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	40	27¢	$11	0x17115f…
08-02 15:46:59	will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xc0df5f…
08-02 15:46:45	will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xcd8182…
08-02 15:24:14	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x5a61dc…
08-02 15:10:53	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	40	27¢	$11	0x085e2c…
08-02 15:07:18	will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x38d17a…
08-02 14:56:42	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0x643a12…
08-02 14:55:36	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xdc01ff…
08-02 05:01:02	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x65fe6a…
08-02 04:35:21	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x94db97…
08-02 01:04:26	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xb97cda…
08-02 01:04:05	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x5e9ece…
08-02 01:01:20	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0xbbf0fe…
08-01 22:42:14	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x2aae6c…
08-01 20:49:50	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	140	26¢	$36	0xc7db4e…
08-01 20:36:18	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	178	25¢	$45	0x07dd5d…
08-01 20:14:45	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x2f68a4…
08-01 18:20:50	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x34a06c…
08-01 18:05:50	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xf20aaa…
08-01 17:50:48	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x7d8221…
08-01 17:50:35	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	109	24¢	$26	0xc70171…
08-01 17:50:12	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xf09116…
07-31 20:19:30	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0xc5815f…
07-31 18:29:36	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x044e92…
07-31 18:21:48	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	29¢	$7	0x9fc2ca…
07-30 23:05:27	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x4444a5…
07-30 23:04:17	will jose luis rodriguez zapatero be arrested by december 31 2026 20260628222238877	Yes	SELL	34	12¢	$4	0xaaa68d…
07-30 22:56:24	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x69f048…