Subtle-Fencing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

4.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,007

lifetime

Volume

$19.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$207

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-07 16:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

66% 0% $-3

Politics

26% 50% +$0

Crypto

7% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-100	$-89	88¢	$-88	+$0	05-31 21:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-100	$-86	86¢	$-86	+$0	06-07 16:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-58	$-40	56¢	$-33	+$7	05-31 22:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	78	$3.4K	3,830	3,860	-30	open	—	03-23 00:02
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	39	$2.1K	1,224	1,224	-0	open	—	03-02 19:54
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	30	$1.2K	666	738	-72	open	—	02-13 01:10
will gold gc hit low 4600 by end of february 292 259 212 256 398 758 656 625 549 536	13	$956	514	534	-20	open	—	02-23 04:01
will gold gc hit low 4700 by end of march	31	$776	909	0	+909	open	—	03-17 11:08
will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of march	11	$567	288	298	-10	open	—	04-01 02:07
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	12	$538	300	300	+0	open	—	01-25 05:26
nothing ever happens elon edition	13	$488	264	274	-10	open	—	02-23 03:58
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	20	$479	328	349	-22	open	—	03-02 19:54
internet access restored in iran by friday	32	$471	297	344	-47	open	—	01-13 18:46
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	37	$363	400	415	-15	open	—	02-28 14:35
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	9	$336	190	190	+0	open	—	01-15 04:14
epl mac bri 2026 01 07 bri	6	$268	139	139	+0	open	—	01-07 22:12
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	7	$262	200	200	+0	open	—	01-29 13:10
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	16	$260	249	259	-10	open	—	01-30 01:19
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	12	$253	215	215	+0	open	—	01-25 03:54
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	7	$244	200	200	+0	open	—	01-30 03:32
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	22	$236	372	417	-45	open	—	01-28 04:24
another us bank failure by february 28	11	$236	134	134	+0	open	—	02-11 18:00
will the us embassy in venezuela reopen by march 31	4	$209	61	220	-159	open	—	01-27 23:44
will all of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	9	$195	92	120	-28	open	—	01-21 21:59
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?	6	$195	112	94	+18	open	—	05-24 22:55
will the central bank of colombia announce an increase at the january meeting	7	$193	0	220	-220	open	—	01-03 03:07
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in May?	2	$188	101	101	+0	open	—	05-24 22:47
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	11	$177	195	195	+0	open	—	01-30 03:35
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	16	$177	100	163	-62	open	—	01-18 17:34
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$175	100	100	+0	open	—	03-02 19:53
us forcibly removes khamenei from power by march 31	12	$169	100	110	-10	open	—	02-11 18:02
btc updown 15m 1768005000	1	$141	220	0	+220	open	—	01-10 00:35
will gold gc hit low 4900 by end of march	8	$135	120	60	+60	open	—	03-14 04:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 16:06:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0x694b4c…
05-31 22:11:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	42	70¢	$29	0x9d9b3d…
05-31 21:59:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0x7a5278…
05-31 21:59:02	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	No	SELL	33	84¢	$28	0xf758ad…
05-31 21:34:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	51	89¢	$45	0x78ba6c…
05-31 05:44:20	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	No	BUY	33	84¢	$27	0xc4ab6f…
05-27 20:29:55	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	No	BUY	24	58¢	$14	0x60f1f5…
05-27 20:23:47	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	No	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x2390e6…
05-27 20:23:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	49	89¢	$44	0x5e82df…
05-24 22:55:06	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x033f47…
05-24 22:54:33	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x50d367…
05-24 22:52:32	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xe329d6…
05-24 22:47:01	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in May?	No	SELL	101	95¢	$96	0xa6cfd0…
05-24 22:46:44	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?	No	SELL	94	96¢	$91	0xa6da29…
05-24 22:46:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	65	99¢	$64	0x764e25…
05-02 00:53:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	65	95¢	$62	0x8c178c…
05-02 00:46:14	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in May?	No	BUY	101	91¢	$92	0xe5444f…
05-02 00:45:52	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x31d80b…
05-02 00:45:44	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x3ef3f3…
05-02 00:45:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xeb1d6d…
05-02 00:45:32	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?	No	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0xa8576c…
04-19 22:36:54	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in April?	No	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x284eb1…
04-19 22:30:54	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in April?	No	BUY	25	87¢	$22	0xfd0d99…
04-01 02:07:43	will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of march	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xcd8e29…
03-29 02:45:18	will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of march	No	SELL	228	99¢	$226	0x20014f…
03-28 21:34:16	will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of march	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf445ae…
03-28 13:01:53	will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of march	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x3f1d16…
03-28 08:56:17	will gold gc hit low 4300 by end of march	No	SELL	18	90¢	$16	0x44c10a…
03-28 00:04:09	will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of march	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xf38dcf…
03-27 23:45:45	will gold gc hit low 4300 by end of march	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xe15480…
03-27 20:48:15	will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of march	No	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0x6bea5f…
03-27 20:06:51	will gold gc hit low 4300 by end of march	No	BUY	36	86¢	$31	0x8f7590…
03-27 19:35:23	will gold gc hit low 4300 by end of march	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x6d58c8…
03-27 19:28:13	will gold gc hit low 4300 by end of march	No	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0x894978…
03-27 19:24:53	will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of march	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0xe2ae8a…
03-27 19:24:41	will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of march	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xc20bb7…
03-23 00:02:57	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	SELL	1,496	8¢	$118	0x9308e9…
03-23 00:02:23	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	SELL	71	11¢	$8	0x286df0…
03-23 00:01:03	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	SELL	47	11¢	$5	0x78335c…
03-22 23:59:53	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0xd9d379…
03-22 23:59:31	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	SELL	41	12¢	$5	0xec9d2c…
03-22 23:59:21	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0x1370d2…
03-22 23:58:45	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	SELL	60	12¢	$8	0xd98535…
03-22 23:58:15	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0xd18180…
03-22 23:57:29	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xc9549b…
03-22 22:36:57	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	BUY	13	27¢	$4	0x664851…
03-22 22:35:59	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	BUY	30	28¢	$9	0x58232e…
03-22 22:35:37	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x97ece3…
03-22 22:35:31	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	BUY	368	26¢	$97	0xfdcf11…
03-22 22:35:25	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x8d4770…
03-22 22:35:09	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	BUY	9	28¢	$2	0x4a6120…
03-22 22:34:55	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	BUY	32	26¢	$8	0x54c274…
03-22 22:33:43	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0xa58cc9…
03-22 22:33:35	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x64da03…
03-22 22:32:59	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xcc0a00…
03-22 22:32:53	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xcfb790…
03-22 22:32:33	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xa8ba70…
03-22 22:32:13	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	BUY	189	29¢	$54	0x923f3d…
03-22 22:32:13	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	Yes	SELL	104	71¢	$74	0x923f3d…
03-22 22:31:35	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0xf07b63…
03-22 22:31:21	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	Yes	SELL	28	71¢	$20	0xbe4bd2…
03-22 22:30:55	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0xcad4f0…
03-22 22:30:55	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	BUY	30	28¢	$9	0x491ec6…
03-22 22:30:39	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	Yes	SELL	39	80¢	$31	0xd40b2f…
03-22 22:30:15	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x91572a…
03-22 22:30:03	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	Yes	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0xe7c4ad…
03-22 22:29:41	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x7b77f0…
03-22 22:29:27	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	Yes	SELL	132	84¢	$112	0x8a9be9…
03-22 22:29:27	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	Yes	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x831ff2…
03-22 22:29:15	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0xb0d9fd…
03-22 22:29:07	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xba58de…
03-22 22:28:03	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	BUY	51	15¢	$8	0x653fc7…
03-22 22:27:39	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	BUY	770	15¢	$115	0x010e6f…
03-22 22:26:59	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	BUY	28	15¢	$4	0x7197df…
03-22 22:26:41	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	Yes	SELL	42	85¢	$36	0xbf20b9…
03-22 22:26:31	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	Yes	SELL	30	85¢	$26	0x55a329…
03-22 22:25:45	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x5d2f96…
03-22 22:25:25	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	Yes	SELL	70	86¢	$60	0x4de3dc…
03-22 22:24:43	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	Yes	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x4e2ca8…
03-22 22:10:21	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x6a014e…
03-22 22:09:01	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xb07729…
03-22 21:57:23	will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of march	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x8f0c79…
03-22 21:56:45	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6d0354…
03-22 21:55:05	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	Yes	BUY	105	92¢	$97	0x58fb27…
03-22 21:53:33	will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of march	No	BUY	24	93¢	$23	0x9fb663…
03-22 21:53:03	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	Yes	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0xc67c80…
03-22 21:52:43	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	Yes	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0xd4f318…
03-22 21:52:25	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb12d05…
03-22 21:49:57	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	Yes	BUY	63	92¢	$57	0x32b881…
03-22 21:49:47	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xfe7f8e…
03-22 21:47:25	will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of march	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x1a73da…
03-22 21:46:25	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	Yes	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0x3cb815…
03-22 21:46:13	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x0ea606…
03-22 21:45:51	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	Yes	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x41ae6d…
03-22 21:45:39	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	Yes	BUY	38	90¢	$34	0x723be8…
03-22 21:45:15	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	Yes	BUY	36	90¢	$32	0x82ca9f…
03-21 19:51:55	btc updown 5m 1774122600	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x70ebea…
03-21 19:24:25	btc updown 5m 1774120800	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x01e55f…
03-21 19:24:07	btc updown 5m 1774120800	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x8bbdc1…
03-21 19:21:09	btc updown 5m 1774120500	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4371e5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	145	$8.34K	5,345	06-10 04:03
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	141	$21.1K	5,007	06-09 19:27
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	136	$26.5K	7,468	04-16 08:54
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	124	$312.1K	32,504	05-28 17:55
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	115	$4.69K	1,062	03-27 17:57
(anonymous) 0x99bc…4f35	106	$32.8K	2,685	06-10 00:53
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	92	$9.11K	3,889	06-10 04:03
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	83	$691.4K	12,867	06-05 12:06