Loud-Gerbil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$356

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.6%

Resolved

Trades

629

lifetime

Volume

$39.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-10 15:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

54% 100% +$28

Politics

29% 67% +$328

Crypto

14% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 10 million	15	$5.4K	3,756	3,756	+0	open	—	02-16 03:06
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 8 million	11	$1.6K	1,058	1,058	+0	open	—	02-03 20:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	5	$1.6K	2,000	100	+1,900	open	—	08-02 04:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	3	$1.5K	924	924	+0	Yes	+$363	05-09 15:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	7	$1.4K	1,746	1,746	+0	Yes	$-57	03-30 18:44
will the jensen jacket jensen huangs tom ford leather jacket sell for at least 90k at auction 20260713233758306	6	$1.2K	1,301	0	+1,301	open	—	07-16 14:39
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$1.2K	800	800	+0	open	—	03-25 23:44
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	24	$1.2K	1,197	598	+598	open	—	05-04 04:24
will trump meet with netanyahu by august 31 2026	5	$752	400	400	+0	open	—	07-26 22:49
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	9	$669	800	200	+600	open	—	07-19 23:03
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	5	$667	600	600	+0	open	—	03-01 04:37
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	3	$600	400	400	+0	open	—	02-20 17:11
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$503	441	441	+0	open	—	05-25 19:53
will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 35m at auction 20260710183448004	2	$489	564	0	+564	open	—	07-14 14:39
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	4	$481	626	626	+0	open	—	05-17 17:43
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	4	$454	709	709	+0	open	—	01-16 01:05
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?	4	$452	267	267	+0	open	—	05-21 18:20
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in May?	4	$435	248	248	+0	open	—	05-14 16:01
will google gemini 3 score at least 60 on the frontiermath benchmark by	5	$433	1,251	1,251	+0	open	—	01-17 17:31
will google gemini 3 score at least 50 on the frontiermath benchmark	6	$427	500	500	+0	open	—	01-08 02:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	5	$421	752	752	+0	open	—	07-11 04:11
btc updown 15m 1770425100	10	$419	218	218	+0	open	—	02-07 00:57
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	6	$371	263	263	+0	open	—	02-26 04:52
Will Solana reach $100 in May?	3	$369	400	400	+0	open	—	05-13 16:24
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	1	$364	1,103	0	+1,103	open	—	02-27 17:23
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	4	$348	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	02-28 22:07
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota	4	$338	1,057	1,057	+0	open	—	01-17 17:32
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$336	200	200	+0	open	—	02-22 05:36
will there be 1820 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	6	$334	318	318	+0	open	—	02-23 23:53
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	6	$312	202	202	+0	Yes	+$22	02-27 04:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 15:24:16	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	167	46¢	$77	0xc7dc72…
08-10 15:16:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	55	36¢	$20	0x91c9db…
08-10 15:15:52	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	16¢	$47	0x7c77f8…
08-10 15:15:39	andrew tate extradited to uk by sep 30 20260719022813213	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x5e38d5…
08-10 15:15:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	67	9¢	$6	0xc40d1c…
08-06 15:45:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	67	67¢	$45	0x886590…
08-05 00:25:11	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	No	BUY	86	61¢	$53	0xeaa57e…
08-02 04:31:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	300	83¢	$249	0xa345e9…
08-02 04:10:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xeac053…
08-02 04:10:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	45	54¢	$24	0xcc1712…
08-01 16:02:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x688ff8…
08-01 06:41:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x399c35…
07-27 23:52:34	will spy reach 750 by july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	85	41¢	$35	0x73bfdc…
07-26 22:49:31	will trump meet with netanyahu by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	214	97¢	$207	0x3add72…
07-26 22:44:58	will trump meet with netanyahu by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	186	97¢	$181	0xe3bfd0…
07-24 23:01:58	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x7f125d…
07-24 22:53:37	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	82	44¢	$36	0x3359c8…
07-24 22:25:06	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	109	44¢	$48	0x9fc56a…
07-24 22:24:45	will trump meet with netanyahu by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x165342…
07-24 22:24:45	will trump meet with netanyahu by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	291	94¢	$275	0x11d876…
07-24 22:22:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0xaa790c…
07-24 01:04:49	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x65db2a…
07-23 19:15:51	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x01e2e9…
07-22 13:07:15	will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x5bf579…
07-21 20:49:10	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x151a25…
07-21 12:35:51	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x63b86e…
07-20 23:37:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xb0b84b…
07-20 15:28:34	andrew tate extradited to uk by sep 30 20260719022813213	Yes	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0x161b3c…
07-20 11:41:13	andrew tate extradited to uk by sep 30 20260719022813213	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x8f4885…
07-20 04:40:57	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0xbb2ea4…
07-20 04:10:12	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0xa4829a…
07-20 03:54:36	andrew tate released from custody by december 31 2026 20260719025109264	Yes	BUY	40	33¢	$13	0xce8fbd…
07-20 00:09:58	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0xf58600…
07-19 23:05:12	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	325	12¢	$39	0x52297c…
07-19 23:03:42	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x4c1dad…
07-19 23:03:33	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	300	69¢	$207	0x942d13…
07-19 22:54:36	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0x02dccf…
07-19 22:52:52	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	81	4¢	$3	0x971b8f…
07-19 22:52:52	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	508	4¢	$20	0x948d37…
07-19 22:52:51	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x52eb6f…
07-19 22:52:49	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x166310…
07-19 22:49:52	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xd6db2f…
07-19 22:21:15	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	78	52¢	$41	0xd312a3…
07-19 22:20:52	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xab76c2…
07-19 22:20:51	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0x334ace…
07-19 20:48:34	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0xf12eda…
07-19 10:01:49	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x62a2bd…
07-19 07:55:45	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6fd207…
07-19 07:32:19	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x943307…
07-18 19:54:10	will trump meet with netanyahu by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x719010…
07-18 03:55:46	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xa9fb7e…
07-18 02:01:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,400	72¢	$1,008	0x4da417…
07-18 01:45:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xaa933d…
07-18 00:04:19	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x2faffb…
07-17 20:34:12	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	28¢	$22	0x446a81…
07-17 14:41:37	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	28¢	$4	0x60b532…
07-17 08:48:22	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	163	69¢	$113	0x8d5f97…
07-17 07:34:33	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xc087d9…
07-17 07:08:13	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xcff240…
07-17 01:27:09	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x0ff6ec…
07-17 01:03:07	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0xca8552…
07-17 00:58:32	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	132	69¢	$91	0xfea081…
07-17 00:41:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0xbaf921…
07-17 00:31:44	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	56	60¢	$33	0x6d0d03…
07-17 00:31:44	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x44ef91…
07-17 00:15:28	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	24	60¢	$14	0x5c53a8…
07-17 00:13:35	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x72ff96…
07-16 14:41:05	will the jensen jacket jensen huangs tom ford leather jacket sell for at least 85k at auction 20260713233758305	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xae9ff9…
07-16 14:39:17	will the jensen jacket jensen huangs tom ford leather jacket sell for at least 90k at auction 20260713233758306	Yes	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x7c8248…
07-16 14:39:13	will the jensen jacket jensen huangs tom ford leather jacket sell for at least 90k at auction 20260713233758306	Yes	BUY	254	96¢	$244	0xc9036c…
07-16 14:39:13	will the jensen jacket jensen huangs tom ford leather jacket sell for at least 90k at auction 20260713233758306	Yes	BUY	32	83¢	$27	0x482e86…
07-16 14:38:19	will the jensen jacket jensen huangs tom ford leather jacket sell for at least 80k at auction 20260713215904487	Yes	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0xf494c3…
07-16 14:26:29	will the jensen jacket jensen huangs tom ford leather jacket sell for at least 90k at auction 20260713233758306	Yes	BUY	271	79¢	$214	0x324923…
07-16 14:25:56	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0x4c360f…
07-16 14:25:50	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0x51cb31…
07-16 14:25:13	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	100	64¢	$64	0xf256a5…
07-16 14:25:01	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	132	45¢	$59	0xbe4d0c…
07-16 02:06:29	will the jensen jacket jensen huangs tom ford leather jacket sell for at least 90k at auction 20260713233758306	Yes	BUY	410	96¢	$394	0xe1ccbf…
07-16 00:25:02	will the jensen jacket jensen huangs tom ford leather jacket sell for at least 90k at auction 20260713233758306	Yes	BUY	320	95¢	$305	0xfa0c50…
07-15 00:15:17	will the jensen jacket jensen huangs tom ford leather jacket sell for at least 85k at auction 20260713233758305	Yes	BUY	55	66¢	$36	0x43ac10…
07-14 14:43:31	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 45m at auction 20260710183448006	Yes	SELL	37	3¢	$1	0x284cce…
07-14 14:42:55	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	76	70¢	$53	0xf98044…
07-14 14:42:26	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 45m at auction 20260710183448006	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xf75b96…
07-14 14:39:11	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 35m at auction 20260710183448004	Yes	BUY	240	97¢	$233	0xd1f786…
07-14 14:28:52	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 30m at auction 20260710183448003	Yes	BUY	200	90¢	$179	0x477c78…
07-14 14:16:55	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 40m at auction 20260710183448005	Yes	BUY	33	55¢	$18	0x746824…
07-14 13:41:35	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 45m at auction 20260710183448006	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3b58bd…
07-14 13:38:08	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 45m at auction 20260710183448006	Yes	BUY	23	20¢	$5	0x1316da…
07-14 04:17:46	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 40m at auction 20260710183448005	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x80bbcd…
07-14 04:17:04	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 45m at auction 20260710183448006	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb10efd…
07-14 04:15:22	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 35m at auction 20260710183448004	Yes	BUY	324	79¢	$256	0x25629e…
07-14 04:14:50	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 40m at auction 20260710183448005	Yes	BUY	27	60¢	$16	0x63f50e…
07-14 04:14:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0xe3fbdb…
07-14 04:13:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	250	56¢	$140	0x950530…
07-14 02:11:34	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xa098a1…
07-12 11:34:59	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	67	73¢	$49	0x025e7f…
07-12 11:34:31	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xbb63b0…
07-12 11:24:25	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x0c4654…
07-12 10:51:10	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	55	45¢	$25	0x48fcba…
07-12 10:38:32	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0x4abf5e…