Loud-Gerbil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$356

Unrealized P&L

-$65

Hit rate

57.6%

Resolved

Trades

504

lifetime

Volume

$31.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

$399

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-30 00:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

54% 100% +$28

Politics

26% 67% +$328

Crypto

16% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes		+600	$324	38¢	$225	$-99	06-25 18:17
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes		-519	$-208	34¢	$-174	+$34	06-01 04:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 10 million	15	$5.4K	3,756	3,756	+0	open	—	02-16 03:06
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 8 million	11	$1.6K	1,058	1,058	+0	open	—	02-03 20:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	3	$1.5K	924	924	+0	Yes	+$363	05-09 15:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	7	$1.4K	1,746	1,746	+0	Yes	$-57	03-30 18:44
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$1.2K	800	800	+0	open	—	03-25 23:44
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	24	$1.2K	1,197	598	+598	open	—	05-04 04:24
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	5	$667	600	600	+0	open	—	03-01 04:37
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	3	$600	400	400	+0	open	—	02-20 17:11
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$503	441	441	+0	open	—	05-25 19:53
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	4	$481	626	626	+0	open	—	05-17 17:43
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	4	$454	709	709	+0	open	—	01-16 01:05
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?	4	$452	267	267	+0	open	—	05-21 18:20
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in May?	4	$435	248	248	+0	open	—	05-14 16:01
will google gemini 3 score at least 60 on the frontiermath benchmark by	5	$433	1,251	1,251	+0	open	—	01-17 17:31
will google gemini 3 score at least 50 on the frontiermath benchmark	6	$427	500	500	+0	open	—	01-08 02:50
btc updown 15m 1770425100	10	$419	218	218	+0	open	—	02-07 00:57
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	6	$371	263	263	+0	open	—	02-26 04:52
Will Solana reach $100 in May?	3	$369	400	400	+0	open	—	05-13 16:24
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	1	$364	1,103	0	+1,103	open	—	02-27 17:23
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	4	$348	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	02-28 22:07
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota	4	$338	1,057	1,057	+0	open	—	01-17 17:32
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$336	200	200	+0	open	—	02-22 05:36
will there be 1820 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	6	$334	318	318	+0	open	—	02-23 23:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$324	600	0	+600	open	—	06-25 18:17
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	6	$312	202	202	+0	Yes	+$22	02-27 04:21
will the supreme court rule on trumps tarriffs by february 20	4	$308	339	0	+339	open	—	02-19 18:00
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 18 million 565	7	$299	186	186	+0	open	—	02-16 06:16
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 20 million 836	4	$298	400	0	+400	open	—	02-16 05:07
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	4	$273	918	918	+0	open	—	02-23 18:23
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	2	$244	191	191	+0	open	—	05-22 19:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 04:44:26	will mu reach 1200 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	60	75¢	$45	0xb211d7…
06-30 04:43:49	will mu dip to 1020 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x3ac627…
06-30 04:43:19	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	100	59¢	$59	0x5203b7…
06-30 04:43:14	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0xe2af0f…
06-30 00:16:25	will mu dip to 1020 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	84	69¢	$58	0xb2b275…
06-30 00:10:53	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x5ec103…
06-30 00:10:29	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xdbf4c5…
06-30 00:06:01	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xd2a044…
06-27 15:47:59	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0xa915d0…
06-26 16:57:46	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	24	75¢	$18	0xd1d388…
06-26 16:55:20	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x0b20e1…
06-26 16:54:10	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0x9aa39e…
06-26 02:09:29	fifwc par aus 2026 06 25 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	81	78¢	$63	0xeabd49…
06-26 02:09:26	fifwc par aus 2026 06 25 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	89	78¢	$69	0x854dfa…
06-26 02:09:02	fifwc par aus 2026 06 25 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x88d06a…
06-25 23:46:13	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	189	75¢	$141	0x28b194…
06-25 18:21:44	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	143	87¢	$124	0x86415d…
06-25 18:17:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	600	54¢	$324	0xdd017f…
06-19 00:11:56	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	114	72¢	$82	0x667ef0…
06-14 22:11:37	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 btts	Yes	BUY	16	42¢	$7	0xd5fb65…
06-05 17:16:22	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	Yes	BUY	556	9¢	$50	0x39b0f0…
06-05 17:15:45	will nvda reach 240 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	103	14¢	$14	0x306caa…
06-05 17:15:31	will nvda reach 256 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	373	4¢	$15	0xb3032a…
06-01 16:38:42	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in June?	Yes	BUY	43	20¢	$9	0x706961…
06-01 16:38:34	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in June?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x0dccff…
06-01 16:36:14	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in June?	Yes	BUY	46	55¢	$25	0x3d307a…
06-01 16:35:42	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in June?	Yes	BUY	57	55¢	$31	0x5ee8a6…
06-01 05:06:35	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in June?	Yes	BUY	230	13¢	$29	0x3116cf…
06-01 04:58:00	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	519	40¢	$208	0xf45a7f…
05-29 15:21:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	220	83¢	$183	0x690e04…
05-28 15:40:45	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	Yes	SELL	309	4¢	$13	0x36e1e9…
05-28 15:40:22	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 in May?	Yes	SELL	116	1¢	$1	0x7130fa…
05-28 13:35:35	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 in May?	Yes	BUY	94	8¢	$8	0xb03510…
05-27 20:24:08	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 in May?	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0xae8af0…
05-27 19:23:07	Will Meta (META) close above $630 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xcceb35…
05-27 19:21:45	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 25-31?	Yes	SELL	171	3¢	$5	0xd80a20…
05-25 23:49:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	SELL	192	98¢	$187	0xf5b19d…
05-25 22:25:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	BUY	144	17¢	$25	0xbc5b9f…
05-25 22:22:13	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	BUY	28	15¢	$4	0xff8f22…
05-25 22:21:43	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x45aca2…
05-25 22:20:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	333	13¢	$43	0x6baab6…
05-25 20:05:19	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0xbe2672…
05-25 20:04:42	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	171	36¢	$62	0x425742…
05-25 19:53:35	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	441	46¢	$203	0x7a3d1a…
05-24 00:49:25	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	441	68¢	$300	0x567c6c…
05-24 00:48:52	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0x9c0ea5…
05-22 19:43:32	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	SELL	191	71¢	$135	0x9db653…
05-22 19:42:57	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	Yes	SELL	305	5¢	$16	0xf20ac0…
05-22 19:42:48	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	Yes	SELL	273	5¢	$13	0xe92517…
05-21 18:25:30	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	191	57¢	$108	0xdcf769…
05-21 18:23:31	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	Yes	BUY	202	31¢	$63	0x93c44b…
05-21 18:22:57	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	Yes	BUY	98	31¢	$30	0xd1935e…
05-21 18:20:48	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?	Yes	SELL	267	100¢	$267	0x77a491…
05-19 00:35:04	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	Yes	BUY	105	71¢	$74	0x7fa6b1…
05-17 17:43:38	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	426	18¢	$77	0x93450c…
05-14 16:02:24	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	426	56¢	$239	0xb0bd1c…
05-14 16:01:14	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in May?	Yes	SELL	248	100¢	$247	0x9a9516…
05-13 16:32:19	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	BUY	43	74¢	$32	0x9cb35a…
05-13 16:31:37	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?	Yes	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x5c7ef3…
05-13 16:30:48	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x24275e…
05-13 16:28:31	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x587e5b…
05-13 16:27:40	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0xe312c7…
05-13 16:26:43	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x9eb69c…
05-13 16:25:33	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	Yes	BUY	73	56¢	$41	0x3ca4db…
05-13 16:24:52	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x7f24c2…
05-13 16:24:05	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	400	40¢	$161	0x9948a2…
05-13 16:20:19	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xb42aec…
05-13 16:19:50	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xf35dc7…
05-13 16:16:35	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in May?	Yes	BUY	128	76¢	$98	0xd643af…
05-13 16:16:06	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x612b78…
05-13 16:13:40	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in May?	Yes	BUY	112	76¢	$84	0x070de5…
05-13 16:11:59	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	200	31¢	$62	0xb8ecca…
05-09 16:10:12	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	300	52¢	$156	0x487c3e…
05-09 15:19:55	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x4947c7…
05-09 15:17:38	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x5d12fb…
05-09 15:17:05	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x7e44ec…
05-09 15:16:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	924	100¢	$923	0xe113b1…
05-08 18:35:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	735	60¢	$440	0xccb705…
05-08 18:35:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	189	63¢	$120	0xf56064…
05-04 04:24:22	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	SELL	598	100¢	$598	0x9a7807…
04-17 07:48:22	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	1	66¢	$1	0x046ce5…
04-17 07:48:16	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xcce2f9…
04-17 07:48:10	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x95b805…
04-17 07:48:04	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb24ca4…
04-17 07:47:56	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x436018…
04-17 07:47:50	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x219bbd…
04-17 07:47:30	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x5a6a6d…
04-17 07:46:58	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xdae3ff…
04-17 07:46:40	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xda95ec…
04-17 07:46:14	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe35a97…
04-17 07:45:54	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd25be2…
04-17 07:45:46	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xcde029…
04-17 07:45:38	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf8e93c…
04-17 06:42:24	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	59	66¢	$39	0x724f1b…
04-17 05:33:06	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x86b2ab…
04-17 03:34:36	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	32	66¢	$21	0x30f90c…
04-14 16:42:14	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	168	66¢	$111	0x838ab3…
04-08 04:31:09	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	108	63¢	$68	0x27d6de…
04-08 04:30:41	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0xa34432…
04-04 19:28:13	cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	Arizona Wildcats	BUY	162	50¢	$81	0x9c2054…