(anonymous) 0xbb6565…aa1407
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Realized P&L
-$17
Unrealized P&L
-$25
Hit rate
52.3%
Resolved
12
Trades
473
lifetime
Volume
$1.85K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$81
10 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 06-09 22:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
62% 100% +$0
Crypto
32% 45% $-17
Other
5% — —
Sports
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 171 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +23 $19 84¢ $19 $-0 06-08 01:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +53 $17 28¢ $15 $-2 06-02 11:58
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +48 $12 24¢ $12 $-0 06-04 21:56
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 $-0 06-05 04:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +21 $10 46¢ $9 $-0 06-07 17:32
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +558 $15 1¢ $7 $-8 05-29 10:05
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +100 $10 4¢ $4 $-6 06-01 06:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +28 $10 10¢ $3 $-7 05-29 03:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +2 $2 94¢ $1 $-0 06-02 21:34
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-04 07:14