(anonymous) 0xbb6565…aa1407
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Realized P&L
-$17
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
52.3%
Resolved
12
Trades
698
lifetime
Volume
$3.17K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$85
14 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 06-27 00:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
68% 100% +$0
Crypto
19% 45% $-17
Other
12% — —
Sports
1% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 171 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -60 $-52 86¢ $-51 +$1 06-26 14:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -11 $-11 100¢ $-11 +$0 06-26 20:42
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +38 $9 26¢ $10 +$1 06-26 15:18
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -4 $-4 98¢ $-4 $-0 06-26 23:27
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No -4 $-4 96¢ $-4 $-0 06-26 23:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -2 $-3 99¢ $-2 +$1 06-26 21:55
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 95¢ $-1 $-0 06-27 00:32
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-04 07:14
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +1 $2 74¢ $1 $-1 06-26 23:23
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +558 $15 0¢ $1 $-15 05-29 10:05
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +121 $8 0¢ $0 $-8 06-18 18:01
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +5 $-1 0¢ $0 +$1 06-17 18:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -3 $-5 1¢ $-0 +$5 06-26 14:38
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +0 $1 0¢ $0 $-1 06-19 01:00