Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$63

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

54.0%

Resolved

152

Trades

848

lifetime

Volume

$3.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$16

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 06-27 00:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Politics

64% 52% +$10

Crypto

18% 45% +$61

Other

16% 35% -$16

Sports

1% 50% +$3

Tech

1% 100% +$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-27).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes		+38	$9	41¢	$16	+$6	06-26 15:18
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No		+1	$2	64¢	$1	-$1	06-26 23:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	45	$434	412	332	+80	No	+$88	06-04 00:17
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	30	$203	277	189	+88	No	-$8	05-20 08:38
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	37	$195	472	58	+413	Yes	-$53	06-07 22:55
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	27	$185	139	76	+62	Yes	+$23	06-17 23:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	27	$181	322	322	+0	open	—	06-26 15:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	20	$129	583	583	+0	No	+$14	06-26 21:55
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	13	$81	63	50	+12	Yes	+$14	06-01 11:58
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	10	$79	250	250	+0	open	—	06-04 16:04
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	14	$78	59	55	+5	No	+$16	06-26 14:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	21	$77	67	34	+33	Yes	-$11	06-16 02:41
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	15	$63	33	31	+3	Yes	+$0	06-17 19:30
Netanyahu out by June 30?	5	$62	32	32	+0	No	$0	05-17 01:42
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	8	$60	134	0	+134	No	-$34	06-19 01:01
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	4	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	06-26 15:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	9	$55	158	154	+4	No	+$8	05-31 01:39
iran closes its airspace by june 8	7	$53	53	2	+51	Yes	-$1	06-08 04:18
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	14	$53	36	28	+8	Yes	+$2	05-16 20:00
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	35	$50	141	20	+122	Yes	-$7	05-15 20:30
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	11	$49	120	19	+101	No	+$4	06-12 20:31
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	10	$43	121	14	+107	Yes	-$13	06-20 13:38
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07?	5	$41	31	24	+7	Yes	+$12	06-08 01:34
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	4	$39	27	27	+0	Yes	-$1	06-12 14:59
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	8	$39	144	138	+6	No	-$1	06-19 22:19
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	6	$38	26	13	+13	No	+$0	06-19 00:44
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	5	$36	725	459	+266	No	-$4	05-18 20:48
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	4	$35	41	14	+27	Yes	+$4	06-12 19:59
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	6	$35	34	19	+16	No	-$10	06-21 19:27
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	3	$34	32	31	+1	Yes	-$5	06-19 01:11
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	5	$34	143	84	+59	No	+$1	06-19 23:01
will donald trump publicly insult jerome powell by june 30 2026	4	$34	36	0	+36	Yes	+$2	06-05 02:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 00:32:47	will steve witkoff sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950071	Yes	SELL	67	3¢	$2	0x7d32e6…
06-27 00:32:38	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	Yes	SELL	134	1¢	$1	0xf93ad4…
06-27 00:32:35	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa8b168…
06-26 23:27:20	Trump goes to space in 2026?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xe23139…
06-26 23:27:17	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xa2f67e…
06-26 23:27:13	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	SELL	33	7¢	$2	0xed75bb…
06-26 23:27:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0xf7a205…
06-26 23:23:53	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	103	6¢	$6	0x79a91c…
06-26 23:23:44	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x592a6c…
06-26 23:23:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	40¢	$7	0x03a406…
06-26 23:23:26	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	16	55¢	$9	0xcf2400…
06-26 21:55:26	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	31	22¢	$7	0x1163e0…
06-26 21:55:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0x4f9782…
06-26 21:55:13	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0xb63da3…
06-26 21:54:35	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xeac533…
06-26 21:54:29	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x058f02…
06-26 21:54:20	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x8c46bb…
06-26 20:42:37	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0xc042e6…
06-26 20:42:32	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0x137e11…
06-26 20:42:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xcbde3b…
06-26 15:19:07	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0xe54341…
06-26 15:18:46	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xc0a293…
06-26 15:18:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	183	12¢	$22	0x79ce63…
06-26 15:18:32	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x8f570e…
06-26 14:38:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$31	0xbd3141…
06-26 14:38:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	445	9¢	$40	0x4fdfdd…
06-26 14:38:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	60	87¢	$52	0xdfdc5e…
06-25 12:10:26	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x9e571e…
06-25 02:34:38	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ec5bc…
06-25 02:20:43	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb4fcd2…
06-24 22:48:26	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x639ad5…
06-24 22:13:10	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xad8b8c…
06-23 22:05:10	Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbda9e9…
06-23 21:59:49	Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd3f84b…
06-23 21:59:49	Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xbd24f3…
06-23 21:59:49	Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x868293…
06-23 21:59:31	Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x28101b…
06-23 21:56:08	Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x074b0c…
06-23 15:05:19	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	103	4¢	$5	0x73d648…
06-23 08:41:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xcdbc0f…
06-22 19:45:22	Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Iraq?	Yes	BUY	115	3¢	$3	0xe81f48…
06-22 16:52:49	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x112131…
06-22 16:02:52	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x6342fc…
06-22 14:43:23	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x749105…
06-22 05:03:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x6d6df7…
06-22 00:50:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	92	6¢	$6	0x6f47dd…
06-21 22:23:19	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x94acfd…
06-21 19:27:53	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0xbc9024…
06-21 19:27:46	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xe72ad6…
06-21 19:27:29	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	SELL	13	66¢	$9	0xb62c46…
06-21 19:25:50	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xf5a5ae…
06-21 18:57:35	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xcb61ff…
06-21 18:55:50	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x656ed3…
06-21 18:55:43	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 spread home 2pt5	Belgium	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0x9df519…
06-21 18:54:34	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	Belgium	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x2b99e7…
06-21 16:30:37	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0xf0845c…
06-21 16:15:56	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xe827b0…
06-21 16:04:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	21	12¢	$3	0x2c9afb…
06-21 16:00:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	47	12¢	$6	0x4ed2d2…
06-21 15:08:58	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	BUY	29	21¢	$6	0x52ea9d…
06-21 13:46:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x5c286b…
06-21 10:13:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x62eacd…
06-21 05:08:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x51d2e6…
06-21 04:21:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	29¢	$13	0xa1244b…
06-21 01:53:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	27	6¢	$2	0x00bb54…
06-21 01:26:38	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 spread home 1pt5	Ecuador	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x52e246…
06-21 01:05:46	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 spread home 2pt5	Ecuador	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x7b7be7…
06-20 21:07:59	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xfb9083…
06-20 20:59:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	62	6¢	$4	0xc8a714…
06-20 18:13:07	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x5faf8c…
06-20 15:09:44	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0xe06d55…
06-20 15:09:37	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x5a4eee…
06-20 15:09:35	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x39c5d8…
06-20 14:29:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	111	6¢	$7	0xaf6283…
06-20 14:29:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x776252…
06-20 14:29:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xf25c64…
06-20 14:00:29	will steve witkoff sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950071	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xaaa05b…
06-20 13:38:34	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0xec85fb…
06-20 13:33:34	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x920a4f…
06-20 13:03:35	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 spread home 4pt5	Germany	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0xd3cba6…
06-20 09:46:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0xd10a7b…
06-20 04:31:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x32ffc5…
06-20 00:57:38	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xceab0e…
06-20 00:06:10	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0xf3052f…
06-19 23:22:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x6ee06b…
06-19 23:22:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x0469cb…
06-19 23:22:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x8b4ce9…
06-19 23:01:05	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	84	3¢	$2	0xe8ccc9…
06-19 23:00:59	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x5237f5…
06-19 22:56:13	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0xe6df31…
06-19 22:28:23	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 spread home 4pt5	Germany	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x7d7070…
06-19 22:27:59	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 spread home 2pt5	Germany	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0xf410cd…
06-19 22:19:19	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	73	12¢	$9	0x0e5d29…
06-19 13:43:22	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0x98a22b…
06-19 05:49:19	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	Yes	BUY	134	2¢	$3	0xd6bd80…
06-19 01:41:07	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x093ac2…
06-19 01:11:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	31	46¢	$14	0x043622…
06-19 01:01:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	Yes	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0x60999d…
06-19 01:00:05	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0xb93f41…
06-19 00:59:08	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x97da19…