Realized P&L
+$7.91K
Unrealized P&L
-$65
Hit rate
64.6%
Resolved
9
Trades
2,757
lifetime
Volume
$202.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$74
Open exposure
$4.86K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-24
last 07-04 22:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
55% 67% +$7,352
Other
38%
Sports
7% 33% +$557
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -3,149 $-2,745 88¢ $-2755 $-10 07-03 23:38
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -1,100 $-1,026 96¢ $-1060 $-34 06-10 12:27
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -583 $-443 86¢ $-502 $-58 05-29 01:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +329 $270 72¢ $239 $-31 06-19 15:51
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026? No -100 $-97 93¢ $-93 +$4 06-11 13:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +300 $79 24¢ $71 $-8 06-28 08:51
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? No -60 $-52 91¢ $-55 $-3 06-11 12:49
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +104 $25 24¢ $25 $-0 06-28 16:55
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026? No +20 $19 95¢ $19 +$0 06-27 08:13
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? Yes +145 $14 12¢ $17 +$4 06-28 17:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -8,722 $-239 $-13 +$226 06-26 02:33
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes +100 $8 $6 $-2 06-26 22:49
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No +100 $13 $2 $-11 06-27 05:42
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +400 $143 $0 $-142 07-03 01:28