Realized P&L
+$7.91K
Unrealized P&L
+$750
Hit rate
64.6%
Resolved
9
Trades
2,022
lifetime
Volume
$177.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$88
Open exposure
$6.28K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-24
last 06-13 11:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
53% 67% +$7,352
Other
40%
Sports
7% 33% +$557
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 158 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -1,807 $-1,000 57¢ $-1039 $-40 06-13 15:23
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -1,100 $-1,026 94¢ $-1030 $-3 06-10 12:27
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes -1,272 $-979 76¢ $-973 +$6 06-13 13:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -600 $-561 97¢ $-581 $-20 06-10 10:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +2,278 $324 24¢ $535 +$211 06-13 14:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -3,600 $-1,014 15¢ $-522 +$492 06-12 14:07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes -718 $-521 66¢ $-470 +$50 06-13 14:25
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -583 $-443 78¢ $-452 $-9 05-29 01:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +319 $253 85¢ $271 +$18 06-13 18:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +151 $123 84¢ $126 +$3 06-12 18:03
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? Yes +1,282 $64 $113 +$49 06-05 10:30
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026? No -100 $-97 94¢ $-94 +$2 06-11 13:25
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? No -60 $-52 90¢ $-54 $-2 06-11 12:49
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Yes +651 $16 $11 $-5 06-12 11:04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? Yes +900 $11 $7 $-5 06-12 10:44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? Yes +183 $2 $2 +$0 06-08 15:45