Oddball-Storyboard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.91K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.6%

Resolved

Trades

2,806

lifetime

Volume

$203.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$72

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 07-24 14:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

55% 67% +$7,352

Other

38% — —

Sports

7% 33% +$557

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	175	$33.9K	20,903	15,986	+4,916	open	—	03-31 17:59
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	121	$20.1K	12,336	13,345	-1,009	open	—	04-07 23:14
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	198	$13.3K	10,276	11,137	-862	open	—	04-07 23:04
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	31	$10.8K	7,097	7,097	+0	open	—	04-05 04:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	143	$8.5K	17,081	17,181	-100	open	—	05-30 04:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	9	$7.6K	3,849	3,849	+0	open	—	05-11 13:13
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	212	$7.0K	6,758	1,856	+4,902	open	—	03-30 07:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	24	$6.2K	2,782	3,622	-839	open	—	04-20 19:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	105	$5.0K	14,916	11,837	+3,079	Yes	+$4,765	05-08 19:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	36	$4.6K	1,700	6,807	-5,107	open	—	06-14 21:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	42	$4.2K	4,074	3,868	+207	Yes	$-992	05-08 18:40
Thunder vs. Lakers	10	$3.7K	4,500	0	+4,500	Thunder	+$763	05-10 01:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	19	$3.5K	251	3,750	-3,499	open	—	07-16 02:07
epl bou lee 2026 04 22 draw	2	$2.9K	3,733	2,720	+1,013	open	—	04-22 20:54
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	50	$2.7K	4,916	0	+4,916	open	—	04-07 23:07
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	21	$2.5K	1,138	2,000	-862	open	—	06-14 21:21
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	38	$2.3K	2,519	4,426	-1,907	open	—	06-14 22:45
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	7	$2.2K	2,656	2,656	+0	open	—	04-07 23:18
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	5	$2.1K	1,137	1,137	+0	open	—	05-12 20:56
Lakers vs. Thunder	4	$2.0K	1,200	973	+227	Thunder	+$121	05-06 02:54
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	21	$1.9K	2,463	971	+1,493	open	—	04-07 23:11
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	27	$1.9K	594	1,973	-1,380	open	—	06-14 11:15
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	3	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-20 09:54
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	14	$1.7K	2,206	0	+2,206	open	—	05-01 21:15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	32	$1.7K	150	2,358	-2,208	open	—	06-20 14:46
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	17	$1.7K	2,307	0	+2,307	open	—	04-21 02:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	6	$1.6K	793	840	-46	open	—	05-20 04:13
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	32	$1.6K	11,505	12,005	-500	open	—	04-17 13:45
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	29	$1.5K	1,954	1,802	+152	open	—	06-14 21:01
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	8	$1.4K	786	786	+0	open	—	03-26 04:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 14:20:52	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	Yes	SELL	85	6¢	$5	0x308104…
07-24 14:19:12	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0xcf17cf…
07-24 14:18:43	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x78e0c1…
07-24 14:16:34	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$2	0xbaa949…
07-24 11:16:27	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0xa79f76…
07-24 10:20:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x051533…
07-22 14:37:43	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0x4f4fa2…
07-21 18:43:07	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	200	22¢	$44	0x4b26a0…
07-20 17:12:15	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x6218cf…
07-19 17:01:49	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xa9cd5c…
07-19 17:01:18	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x311044…
07-17 19:57:21	Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xb333cf…
07-17 19:57:18	Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xf64bf2…
07-16 02:07:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x6539fd…
07-15 19:59:50	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x8306b1…
07-14 13:57:35	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x560f92…
07-12 09:15:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	206	0¢	$1	0x6c9e72…
07-12 02:59:46	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe198e2…
07-11 04:55:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0xf39d56…
07-09 20:07:20	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x3d3766…
07-07 12:34:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x973afc…
07-07 02:28:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x086969…
07-07 02:19:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	200	88¢	$176	0xa158db…
07-06 22:34:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0x31add8…
07-06 22:25:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x670c9d…
07-06 03:02:55	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	90	3¢	$3	0x0f207f…
07-06 03:02:52	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xc29ee5…
07-06 03:01:40	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xd5519c…
07-06 02:29:41	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0x1571cc…
07-06 02:22:10	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x4e169a…
07-06 02:20:31	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x449960…
07-06 02:19:11	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x159408…
07-06 02:18:34	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	4	39¢	$1	0x60c139…
07-06 02:18:32	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x851df4…
07-06 02:18:26	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x3c5f4c…
07-06 01:46:37	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xf1067c…
07-05 23:34:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0xfeb2d6…
07-05 22:03:14	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x6c7820…
07-05 22:01:31	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 btts	Yes	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x9a168f…
07-05 21:53:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x9f1c28…
07-05 21:51:28	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 btts	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x3cd3e5…
07-05 21:51:05	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 btts	Yes	SELL	14	28¢	$4	0x7db516…
07-05 21:45:08	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 btts	Yes	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x0c8031…
07-05 21:44:35	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0xcacc69…
07-05 20:55:25	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 btts	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xe351fb…
07-05 20:05:08	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 btts	Yes	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0x0eff78…
07-05 20:04:22	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x8f9689…
07-05 20:02:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0xa37a31…
07-04 22:35:07	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 btts	Yes	SELL	218	15¢	$33	0xcfcb83…
07-04 22:34:55	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 btts	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x9c5d03…
07-04 22:12:20	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 btts	Yes	BUY	300	21¢	$63	0xdc4f1e…
07-04 12:46:34	will paraguay reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134481	No	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0x11d74f…
07-04 03:16:11	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 team to advance	Ghana	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x08470c…
07-04 02:16:49	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xbd90c6…
07-04 01:03:47	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 btts	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x75cfdc…
07-04 00:23:04	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	SELL	25	31¢	$8	0x7614db…
07-04 00:10:04	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0xd065c8…
07-04 00:08:13	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x1c108d…
07-04 00:08:13	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x022698…
07-04 00:04:59	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xa5220a…
07-03 23:45:13	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xde26ea…
07-03 23:38:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0x819d3e…
07-03 23:23:31	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x185d94…
07-03 23:15:43	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 btts	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xe3c8e8…
07-03 22:46:55	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xde4af2…
07-03 22:46:53	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xebdf1c…
07-03 22:34:07	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 btts	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xc11fbb…
07-03 20:51:46	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Australia	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0x4de2ce…
07-03 19:56:23	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x3acfec…
07-03 19:35:31	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xb774fd…
07-03 19:32:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0x28c39a…
07-03 18:03:35	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 team to advance	Ghana	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x1020c9…
07-03 18:01:58	will australia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120748	Yes	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0xaadfae…
07-03 07:02:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	87	28¢	$24	0x105bd8…
07-03 06:54:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	15	28¢	$4	0x8bf46d…
07-03 06:46:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	2	28¢	$0	0x8193f4…
07-03 06:45:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0xfd1d1e…
07-03 06:45:01	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x475075…
07-03 03:46:53	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x754f89…
07-03 03:41:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0xd76d16…
07-03 03:28:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x8f2861…
07-03 03:16:29	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 team to advance	Switzerland	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x29a270…
07-03 01:44:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	SELL	145	14¢	$20	0x4febbe…
07-03 01:28:44	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$3	0x62f712…
07-03 00:55:44	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Portugal	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x572a42…
07-03 00:38:11	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x876118…
07-03 00:38:11	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x3ab72b…
07-03 00:13:47	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 btts	Yes	SELL	19	63¢	$12	0x6b9526…
07-02 23:59:37	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	400	0¢	$2	0xd5337d…
07-02 23:51:11	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	942	0¢	$5	0xc67446…
07-02 23:48:22	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 btts	Yes	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0x724b00…
07-02 17:12:40	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	Yes	SELL	61	1¢	$0	0x20e20c…
07-02 17:11:35	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	Yes	SELL	101	1¢	$1	0xceada6…
07-02 17:10:17	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x3be719…
07-02 16:22:07	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xb78bf0…
07-02 16:20:26	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x5c9a56…
07-02 16:15:11	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	Spain	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x672adc…
07-02 05:25:49	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	107	3¢	$3	0x9a8437…
07-02 02:52:38	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x0922ac…
07-02 02:52:02	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	745	3¢	$24	0x56d849…