Oddball-Storyboard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.11K

Unrealized P&L

+$192

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$130

Open exposure

$1.08K

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-10 14:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

86% 0% $-2,979

Other

11% 0% $-67

Sports

3% 0% $-66

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	+3,200	$800	32¢	$1.0K	+$208	05-09 18:57
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	+207	$69	32¢	$65	$-3	05-10 14:01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	+16	$8	50¢	$8	$-0	05-06 12:22
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	+103	$12	0¢	$0	$-12	05-10 10:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$800	3,200	0	+3,200	open	—	05-09 18:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	5	$797	0	3,776	-3,776	Yes	$-2,979	05-08 19:12
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	1	$165	0	201	-201	No	$-36	05-05 19:51
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	2	$69	207	0	+207	open	—	05-10 14:01
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$41	100	0	+100	Pistons	$-41	05-05 23:15
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-09?	1	$31	102	0	+102	No	$-31	05-09 14:58
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	1	$25	102	0	+102	Cavaliers	$-25	05-09 21:47
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-05-10?	1	$12	103	0	+103	open	—	05-10 10:34
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	1	$8	16	0	+16	open	—	05-06 12:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 14:01:39	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x4529cd…
05-10 10:34:53	Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	103	12¢	$12	0xf4a61e…
05-09 23:50:09	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0x6d95d2…
05-09 21:47:39	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	102	24¢	$25	0x3e92df…
05-09 18:57:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	25¢	$750	0xc6c6a1…
05-09 14:58:48	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	102	30¢	$31	0x18034e…
05-08 19:12:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,180	20¢	$636	0x87c7fc…
05-08 19:12:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x6762a4…
05-08 19:10:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	501	25¢	$125	0x5a796e…
05-08 18:32:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	45¢	$27	0xdbfd27…
05-08 18:22:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	30¢	$4	0xa02250…
05-06 12:22:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x7824ca…
05-06 12:10:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x35e51a…
05-05 23:15:06	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x17e3c7…
05-05 19:51:28	Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	No	SELL	201	82¢	$165	0x5fc64f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Conscious-Outfielder 0xdb83…1e50	5	$7.05K	32	05-10 13:36
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	5	$4.71K	36	05-09 21:48
Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7	5	$4.21K	159	05-10 12:02
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	4	$19.8K	37	05-10 11:56
Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92	4	$6.33K	27	05-10 14:01
Female-Slump-Expedition 0xa623…a4fe	4	$788	13	05-10 11:11
Grounded-Depression 0x35bb…009b	3	$18.8K	17	05-07 19:36
Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea	3	$16.0K	26	05-09 21:47