Outlying-Tritone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

223

lifetime

Volume

$9.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 07-21 08:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

41% — —

Politics

28% — —

Crypto

17% 0% $-3

Tech

12% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in paris on april 11 2026 19c	11	$1.2K	670	668	+2	open	—	04-10 08:12
highest temperature in singapore on april 10 2026 34c	2	$903	458	458	+1	open	—	04-10 06:58
btc updown 5m 1775808600	2	$700	783	771	+12	open	—	04-10 08:14
trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	10	$389	265	261	+3	open	—	06-26 02:03
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	5	$389	205	205	+0	open	—	06-17 02:34
highest temperature in singapore on april 10 2026 33c	3	$321	176	175	+1	open	—	04-10 07:05
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	4	$312	186	167	+19	open	—	06-17 06:46
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	2	$280	147	147	+0	open	—	07-15 17:06
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	3	$211	159	119	+40	open	—	06-26 00:50
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	3	$203	159	159	+0	open	—	06-09 16:19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$195	119	119	+0	open	—	07-14 23:45
fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 btts	1	$194	234	0	+234	open	—	06-21 05:32
btc updown 5m 1781856600	1	$190	194	0	+194	open	—	06-19 08:13
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	4	$181	249	249	+0	open	—	07-03 18:17
btc updown 5m 1781883600	1	$151	154	0	+154	open	—	06-19 15:42
btc updown 5m 1781668200	1	$150	153	0	+153	open	—	06-17 03:53
gpt 5pt6 released by july 15 2026	2	$146	241	241	+0	open	—	07-01 00:45
gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	2	$132	85	85	+0	open	—	07-08 04:14
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$131	86	86	+0	open	—	06-20 14:41
fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 spread home 2pt5	1	$128	170	0	+170	open	—	06-20 18:09
btc updown 5m 1775808900	2	$121	100	98	+1	open	—	04-10 08:18
starmer out by june 22 2026	3	$113	96	64	+32	open	—	06-22 06:03
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	2	$111	65	65	+0	open	—	06-22 01:34
gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	2	$107	60	60	+0	open	—	07-02 06:23
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$105	133	0	+133	open	—	05-30 02:17
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	1	$100	122	0	+122	open	—	07-15 17:07
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	1	$100	104	0	+104	open	—	06-26 00:49
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	4	$99	228	228	+0	open	—	05-18 05:22
will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	4	$97	132	23	+109	open	—	07-12 16:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	4	$84	50	50	+0	open	—	05-28 00:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 08:31:34	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	29¢	$13	0x8b6437…
07-21 08:30:33	will bitcoin dip to 65k in july 2026 from july 20	Yes	SELL	17	77¢	$13	0x9e92dd…
07-15 19:04:38	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x52ca7f…
07-15 17:10:05	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xa77230…
07-15 17:07:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x9eca54…
07-15 17:07:04	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x508203…
07-15 17:06:32	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	SELL	147	95¢	$140	0x6f5c4a…
07-14 23:45:46	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	147	95¢	$140	0xc3a583…
07-14 23:45:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	119	80¢	$95	0xefcc2d…
07-14 23:44:43	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	No	SELL	76	48¢	$36	0x8c524c…
07-12 16:17:20	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	No	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0xb8c1cc…
07-12 08:48:50	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x1f24f9…
07-11 02:44:04	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xc455cc…
07-10 15:50:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xe1a221…
07-10 15:48:47	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xf92c1f…
07-10 10:07:08	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	No	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0x9939f5…
07-10 04:20:49	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0x647afb…
07-10 04:20:23	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	SELL	23	33¢	$7	0x6fad75…
07-10 01:18:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x14a334…
07-10 01:16:22	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xc114b4…
07-08 17:08:31	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	No	SELL	42	2¢	$1	0xc0a153…
07-08 05:35:07	gpt 5pt6 released by july 13 2026 974	No	SELL	46	0¢	$0	0x3861ec…
07-08 04:14:35	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	No	SELL	85	98¢	$83	0x048f49…
07-08 00:51:23	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	No	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xc728ff…
07-07 16:36:43	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	SELL	15	53¢	$8	0xf839f5…
07-07 16:21:55	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x5c07c0…
07-07 08:30:10	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x9361fd…
07-07 08:26:05	gpt 5pt6 released by july 13 2026 974	No	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x8f730a…
07-07 01:31:59	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 goals romelu lukaku gte1	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9b503e…
07-03 18:17:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	185	18¢	$34	0xa623df…
07-03 17:23:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0xb237f5…
07-03 17:21:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xfb9f82…
07-03 17:21:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	64	74¢	$47	0x27e96f…
07-02 07:48:38	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x6cfce0…
07-02 06:23:14	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	No	SELL	60	95¢	$57	0x41038c…
07-02 05:55:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x6413a8…
07-01 12:28:19	btc updown 5m 1782908700	Down	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x43a82b…
07-01 12:26:59	btc updown 5m 1782908700	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x806ec6…
07-01 07:37:13	btc updown 5m 1782891300	Up	SELL	15	45¢	$7	0x143877…
07-01 07:35:47	btc updown 5m 1782891300	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x221845…
07-01 07:33:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x076b7e…
07-01 03:56:37	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0xcefaeb…
07-01 03:56:13	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x6d7270…
07-01 00:45:40	gpt 5pt6 released by july 15 2026	No	SELL	241	20¢	$49	0xda6b81…
06-30 14:01:47	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026	No	BUY	85	58¢	$49	0xe7bfd3…
06-29 14:16:32	gpt 5pt6 released by july 13 2026	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x15d90d…
06-29 04:06:19	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	29	17¢	$5	0x692bba…
06-29 01:23:11	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0x48e6d1…
06-29 01:00:52	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	29	25¢	$7	0x1c3456…
06-28 16:08:55	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x29ea64…
06-28 08:20:37	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xedaf01…
06-28 05:43:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x28c74a…
06-28 00:25:26	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xb3fda1…
06-28 00:23:35	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x31d067…
06-27 04:04:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xe49db0…
06-27 01:30:22	Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x91bc39…
06-27 00:55:08	fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x9f394a…
06-26 02:03:14	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	SELL	47	71¢	$34	0x6983c7…
06-26 01:19:52	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	SELL	39	71¢	$28	0xb6e267…
06-26 00:52:23	gpt 5pt6 released by july 15 2026	No	BUY	241	41¢	$98	0xe5ab83…
06-26 00:50:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	SELL	119	76¢	$91	0x402581…
06-26 00:49:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x5b7a50…
06-26 00:47:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	126	79¢	$100	0xf3a92a…
06-26 00:38:52	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	5¢	$2	0xb6904f…
06-25 15:52:22	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xa36abe…
06-25 13:26:43	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xfbd01b…
06-25 09:37:41	btc updown 5m 1782380100	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xf435f3…
06-25 09:12:37	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	No	BUY	76	48¢	$36	0xb1de29…
06-25 02:31:32	fifwc rsa kr 2026 06 24 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x58e3dc…
06-25 02:05:29	fifwc rsa kr 2026 06 24 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x8d980e…
06-25 01:58:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xae34c0…
06-25 01:53:17	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	Yes	SELL	69	8¢	$6	0xda730e…
06-24 18:00:52	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xd9e7f2…
06-24 09:39:28	btc updown 5m 1782293700	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0faa62…
06-23 13:48:34	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	21	51¢	$11	0xe6ec21…
06-23 11:01:41	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	22	21¢	$5	0x65a8fc…
06-23 11:00:50	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x30adc4…
06-23 09:24:29	btc updown 15m 1782206100	Up	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x4dfcba…
06-23 09:12:19	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xaf144d…
06-23 09:11:16	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	SELL	150	78¢	$117	0xc671f1…
06-23 07:36:55	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	69	14¢	$10	0x994b18…
06-23 04:31:47	fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 spread away 1pt5	Algeria	SELL	13	10¢	$1	0x4a82ed…
06-23 02:30:20	fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 spread away 1pt5	Algeria	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x41c3ad…
06-23 02:28:23	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xd7bb48…
06-23 02:25:43	will wti reach 80 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x3a06e7…
06-22 09:09:02	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x939cb8…
06-22 06:06:28	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xc1a7a4…
06-22 06:03:58	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0x800f65…
06-22 04:19:46	btc updown 5m 1782101700	Up	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0xd82ae5…
06-22 04:18:13	btc updown 5m 1782101700	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x6ae0e6…
06-22 04:17:50	btc updown 5m 1782101700	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x8323a7…
06-22 01:34:44	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	SELL	65	94¢	$61	0x6990aa…
06-21 08:34:31	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x81edd7…
06-21 08:18:22	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	87¢	$50	0x6b81f0…
06-21 05:32:16	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 btts	No	BUY	234	83¢	$194	0x13cf97…
06-20 18:09:59	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 spread home 2pt5	Netherlands	BUY	170	75¢	$128	0x6c743f…
06-20 14:41:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	86	94¢	$81	0xc2fd36…
06-20 14:40:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	63	17¢	$11	0x43fe16…
06-20 12:15:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	63	80¢	$50	0x3c1e79…
06-20 08:58:34	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	SELL	64	82¢	$53	0x4a6ff8…