Realized P&L
-$15
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
59.0%
Resolved
198
Trades
2,199
lifetime
Volume
$1.67K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$28
13 positions
First seen
2026-03-06
last 10-28 08:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 81 days
Categories
Politics
65% 56% +$35
Other
31% 46% -$48
Crypto
3% 50% +$1
Sports
2% 50% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -6 -$6 97¢ $-6 $0 08-12 00:39
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -3 -$2 86¢ $-3 $0 07-23 23:58
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +25 $4 11¢ $3 -$1 10-28 06:55
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +13 $4 18¢ $2 -$2 08-01 07:00
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 93¢ $2 +$0 05-24 06:08
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -4 -$3 66¢ $-2 +$0 09-10 19:57
Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas? Yes +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 10-28 08:34
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -2 -$2 94¢ $-2 $0 05-02 03:29
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +2 $2 84¢ $2 +$0 10-02 13:30
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +18 $2 6¢ $1 -$1 07-06 00:42
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -8 -$3 8¢ $-1 +$2 05-13 05:10
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes -4 -$1 12¢ $-0 +$0 05-26 05:28
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes +5 $2 4¢ $0 -$2 05-07 01:37