Realized P&L
-$8
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
30.9%
Resolved
6
Trades
1,844
lifetime
Volume
$1.45K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$21
7 positions
First seen
2026-03-06
last 07-23 23:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
69% 33% $-3
Other
27% 67% $-5
Crypto
2%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $6 36¢ $5 $-1 06-29 08:30
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +32 $6 12¢ $4 $-2 07-21 19:54
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -3 $-3 96¢ $-3 $-0 06-22 13:06
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +3 $2 78¢ $3 +$1 06-12 17:45
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -3 $-2 72¢ $-2 $-0 07-23 23:58
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +18 $2 12¢ $2 +$0 07-06 00:42
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +7 $2 30¢ $2 $-0 06-04 19:14