Every-Boat 0x18cf2d…5dd612 Create alert
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Realized P&L (7d)
-$5
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
12.3%
Resolved (7d)
4
Trades (7d)
16
2,217 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$17
$1.69K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$28
14 positions
First seen
2026-03-06
last 11-04 23:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 83 days
Categories
Politics
64% 56% +$34
Other
31% 45% -$53
Crypto
3% 50% +$1
Sports
2% 50% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -6 -$6 98¢ $-6 $0 10-29 17:16
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -3 -$2 92¢ $-3 -$1 07-23 23:58
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 05-24 06:08
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +13 $4 18¢ $2 -$2 08-01 07:00
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -2 -$2 97¢ $-2 $0 05-02 03:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? No +7 $2 31¢ $2 +$0 10-29 17:17
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -4 -$3 59¢ $-2 +$1 09-10 19:57
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026? Yes +3 $2 56¢ $2 $0 11-04 23:30
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +25 $4 7¢ $2 -$2 10-28 06:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +17 $2 11¢ $2 $0 11-01 00:45
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +18 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 07-06 00:42
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -8 -$3 8¢ $-1 +$2 05-13 05:10
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes -4 -$1 8¢ $-0 +$1 05-26 05:28
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes +5 $2 4¢ $0 -$2 05-07 01:37