Realized P&L
-$80
Unrealized P&L
-$31
Hit rate
40.2%
Resolved
8
Trades
867
lifetime
Volume
$6.78K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$357
9 positions
First seen
2026-02-04
last 06-20 10:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
80% 20% $-73
Other
13% 67% $-6
Crypto
5%
Sports
2%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +180 $166 91¢ $164 $-2 06-11 21:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -120 $-105 88¢ $-105 $-0 06-11 19:32
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -70 $-69 100¢ $-70 $-1 05-29 14:02
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +25 $10 36¢ $9 $-1 06-19 22:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +125 $33 $8 $-24 06-18 14:35
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +30 $2 $1 $-1 06-16 06:08
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +32 $1 $0 $-1 06-03 02:13
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -10 $1 $-0 $-1 06-20 10:44
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes -1 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-29 16:14