Realized P&L
+$974
Unrealized P&L
-$384
Hit rate
40.5%
Resolved
75
Trades
370
lifetime
Volume
$13.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$1.47K
17 positions
First seen
2026-02-20
last 10-26 14:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 29 days
Categories
Crypto
48% 8% -$130
Politics
27% 24% +$1,210
Other
25% 28% -$107
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,668 $525 21¢ $350 -$175 10-26 14:15
another fed rate hike in 2026 No +1,000 $100 24¢ $235 +$135 09-27 08:36
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? Yes +910 $214 22¢ $205 -$9 10-23 19:08
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +272 $124 40¢ $108 -$17 10-26 14:23
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) Yes +2,360 $329 4¢ $106 -$223 10-16 17:02
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +596 -$120 18¢ $104 +$225 10-25 09:49
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +430 $103 24¢ $101 -$2 10-25 10:54
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +250 $50 24¢ $59 +$9 10-16 20:10
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? Yes +330 $90 14¢ $45 -$45 10-26 14:18
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -629 -$125 6¢ $-41 +$84 10-02 09:10
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +614 $20 4¢ $25 +$5 10-01 14:48
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -556 -$39 4¢ $-23 +$16 10-02 09:14
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? Yes +490 $123 4¢ $22 -$101 10-26 14:21
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +186 -$128 12¢ $21 +$149 10-25 10:55
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +547 $86 4¢ $19 -$67 10-16 19:23
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? Yes +440 $142 1¢ $6 -$136 10-25 09:42
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? Yes +120 $234 2¢ $2 -$231 10-25 09:43