Realized P&L
-$21
Unrealized P&L
+$234
Hit rate
5.6%
Resolved
17
Trades
304
lifetime
Volume
$13.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$715
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 10-28 14:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Crypto
91% 9% -$17
Other
7% 20% -$1
Tech
2% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No -149 -$140 92¢ $-138 +$1 07-29 05:36
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? No -130 -$117 97¢ $-126 -$9 05-27 13:39
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No -100 -$96 94¢ $-94 +$2 07-12 13:45
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No -90 -$84 94¢ $-84 +$0 08-10 13:34
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,307 -$89 4¢ $52 +$140 10-22 15:18
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No -50 -$46 97¢ $-48 -$2 05-25 04:40
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +1,006 -$1 4¢ $42 +$43 10-22 23:30
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -50 -$46 82¢ $-41 +$4 07-14 14:17
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +1,064 $15 2¢ $18 +$3 10-08 17:12
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +208 $2 8¢ $17 +$15 09-01 18:02
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +70 -$3 23¢ $16 +$19 07-13 04:03
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes +1,200 $8 1¢ $15 +$7 10-28 14:17
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +61 $5 17¢ $11 +$6 06-06 16:22
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +26 -$3 31¢ $8 +$11 10-20 18:37
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +18 -$1 20¢ $4 +$4 10-17 18:08
Databricks IPO before 2027? Yes +75 $12 2¢ $2 -$11 07-04 03:32