Realized P&L
+$157
Unrealized P&L
+$42
Hit rate
75.3%
Resolved
275
Trades
758
lifetime
Volume
$17.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$798
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-28 12:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 96 days
Categories
Crypto
74% 86% -$125
Politics
21% 59% +$322
Other
4% 56% -$39
Sports
1% 50% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +323 $270 98¢ $318 +$47 10-28 02:51
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October? No +90 $88 99¢ $89 +$1 10-28 03:39
Will Solana reach $140 in October? No +85 $83 100¢ $85 +$2 10-24 15:29
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -77 -$62 94¢ $-73 -$11 05-02 03:29
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -331 -$64 18¢ $-60 +$3 04-30 17:03
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? No +45 $44 99¢ $45 +$1 10-28 00:44
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No +40 $37 97¢ $39 +$2 10-20 14:19
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? No +20 $20 99¢ $20 +$0 10-28 05:51
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -19 -$12 78¢ $-15 -$3 05-06 23:30
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -11 -$11 99¢ $-11 $0 05-01 01:22
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -11 -$10 99¢ $-11 $0 05-01 09:08
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 07-11 23:51
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -9 -$8 98¢ $-9 $0 05-01 14:58
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No -5 -$5 98¢ $-5 $0 07-06 03:44
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-26 08:38
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? No +4 $4 99¢ $4 +$0 07-12 06:31
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 04-30 15:19
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -10 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$0 05-05 02:22