Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

61.8%

Resolved

291

Trades

1,007

lifetime

Volume

$644

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-08-08

last 10-19 01:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Other

77% 48% +$3

Crypto

16% 40% -$7

Politics

4% 18% -$3

Tech

2% 60% +$1

Sports

1% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Washington Wizards be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?	Yes	+20	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	08-16 19:30
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	+2	$0	7¢	$0	+$0	08-26 15:02
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	+1	$0	3¢	$0	+$0	08-26 11:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 10?	10	$10	90	90	+0	No	+$2	08-09 05:24
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	10	$10	100	100	+0	Yes	+$1	08-12 10:25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C on August 10?	11	$7	70	69	+1	No	+$1	08-09 17:00
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 9?	14	$6	49	49	+0	No	+$1	08-08 18:10
Will "Tires: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	9	$6	65	65	+0	No	+$1	08-16 14:41
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	16	$6	100	100	+0	No	+$1	08-13 14:48
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 10?	6	$6	75	75	+0	No	$0	08-10 03:24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 9?	5	$6	36	36	+0	No	+$2	08-08 10:38
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 13?	12	$6	50	50	+0	No	+$2	08-11 22:23
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	12	$6	92	68	+25	No	$0	08-09 14:35
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 10?	5	$5	58	58	+0	No	+$1	08-09 19:32
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	9	$5	46	46	+0	No	+$1	08-22 11:46
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 11?	6	$5	45	45	+0	No	+$1	08-10 06:50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C on August 9?	8	$5	45	45	+0	No	+$1	08-08 06:02
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	5	$5	45	45	+0	Yes	+$1	08-10 13:26
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 9?	7	$5	45	44	+1	No	+$1	08-08 16:27
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 17?	5	$5	42	42	+0	No	+$1	08-16 10:10
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 12?	7	$5	42	42	+0	Yes	+$1	08-11 22:36
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 11?	9	$4	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-10 10:04
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 11?	4	$4	45	45	+0	No	+$0	08-10 18:22
russia elections yabloko clears duma threshold	4	$4	48	48	+0	No	+$0	08-16 21:59
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	6	$4	40	40	+0	No	+$0	08-16 16:54
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 13?	3	$4	50	25	+25	No	+$0	08-12 10:00
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?	4	$4	40	40	+0	No	+$0	08-31 19:02
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 17?	8	$4	39	39	+0	No	$0	08-16 13:10
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	4	$4	39	35	+4	Yes	$0	09-01 12:10
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	17	$4	40	38	+2	No	+$0	08-10 16:58
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	4	$4	35	35	+0	Yes	+$1	08-11 07:19
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?	6	$4	45	45	+0	open	—	08-22 23:00
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	2	$4	25	25	+0	Yes	+$2	08-23 05:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 01:26:56	Will Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?	Yes	SELL	18	8¢	$1	0xe30dca…
10-18 02:47:23	Will Microsoft have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x951c47…
10-02 04:11:26	Cambria FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0x869729…
09-18 18:36:52	will ethereum reach 2800 september 14 20 2026	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x6c0a90…
09-15 18:41:10	will ethereum reach 2800 september 14 20 2026	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x66cdeb…
09-15 18:40:28	Will Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4b9335…
09-15 17:22:58	Will Patrick Brown win the 2026 Brampton mayoral election?	No	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x9e39f9…
09-15 08:05:55	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 34 and 35 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x1ffe94…
09-13 15:37:58	Will María Teresa Guerra Ochoa win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xdf9ee4…
09-13 12:18:46	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 September 7-13?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0x10cc90…
09-13 11:37:33	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 41m?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x1aeada…
09-13 06:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 14?	Yes	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x76ef46…
09-13 01:55:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 14?	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x60a6b3…
09-13 00:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0xb05a60…
09-12 23:22:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 14?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x2d8a2e…
09-12 23:16:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0xda82a8…
09-12 22:12:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x56afc8…
09-12 16:41:03	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x28424e…
09-12 14:49:25	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?	No	SELL	25	6¢	$2	0xfaa86a…
09-12 14:10:52	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0x35baca…
09-12 06:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 13?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x861975…
09-12 05:34:30	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0xaa7f48…
09-12 05:29:58	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x5d7896…
09-12 05:00:10	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x3ba8bd…
09-12 04:29:36	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 September 7-13?	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0xcccb31…
09-12 03:57:13	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x2d50f3…
09-12 03:25:54	Will "The Whisper Man" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xdd166d…
09-12 03:03:03	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?	No	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x3826d7…
09-12 01:05:24	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xaeb1d5…
09-12 00:14:13	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 September 7-13?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x9d63d3…
09-12 00:08:03	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xb271ca…
09-11 23:45:37	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 41m?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x90f043…
09-11 23:05:31	Will “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x1f68a9…
09-11 23:00:33	Will “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xc43f91…
09-11 19:27:18	Will Tennessee Titans advance to the AFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xdd88b9…
09-11 17:43:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x88de84…
09-10 23:35:33	Will Patrick Brown win the 2026 Brampton mayoral election?	No	SELL	17	3¢	$1	0x28df06…
09-06 09:22:03	Will Amazon have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x7177e0…
09-01 18:22:12	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x1b1aad…
09-01 12:10:51	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xf7c9f4…
09-01 10:41:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on September 4?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xe275f0…
09-01 10:25:28	Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x4c4109…
09-01 01:06:21	will ethereum dip to 2200 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x882fab…
09-01 01:04:49	will ethereum dip to 2200 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xffe743…
09-01 01:04:49	Will Solana reach $120 in August?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xef2ab4…
08-31 22:43:43	Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0xcd871b…
08-31 21:15:28	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x1e7731…
08-31 21:13:46	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x78e522…
08-31 20:59:09	Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xbb167f…
08-31 19:24:18	Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0x93c654…
08-31 19:12:54	Will "Facing El Chapo" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0x45b177…
08-31 19:02:12	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x30dae9…
08-31 18:51:27	bitcoin above 82k on september 1 2026	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x0e2536…
08-31 18:21:30	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x72d0c1…
08-31 16:32:31	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x0f6100…
08-31 14:49:51	Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x053ba8…
08-31 11:32:33	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on August 31?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xb8b8a4…
08-31 00:17:15	Will "Facing El Chapo" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x29e9a3…
08-30 23:48:43	bitcoin above 74k on august 31 2026	No	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0x572272…
08-30 23:29:51	bitcoin above 82k on september 2 2026	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x42453d…
08-30 23:23:34	will bitcoin dip to 72k august 24 30 2026	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0xdd8a25…
08-30 23:23:25	will bitcoin dip to 74k august 24 30 2026	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x90fb14…
08-30 23:00:31	Will Leavitt say "Iran" 5+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x22c817…
08-30 22:30:52	Will "Facing El Chapo" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	23	9¢	$2	0x97a9de…
08-30 22:28:51	bitcoin above 82k on september 1 2026	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xd550af…
08-30 18:42:27	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x91bfeb…
08-30 17:25:13	will bitcoin dip to 76k august 24 30 2026	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x5a3f8e…
08-30 16:31:16	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase august 25 31 2026	No	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0x0bf3b2…
08-30 16:17:22	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase august 25 31 2026	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x8043a1…
08-30 16:14:19	will ethereum reach 2600 august 24 30 2026	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x0ac2d0…
08-30 14:40:30	Will "Facing El Chapo" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xbaca62…
08-30 14:36:49	Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x30332f…
08-30 09:50:16	Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x97ff61…
08-30 08:03:46	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x85e14c…
08-30 05:38:22	bitcoin above 80k on august 30 2026	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x3691fb…
08-30 00:36:39	will bitcoin dip to 76k august 24 30 2026	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x7c00e4…
08-30 00:20:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 30?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x414142…
08-30 00:10:34	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x810133…
08-30 00:10:07	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x81589f…
08-29 20:01:22	Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6ed056…
08-29 19:22:09	Will Michael Bush win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd443e8…
08-29 17:57:33	Will Solana reach $120 in August?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x300161…
08-29 16:46:57	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x0015fb…
08-29 16:14:09	Will "Facing El Chapo" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x8f8140…
08-29 16:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 30?	Yes	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0x14623d…
08-29 15:18:45	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0xd3fad8…
08-29 14:45:27	solana above 110 on august 30 2026	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x9d8e9f…
08-29 14:39:42	will bitcoin dip to 74k august 24 30 2026	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x09fa55…
08-29 14:38:37	solana above 110 on august 30 2026	Yes	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0xe9d3a5…
08-29 13:09:40	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x3ed0de…
08-29 13:09:40	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x2e5e73…
08-29 13:09:39	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x8ad1a0…
08-29 12:55:00	Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	Yes	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0x884af3…
08-29 10:26:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x245b67…
08-29 10:11:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xabb8bc…
08-29 08:07:48	Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x55a53a…
08-29 05:12:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x54897b…
08-29 03:12:33	solana above 110 on august 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0xcf0510…
08-29 02:59:45	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x1589df…
08-29 01:57:34	bitcoin above 74k on august 31 2026	No	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x12e0a4…