Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$55
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
3,582
lifetime
Volume
$17.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$1.64K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-08
last 06-29 23:19
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
59%
Other
28%
Tech
7%
Sports
4%
Politics
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 411 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026? No -275 $-275 100¢ $-275 $-0 06-26 21:27
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? No -276 $-260 96¢ $-264 $-5 06-24 20:37
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? No -254 $-237 94¢ $-239 $-2 06-29 23:19
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No -194 $-191 98¢ $-190 +$1 06-29 01:30
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No -182 $-163 90¢ $-163 $-1 06-30 13:36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No -102 $-80 100¢ $-102 $-22 06-11 02:04
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No -78 $-72 92¢ $-72 $-1 06-24 13:22
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +70 $10 99¢ $69 +$59 06-11 07:54
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? No -54 $-53 99¢ $-53 $-0 06-29 09:25
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? No -42 $-41 98¢ $-41 +$0 06-27 19:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +36 $27 100¢ $36 +$9 06-13 13:48
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? No -35 $-34 97¢ $-34 +$0 06-25 09:25
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? No +27 $26 94¢ $26 $-0 06-28 23:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +75 $40 18¢ $13 $-27 06-15 13:52
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No -17 $-8 55¢ $-9 $-2 06-15 19:27
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes -32 $-12 29¢ $-9 +$3 06-16 16:56
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +17 $8 45¢ $8 $-1 06-16 14:29
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No -9 $-6 80¢ $-7 $-2 06-14 19:54
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -12 $-4 52¢ $-6 $-2 06-17 14:53
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? No -5 $1 95¢ $-5 $-5 06-11 08:42
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-4 72¢ $-4 $-0 06-16 12:05
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +7 $4 58¢ $4 $-0 06-15 20:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -4 $-5 64¢ $-3 +$2 06-16 00:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +4 $3 36¢ $1 $-1 06-17 15:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +291 $43 $1 $-42 06-13 16:49
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes -5 $-1 20¢ $-1 +$0 06-15 14:43
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +3 $2 29¢ $1 $-1 06-11 17:34
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +5 $2 14¢ $1 $-1 06-17 15:05
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +0 $16 97¢ $0 $-15 06-12 17:16
NATO article 5 before 2027? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-09 09:31