Full-Gearshift 0xd71a00…bd78c9
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$11.6K
Unrealized P&L
-$185
Hit rate
56.4%
Resolved
158
Trades
448
lifetime
Volume
$127.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$285
Open exposure
$9.00K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 09-17 23:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Other
45% 62% -$10,909
Politics
32% 75% +$478
Sports
18% 43% -$1,158
Crypto
5% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -1,930 -$1,656 90¢ $-1740 -$84 05-16 22:21
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,709 $1,600 92¢ $1.6K -$36 07-26 21:37
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,635 $1,410 82¢ $1.3K -$62 08-25 18:17
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,240 -$1,192 99¢ $-1229 -$38 05-14 21:05
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No -729 -$707 100¢ $-726 -$19 05-14 18:19
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No -641 -$602 98¢ $-628 -$26 05-14 21:24
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No +496 $460 94¢ $463 +$3 07-31 07:10
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +350 $273 80¢ $281 +$9 08-12 21:08
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No +297 $223 88¢ $263 +$40 08-26 17:12
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No -221 -$212 99¢ $-219 -$8 05-13 22:37
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No -202 -$182 97¢ $-196 -$15 05-20 16:05
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -141 -$123 96¢ $-135 -$13 05-16 19:01
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -114 -$105 99¢ $-113 -$7 05-14 21:25
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -432 -$152 19¢ $-81 +$71 05-16 21:20
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +184 $8 4¢ $7 -$1 09-17 23:47