Full-Gearshift 0xd71a00…bd78c9 Create alert
whale
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Realized P&L (30d)
-$780
Unrealized P&L
-$149
Hit rate
60.8%
Resolved (30d)
28
Trades (30d)
17
465 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$1.88K
$129.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$278
Open exposure
$9.33K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-04 21:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 69 days
Categories
Other
44% 62% -$10,909
Politics
33% 77% +$686
Sports
18% 43% -$1,158
Crypto
5% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -1,930 -$1,656 91¢ $-1763 -$107 05-16 22:21
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,709 $1,600 96¢ $1.6K +$32 07-26 21:37
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,635 $1,410 86¢ $1.4K +$4 08-25 18:17
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,240 -$1,192 99¢ $-1233 -$41 05-14 21:05
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No -729 -$707 100¢ $-727 -$21 05-14 18:19
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No -641 -$602 98¢ $-629 -$27 05-14 21:24
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No +496 $460 96¢ $476 +$16 07-31 07:10
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +353 $301 85¢ $299 -$2 11-04 20:45
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No -221 -$212 99¢ $-220 -$8 05-13 22:37
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No -202 -$182 98¢ $-198 -$17 05-20 16:05
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -141 -$123 98¢ $-138 -$15 05-16 19:01
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +125 $111 92¢ $115 +$4 11-04 21:07
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -114 -$105 99¢ $-113 -$8 05-14 21:25
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +117 $100 94¢ $109 +$9 11-04 08:44
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +405 $100 26¢ $107 +$7 11-04 20:45
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +173 $100 59¢ $101 +$1 10-30 13:18
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -432 -$152 8¢ $-37 +$115 05-16 21:20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +14 $10 78¢ $11 +$1 10-30 13:16
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +136 $100 6¢ $8 -$92 11-04 08:45