Full-Gearshift 0xd71a00…bd78c9 Create alert
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$11.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$121
Hit rate
57.1%
Resolved
164
Trades
470
lifetime
Volume
$130.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$277
Open exposure
$9.71K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-11 23:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 69 days
Categories
Other
44% 62% -$10,909
Politics
34% 77% +$686
Sports
18% 43% -$1,158
Crypto
5% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -1,930 -$1,656 91¢ $-1748 -$92 05-16 22:21
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,709 $1,600 99¢ $1.7K +$84 07-26 21:37
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,635 $1,410 96¢ $1.6K +$151 08-25 18:17
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,240 -$1,192 100¢ $-1236 -$44 05-14 21:05
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +947 $811 85¢ $809 -$2 11-11 23:55
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No -729 -$707 100¢ $-728 -$22 05-14 18:19
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No -641 -$602 99¢ $-632 -$30 05-14 21:24
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No +496 $460 99¢ $488 +$28 07-31 07:10
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No -221 -$212 100¢ $-220 -$9 05-13 22:37
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No -202 -$182 99¢ $-200 -$18 05-20 16:05
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -141 -$123 98¢ $-139 -$16 05-16 19:01
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -114 -$105 99¢ $-113 -$8 05-14 21:25
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +173 $100 54¢ $94 -$6 10-30 13:18
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -432 -$152 12¢ $-50 +$102 05-16 21:20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +14 $10 88¢ $12 +$2 10-30 13:16