Full-Gearshift 0xd71a00…bd78c9
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$885
Unrealized P&L
-$29
Hit rate
45.9%
Resolved (7d)
9
Trades (7d)
8
456 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$831
$128.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$282
Open exposure
$9.49K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 13:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Other
45% 62% -$10,909
Politics
33% 75% +$478
Sports
18% 43% -$1,158
Crypto
5% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -1,930 -$1,656 90¢ $-1745 -$89 05-16 22:21
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,709 $1,600 94¢ $1.6K +$15 07-26 21:37
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,635 $1,410 90¢ $1.5K +$53 08-25 18:17
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,240 -$1,192 100¢ $-1234 -$43 05-14 21:05
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No -729 -$707 100¢ $-727 -$21 05-14 18:19
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No -641 -$602 98¢ $-625 -$23 05-14 21:24
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No +496 $460 96¢ $473 +$13 07-31 07:10
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +350 $273 86¢ $299 +$26 08-12 21:08
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No -221 -$212 99¢ $-219 -$8 05-13 22:37
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No -202 -$182 97¢ $-196 -$15 05-20 16:05
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -141 -$123 97¢ $-137 -$14 05-16 19:01
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -114 -$105 99¢ $-113 -$8 05-14 21:25
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +128 $100 82¢ $104 +$4 10-30 13:16
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +173 $100 60¢ $103 +$3 10-30 13:18
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +139 $100 72¢ $101 +$1 10-30 13:10
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +141 $100 70¢ $99 -$1 10-30 13:13
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +122 $100 80¢ $98 -$2 10-30 13:13
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -432 -$152 16¢ $-69 +$83 05-16 21:20
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +200 $50 24¢ $49 -$1 10-30 13:12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +14 $10 70¢ $10 $0 10-30 13:16
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +184 $8 2¢ $4 -$4 09-17 23:47