Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$325

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.4%

Resolved

1,171

Trades

2,709

lifetime

Volume

$11.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 08-20 07:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 74 days

Categories

Other

74% 63% -$164

Crypto

9% 70% -$95

Sports

8% 55% -$61

Politics

8% 73% -$9

Tech

1% 82% +$4

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 151 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol we jdg 2026 07 24 game2	27	$107	317	96	+221	JD Gaming	-$15	07-24 10:49
lol lgd edg 2026 07 22 game2	19	$94	87	87	+0	LGD Gaming	+$14	07-22 10:46
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	5	$90	121	69	+52	No	+$22	07-22 01:44
lol we jdg 2026 07 24 game1	28	$86	63	62	+0	Team WE	+$6	07-24 09:49
lol lgd edg 2026 07 22 game1	3	$82	42	42	+0	LGD Gaming	+$2	07-22 09:56
lol we jdg 2026 07 24	15	$82	48	38	+10	Team WE	+$2	07-24 11:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 13:00 UTC	3	$77	104	57	+47	Up	-$43	03-06 13:04
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	31	$75	46	46	+0	No	+$4	08-20 06:22
aus mac wel 2026 04 24 wel	3	$75	124	122	+3	No	-$5	04-21 11:50
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$68	51	51	+0	Yes	+$28	07-19 03:41
lol edg blg 2026 07 24 game1	5	$65	68	18	+50	EDward Gaming	-$38	07-24 12:52
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	41	$64	64	55	+9	Yes	+$8	08-19 15:26
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$60	43	43	+0	No	+$20	07-19 03:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 08:15 UTC	2	$58	38	38	+1	Up	+$18	03-06 08:21
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-04-25?	20	$57	128	125	+3	No	-$2	04-25 07:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 12:30 UTC	2	$54	53	52	+1	Down	+$15	03-06 12:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 13:10 UTC	2	$53	39	39	+1	Up	+$13	03-06 13:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 13:05 UTC	2	$52	27	27	+0	Up	+$2	03-06 13:10
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	20	$51	58	58	+0	open	—	08-20 07:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 13:15 UTC	1	$50	91	0	+91	Up	-$50	03-06 13:16
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	11	$48	50	1	+49	Yes	+$4	08-12 00:15
Will Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?	11	$47	25	25	+0	No	+$1	08-20 06:33
Madrid Open, Qualification: Moez Echargui vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2	$47	96	94	+2	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	-$1	04-21 14:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	7	$44	41	41	+0	open	—	08-20 06:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 07:50 UTC	2	$44	60	59	+1	Up	+$10	03-06 07:54
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	21	$43	35	27	+8	Yes	+$2	08-10 18:26
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	3	$41	37	22	+15	Yes	+$12	07-21 08:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 13:20 UTC	3	$40	221	79	+142	Up	-$11	03-06 13:25
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	5	$37	75	13	+61	No	-$18	07-22 19:27
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	5	$36	77	77	+0	open	—	08-20 06:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-20 07:39:19	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x986e30…
08-20 07:39:10	Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	56¢	$4	0x4e5945…
08-20 07:38:57	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	SELL	43	2¢	$1	0x1d5a78…
08-20 07:38:43	KBO: LG Twins vs. Samsung Lions	Samsung Lions	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x539402…
08-20 07:38:30	saquon barkley 699pt5 rushing yards 2026 27	Yes	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x0b26b2…
08-20 07:38:21	will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	No	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0xdb013e…
08-20 07:37:57	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0x76925f…
08-20 07:37:45	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0xfc8c69…
08-20 07:37:25	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x06f5b4…
08-20 07:37:07	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x3112a9…
08-20 07:30:58	mlb tb nyy 2026 05 23	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0x3c970c…
08-20 07:29:49	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x054fd4…
08-20 07:29:39	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0xe2b39a…
08-20 07:29:21	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb1ec94…
08-20 07:28:34	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0xa46cef…
08-20 07:28:03	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x9819b0…
08-20 07:27:49	val xlg nova 2026 08 20	XLG Gaming	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x575384…
08-20 07:27:39	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x38c683…
08-20 07:27:16	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x41e083…
08-20 07:26:57	will gold gc hit low 3500 by end of december	No	SELL	3	89¢	$2	0xcb3bcc…
08-20 07:26:40	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	Yes	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0x5a13f0…
08-20 07:26:28	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?	Yes	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x400905…
08-20 07:26:16	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0x5df068…
08-20 07:26:01	will xagusd dip to 56 in august 2026	No	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x6f714e…
08-20 07:25:51	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	SELL	6	60¢	$3	0xf745ff…
08-20 07:25:37	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	No	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0x583cc9…
08-20 07:25:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696	Yes	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x588edb…
08-20 07:25:18	Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x35ef12…
08-20 07:25:07	will nvda reach 240 in august 2026	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0xe55500…
08-20 07:24:52	Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x6473e5…
08-20 07:24:43	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0x7b6f27…
08-20 07:24:34	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	No	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0x445cf3…
08-20 07:24:25	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	8	56¢	$4	0xda8eb4…
08-20 07:24:10	Will LOUD Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2	No	SELL	6	79¢	$4	0xe6a9e6…
08-20 07:24:01	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	75¢	$5	0x2bc6f4…
08-20 07:23:54	Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	No	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x3ad181…
08-20 07:23:45	Will Miami Dolphins win the 2026 AFC East	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x96967f…
08-20 07:23:03	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x6ef8e9…
08-20 07:22:43	Will the Buffalo Sabres be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$3	0xbece97…
08-20 07:22:33	will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0x5bb7b4…
08-20 07:22:22	will bitcoin reach 85000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0xbba2c9…
08-20 07:22:10	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by september 30	No	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0xf5af16…
08-20 07:22:00	val kru1 w7m 2026 08 20	KRÜ Esports	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x5f531a…
08-20 07:21:00	Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xd9c2f5…
08-20 07:20:42	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0xbcd46f…
08-20 07:20:27	Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xdc2355…
08-20 07:18:43	Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?	Yes	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x3332f6…
08-20 07:18:30	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x3ac789…
08-20 07:18:18	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x9d93d7…
08-20 07:18:06	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0x9e1c65…
08-20 07:17:52	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0xcc2bb5…
08-20 07:17:31	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x1b503d…
08-20 07:17:19	will anthropics valuation hit high 4pt0t by december 31	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x287a3e…
08-20 07:16:51	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xf2cb45…
08-20 07:16:37	Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xba4b9c…
08-20 07:16:25	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xcf240d…
08-20 07:16:15	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x27c077…
08-20 07:16:03	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x666ac0…
08-20 07:15:51	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x364e85…
08-20 07:15:36	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x20c8b0…
08-20 07:15:24	will renan santos qualify for brazils presidential runoff 20260617203623448	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x5e35f4…
08-20 07:15:10	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x35086c…
08-20 07:14:58	will xauusd dip to 4000 in august 2026	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x1bc2fe…
08-20 07:14:45	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x83501c…
08-20 07:14:34	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xba0c5d…
08-20 07:14:12	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x1ccfb1…
08-20 07:13:30	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 960m by August 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xba83fc…
08-20 07:13:07	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x53a667…
08-20 07:12:51	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x35936e…
08-20 07:12:37	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfe64b9…
08-20 07:12:19	will wti dip to 60 in august 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x19ce8f…
08-20 07:12:03	Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x537007…
08-20 07:11:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0xe0410a…
08-20 07:11:36	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x596362…
08-20 07:11:12	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd358b8…
08-20 07:10:51	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x845b06…
08-20 07:02:54	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x685fd7…
08-20 07:02:25	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x2fba22…
08-20 07:01:58	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x7de68c…
08-20 07:01:33	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x981d4f…
08-20 07:01:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x287737…
08-20 07:01:09	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x6dbcb3…
08-20 07:00:33	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xd3ccf3…
08-20 07:00:12	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x203309…
08-20 06:50:37	will ethereum dip to 1500 in august 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1f994b…
08-20 06:50:07	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x719b4c…
08-20 06:49:46	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0xbd8996…
08-20 06:49:21	will ethereum dip to 1250 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x2a67f8…
08-20 06:49:06	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x9d7b57…
08-20 06:48:16	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	No	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0xfea829…
08-20 06:48:04	will xauusd dip to 3900 in august 2026	No	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0xcd6f3e…
08-20 06:47:54	will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	No	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x012374…
08-20 06:47:40	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	22¢	$17	0xcb43d2…
08-20 06:47:33	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x5b44bc…
08-20 06:46:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	SELL	7	82¢	$5	0xa294fe…
08-20 06:46:45	will there be houthi military action against israel by august 31 2026	No	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x00c516…
08-20 06:46:30	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x9bab33…
08-20 06:46:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x32bd73…
08-20 06:45:58	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x470ae6…
08-20 06:44:58	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in august 2026	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x7898c9…