Dead-Lava 0x629bc4…dd995a
whale hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$708.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$42.2K
Hit rate
79.0%
Resolved
782
Trades
24,872
lifetime
Volume
$4.90M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$197
Open exposure
$222.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 18:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 86 days
Categories
Politics
68% 44% +$514,766
Other
32% 47% +$194,041
Sports
0% 0% -$700
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 913 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +29,037 $8,326 80¢ $23.4K +$15,049 10-27 14:52
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +25,610 $21,103 79¢ $20.2K -$935 09-27 20:06
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +15,042 $8,930 98¢ $14.7K +$5,803 10-25 10:26
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +18,695 $9,211 68¢ $12.6K +$3,408 09-13 10:48
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +12,354 $12,305 100¢ $12.3K +$31 10-26 19:06
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +18,112 $8,846 68¢ $12.2K +$3,379 09-13 10:48
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +15,542 $11,500 72¢ $11.1K -$388 09-16 10:08
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +13,036 $3,411 80¢ $10.5K +$7,083 10-27 14:52
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +8,221 $6,849 100¢ $8.2K +$1,360 06-04 23:34
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +11,061 $6,628 70¢ $7.7K +$1,115 10-01 09:20
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +14,939 $5,609 50¢ $7.4K +$1,786 10-27 18:07
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +18,694 $7,220 32¢ $6.1K -$1,144 10-02 11:06
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +18,111 $6,737 32¢ $5.9K -$851 10-03 09:51
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -6,013 -$5,803 98¢ $-5863 -$60 09-01 21:05
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +7,663 $5,534 74¢ $5.7K +$175 10-25 19:48
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +25,594 $6,516 21¢ $5.4K -$1,077 09-13 22:13
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5,420 $4,035 99¢ $5.4K +$1,345 10-02 12:54
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -5,111 -$4,753 98¢ $-5014 -$261 09-11 22:46
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +6,233 $4,550 74¢ $4.6K +$93 10-09 18:13
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +15,541 $4,064 29¢ $4.4K +$365 09-13 22:13
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +10,227 $3,206 40¢ $4.0K +$834 10-26 21:12
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +10,000 $3,578 38¢ $3.9K +$272 10-26 21:12
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +3,956 $1,050 96¢ $3.8K +$2,727 09-15 19:39
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +14,653 $3,661 26¢ $3.7K +$76 10-24 11:46
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,812 $2,664 70¢ $3.4K +$728 09-30 22:00
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +5,668 $2,875 60¢ $3.4K +$497 10-24 21:26
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +3,333 $2,366 99¢ $3.3K +$927 06-10 05:11
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -3,350 -$3,115 94¢ $-3165 -$50 10-02 16:46
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +10,688 $2,775 26¢ $2.7K -$49 10-24 15:46
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No -2,763 -$2,650 98¢ $-2706 -$56 10-25 22:59