Realized P&L
+$4.13K
Unrealized P&L
+$599
Hit rate
68.6%
Resolved
412
Trades
6,219
lifetime
Volume
$867.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$139
Open exposure
$6.96K
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-14
last 10-28 00:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 97 days
Categories
Politics
68% 36% +$13,617
Other
21% 37% -$17,459
Sports
8% 23% +$5,608
Tech
3% 40% +$1,572
Crypto
0% 36% +$796
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 142 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +7,998 $6,825 86¢ $6.9K +$74 10-28 00:42
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +2,000 $62 1¢ $23 -$39 10-16 15:42
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +300 $12 6¢ $19 +$7 10-16 15:40
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +19 -$99 44¢ $8 +$107 10-27 03:03
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? No +100 $8 7¢ $7 -$2 10-23 21:01
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +0 -$572 15¢ $0 +$572 08-20 15:09
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +0 $0 6¢ $0 $0 09-13 23:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +0 $120 1¢ $0 -$120 08-04 13:10