Realized P&L
-$492
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
70.4%
Resolved
419
Trades
1,090
lifetime
Volume
$26.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$220
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 10-28 06:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 128 days
Categories
Other
40% 44% -$400
Tech
25% 47% -$3
Crypto
19% 56% -$170
Politics
15% 42% +$81
Sports
1% 23% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +71 $67 94¢ $66 -$1 10-24 03:40
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +50 $32 66¢ $33 +$1 10-21 09:56
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +50 $31 62¢ $31 $0 10-19 21:44
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +24 $21 92¢ $22 +$1 10-28 00:12
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +22 $21 96¢ $21 +$0 10-28 00:12
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +25 $20 80¢ $20 $0 09-23 04:59
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +37 $16 34¢ $13 -$3 10-23 04:01
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +19 $7 58¢ $11 +$4 10-06 05:27
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? Yes +52 $7 5¢ $3 -$5 07-21 10:04