Realized P&L (30d)
+$159
Unrealized P&L
+$12
Hit rate
78.6%
Resolved (30d)
31
Trades (30d)
90
1,116 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$2.18K
$27.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$292
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 11-08 08:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 135 days
Categories
Other
40% 44% -$418
Tech
24% 46% -$3
Crypto
19% 56% -$170
Politics
16% 44% +$86
Sports
1% 23% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +108 $82 82¢ $89 +$6 11-07 06:57
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +89 $85 92¢ $82 -$2 11-06 05:02
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m? No +50 $24 59¢ $30 +$5 11-08 03:30
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +50 $33 58¢ $29 -$4 11-06 19:51
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +37 $16 64¢ $24 +$8 10-23 04:01
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +138 $20 15¢ $20 +$0 11-06 20:02
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +19 $7 74¢ $14 +$7 10-06 05:27
Will James Talarico be TIME Person of the Year 2026? Yes +25 $4 13¢ $3 -$1 11-08 03:36
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? Yes +52 $7 2¢ $1 -$7 07-21 10:04