Realized P&L (90d)
+$234
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
68.4%
Resolved (90d)
94
Trades (90d)
223
1,119 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$4.33K
$27.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$372
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 11-10 03:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 136 days
Categories
Other
41% 44% -$447
Tech
24% 46% -$3
Crypto
19% 56% -$170
Politics
16% 44% +$86
Sports
1% 23% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +108 $82 78¢ $85 +$2 11-07 06:57
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +89 $85 94¢ $84 $0 11-06 05:02
Jensen Huang divorce in 2026? No +66 $56 90¢ $60 +$4 11-09 05:08
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +212 $34 16¢ $35 +$1 11-10 03:29
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +47 $36 70¢ $32 -$4 11-09 22:13
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +37 $16 71¢ $26 +$10 10-23 04:01
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +138 $20 13¢ $18 -$2 11-06 20:02
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +19 $7 74¢ $14 +$7 10-06 05:27
Will The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? No +25 $15 46¢ $12 -$4 09-17 02:58
Will James Talarico be TIME Person of the Year 2026? Yes +25 $4 17¢ $4 +$0 11-08 03:36
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? Yes +52 $7 1¢ $1 -$7 07-21 10:04