Realized P&L (90d)
+$263
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
69.3%
Resolved (90d)
92
Trades (90d)
220
1,116 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$4.28K
$27.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$340
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 11-09 05:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 135 days
Categories
Other
40% 44% -$418
Tech
24% 46% -$3
Crypto
19% 56% -$170
Politics
16% 44% +$86
Sports
1% 23% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +108 $82 80¢ $86 +$3 11-07 06:57
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +89 $85 92¢ $82 -$2 11-06 05:02
Jensen Huang divorce in 2026? No +66 $56 90¢ $60 +$4 11-09 05:08
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +68 $49 55¢ $37 -$12 11-09 00:19
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +37 $16 66¢ $24 +$8 10-23 04:01
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +138 $20 15¢ $20 +$0 11-06 20:02
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +19 $7 70¢ $13 +$7 10-06 05:27
Will The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? No +25 $15 46¢ $12 -$4 09-17 02:58
Will James Talarico be TIME Person of the Year 2026? Yes +25 $4 15¢ $4 $0 11-08 03:36
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? Yes +52 $7 1¢ $1 -$7 07-21 10:04