Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19.8K

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

53.3%

Resolved

2,081

Trades

4,002

lifetime

Volume

$426.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$107

Open exposure

$16

1 position

First seen

2026-04-23

last 10-25 23:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 114 days

Categories

Other

70% 33% -$3,511

Politics

27% 32% -$15,078

Sports

2% 27% -$1,156

Crypto

0% 58% -$77

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		+43	$20	38¢	$16	-$4	08-14 11:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	103	$41.4K	38,614	38,614	+0	Yes	-$2,847	09-21 17:36
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	49	$14.6K	8,768	8,768	+0	No	+$498	09-02 13:17
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	22	$14.3K	13,142	8,109	+5,033	No	-$5,117	10-04 20:39
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	47	$11.7K	6,448	6,448	+0	No	+$107	09-20 16:06
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	35	$10.7K	12,481	12,380	+101	No	-$4,826	10-25 23:48
Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?	20	$9.2K	5,083	5,083	+0	Yes	+$130	09-09 00:09
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	22	$4.9K	15,326	15,326	+0	No	-$702	07-17 02:57
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-09-03?	5	$4.4K	3,205	3,205	+0	Yes	+$1,996	09-04 00:59
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	13	$2.4K	1,779	1,779	+0	Yes	+$560	09-13 11:17
Will CR Flamengo vs. Independiente del Valle end in a draw?	6	$2.3K	1,944	1,944	+0	Yes	+$1,593	09-18 04:02
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	15	$2.3K	2,351	2,217	+134	No	-$183	07-16 19:45
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	11	$2.1K	2,001	2,001	+0	No	-$514	08-31 19:19
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	7	$1.8K	3,038	488	+2,550	No	-$1,345	10-25 20:55
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-20?	6	$1.7K	1,723	1,723	+0	Yes	+$552	08-21 02:38
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	12	$1.6K	1,480	1,480	+0	Yes	+$424	07-19 11:12
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	9	$1.6K	1,495	1,495	+0	No	-$475	09-24 19:02
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-09-07?	3	$1.5K	1,049	1,049	+0	Yes	+$568	09-08 01:05
Will Sporting FC win on 2026-10-23?	3	$1.5K	1,019	1,019	+0	Yes	+$501	10-24 03:47
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-09-01?	4	$1.5K	1,081	1,081	+0	Yes	+$680	09-02 05:58
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-19?	3	$1.4K	925	925	+0	Yes	+$335	08-20 02:30
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?	2	$1.4K	1,111	1,111	+0	Yes	+$810	08-13 02:58
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	5	$1.3K	849	849	+0	Yes	+$357	07-10 21:14
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	2	$1.3K	882	882	+0	Yes	+$431	07-06 21:16
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-09-01?	3	$1.3K	909	909	+0	No	+$508	09-02 05:58
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	5	$1.3K	1,055	969	+86	England	+$241	07-06 02:34
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-10-24?	2	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$699	10-24 15:07
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-21?	3	$1.3K	1,542	771	+771	Yes	+$687	08-21 20:40
Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-1.5)	5	$1.3K	1,330	986	+344	Grêmio FBPA	+$685	09-04 01:00
Will Botafogo FC win on 2026-08-14?	4	$1.2K	930	930	+0	Yes	+$619	08-15 00:53
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	2	$1.2K	854	854	+0	Spain	+$506	07-14 21:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 23:48:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	6,936	2¢	$111	0x44d540…
10-25 22:46:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	145	41¢	$60	0x115dd1…
10-25 21:30:02	Will CA Independiente win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	188	16¢	$30	0x59723e…
10-25 21:24:51	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x719d73…
10-25 20:56:47	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	640	25¢	$160	0x9fbe48…
10-25 20:55:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	378	53¢	$200	0xab26fc…
10-25 20:49:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	769	65¢	$500	0xba46c1…
10-25 20:34:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	SELL	397	17¢	$68	0xb17a28…
10-25 20:01:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xe5f9fd…
10-25 20:01:36	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	SELL	132	20¢	$26	0x61e283…
10-25 19:14:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	209	53¢	$110	0x82ffe4…
10-25 17:21:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xe7af42…
10-25 17:07:38	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x18572b…
10-25 17:06:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0x400d93…
10-25 17:06:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	SELL	530	29¢	$154	0x6624d1…
10-25 16:44:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xa5af7e…
10-25 16:01:15	Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)	AFC Bournemouth	SELL	65	100¢	$64	0x2799d9…
10-25 16:01:02	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-25?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x57c7cd…
10-25 15:52:18	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	624	80¢	$500	0x86cc04…
10-25 15:52:06	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	441	100¢	$441	0x00a5d2…
10-25 15:16:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	235	31¢	$73	0x43ebaa…
10-25 15:16:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	488	45¢	$220	0xa7d496…
10-25 15:09:17	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x46f10e…
10-25 14:48:24	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0x26cc8f…
10-25 14:40:11	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	160	25¢	$40	0x8b4004…
10-25 14:39:57	Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)	AFC Bournemouth	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x4ea1e3…
10-25 14:36:38	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	441	34¢	$150	0x5b928c…
10-25 13:35:33	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	349	100¢	$349	0xbc813c…
10-25 12:52:33	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	349	55¢	$192	0x0cd76a…
10-25 12:51:51	Spread: Celtic FC (-1.5)	Celtic FC	BUY	341	44¢	$150	0xd1192a…
10-25 12:48:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0x496fba…
10-25 09:58:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	138	29¢	$40	0x50487c…
10-25 09:56:45	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x39beec…
10-25 09:53:36	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	352	28¢	$100	0x7bbe93…
10-25 09:53:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	974	51¢	$500	0x2aef24…
10-25 09:52:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0xf6fe22…
10-25 09:51:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	977	51¢	$500	0x0a0632…
10-25 03:15:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	629	80¢	$500	0x416b41…
10-25 03:00:27	Will Once Caldas win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	161	92¢	$148	0x04c597…
10-25 02:29:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	381	79¢	$300	0xd4d252…
10-25 02:29:32	Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	270	100¢	$269	0xb49a6d…
10-25 02:29:18	Will EC Bahia win on 2026-10-24?	No	SELL	333	100¢	$333	0x4490fc…
10-25 02:28:00	Will Once Caldas win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xe38797…
10-25 01:29:41	Will EC Bahia win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0xbfca40…
10-25 00:38:41	Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	270	56¢	$150	0xc41d7e…
10-25 00:26:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,193	84¢	$1,000	0x0514bb…
10-25 00:09:42	Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0x1c1c33…
10-25 00:09:30	Spread: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol (-1.5)	Associação Chapecoense de Futebol	BUY	250	12¢	$30	0x2895a5…
10-25 00:09:06	Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	577	26¢	$150	0x826794…
10-24 23:33:09	Will AA Ponte Preta vs. Fortaleza EC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	147	100¢	$147	0x68efc6…
10-24 23:30:18	Will AA Ponte Preta win on 2026-10-24?	No	SELL	152	100¢	$152	0xd9fe9d…
10-24 22:23:27	Will AA Ponte Preta vs. Fortaleza EC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0x42b0e7…
10-24 22:23:18	Will AA Ponte Preta win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x414284…
10-24 21:22:51	Will Avaí FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	SELL	154	100¢	$154	0x06092b…
10-24 21:16:39	Will Botafogo FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	156	100¢	$156	0xc7e3a2…
10-24 20:57:42	Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	432	35¢	$150	0xd4796a…
10-24 20:55:51	Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	800	25¢	$200	0x57b7b8…
10-24 20:44:53	Will SC Internacional vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	312	8¢	$25	0x51780a…
10-24 20:44:09	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	144	100¢	$144	0xc02f46…
10-24 20:42:59	Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)	Parma Calcio 1913	SELL	250	99¢	$248	0x11efcd…
10-24 20:18:53	Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)	Parma Calcio 1913	BUY	250	16¢	$40	0x1e2fae…
10-24 20:07:59	Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	421	12¢	$50	0x17decc…
10-24 20:07:36	Will SC Internacional vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0xeb2bb3…
10-24 20:06:29	Will Avaí FC vs. Botafogo FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	133	30¢	$40	0x135638…
10-24 19:52:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	358	84¢	$300	0x9d838d…
10-24 19:10:17	Will Botafogo FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0xf912b6…
10-24 19:10:11	Will Avaí FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x2c0d5f…
10-24 18:49:39	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	144	69¢	$100	0xf85942…
10-24 18:49:17	Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)	SS Lazio	BUY	465	43¢	$200	0x731e33…
10-24 18:41:14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,193	84¢	$1,000	0xbd58a9…
10-24 18:39:51	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0x0f777a…
10-24 18:39:33	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	292	100¢	$291	0xad6868…
10-24 16:49:05	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	94	75¢	$70	0x1ac4a2…
10-24 16:44:59	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	292	48¢	$140	0x1819cc…
10-24 16:34:54	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	622	100¢	$621	0x9d078d…
10-24 16:33:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0xc248e5…
10-24 15:39:17	Will Coventry City FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0x8e888b…
10-24 15:39:05	Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)	Fulham FC	BUY	162	25¢	$40	0x380414…
10-24 15:26:44	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x17012d…
10-24 15:19:02	Will SC Paderborn 07 vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	229	13¢	$30	0xcb4ee2…
10-24 15:08:29	Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	113	27¢	$30	0x049053…
10-24 15:07:56	Will SC Paderborn 07 vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x79aaf6…
10-24 15:07:08	Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0xf5d6e7…
10-24 14:40:29	Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	658	38¢	$250	0xb3a088…
10-24 14:39:14	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	310	42¢	$130	0x0d092c…
10-24 14:29:23	Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0x8b87f1…
10-24 14:18:17	Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)	Bologna FC 1909	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xf10cb2…
10-24 14:17:35	Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	292	24¢	$70	0x3e350a…
10-24 14:10:21	Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	1,000	30¢	$300	0x4e7276…
10-24 12:52:38	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	781	32¢	$250	0xeee141…
10-24 12:26:41	Will Elche CF win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xf0e0c3…
10-24 12:05:45	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	364	55¢	$200	0x003f5c…
10-24 11:56:48	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x367cf9…
10-24 11:50:42	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	357	42¢	$150	0xb192f5…
10-24 11:45:35	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xce1ee7…
10-24 11:15:23	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0xd79a05…
10-24 11:15:02	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x2c35da…
10-24 04:04:17	Spread: Sporting FC (-1.5)	Sporting FC	SELL	132	100¢	$131	0x1d155e…
10-24 03:51:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,259	79¢	$1,000	0xb226e2…
10-24 03:49:39	Will Atlante FC win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	269	37¢	$100	0x5efd7f…