Bleak-Malice — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9.22K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

92.0%

Resolved

844

Trades

7,675

lifetime

Volume

$231.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-25 21:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 122 days

Categories

Other

81% 94% -$1,812

Politics

14% 74% -$7,518

Pop-Culture

4% 100% +$206

Sports

0% 100% +$98

Tech

0% 33% -$208

Crypto

0% 100% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 297 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		-20	-$7	34¢	$-7	+$0	09-22 14:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	27	$7.0K	8,860	100	+8,760	No	-$7,000	10-25 21:39
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	13	$4.8K	2,614	2,614	+0	No	+$192	08-23 21:53
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	17	$4.4K	2,444	2,444	+0	No	+$35	07-30 18:32
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?	16	$2.6K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	+$156	07-28 00:27
Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	13	$1.7K	1,720	0	+1,720	Yes	+$34	10-16 03:44
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?	6	$1.7K	899	899	+0	Yes	+$109	09-03 23:43
Will Rihanna perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?	45	$1.5K	1,478	122	+1,355	No	+$66	05-03 00:04
Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #1 song this week?	27	$1.5K	1,532	0	+1,532	Yes	+$27	08-27 09:40
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	6	$1.5K	751	751	+0	No	+$18	08-30 23:03
Will "The Gentlemen: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	48	$1.3K	1,366	0	+1,366	No	+$21	09-07 01:19
Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the song of the summer?	28	$1.3K	1,337	0	+1,337	No	+$23	09-01 16:59
Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	7	$1.3K	900	900	+0	Yes	+$3	10-03 23:58
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	21	$1.2K	753	753	+0	No	+$30	09-14 08:08
Will "Don't Look Down" - Rod Wave first week album sales be between 105k and 125k?	1	$1.2K	1,244	0	+1,244	No	-$1,194	09-03 13:45
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 19?	1	$1.2K	1,201	0	+1,201	Yes	+$24	09-20 02:28
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	20	$1.1K	2,886	585	+2,301	No	-$54	10-02 21:29
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 20?	11	$1.1K	1,117	0	+1,117	No	+$25	09-20 06:54
Will Beyoncé perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?	29	$1.1K	937	160	+777	No	+$18	04-29 09:14
Mega Gengar ex Price Over/Under $1,118.76 on August 31?	8	$1.1K	1,081	0	+1,081	Under	+$11	09-01 11:02
Mega Dragonite ex Price Over/Under $705.60 on August 31?	9	$1.1K	1,074	0	+1,074	Under	+$11	09-01 11:01
Will "My Life with the Walter Boys: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	36	$1.0K	1,028	0	+1,028	Yes	+$25	08-10 02:43
Will "Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	34	$1.0K	1,024	0	+1,024	Yes	+$21	07-20 02:07
Will "The Witness" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	39	$1.0K	1,028	0	+1,028	Yes	+$27	06-15 04:12
Will "Michael Jackson: The Verdict" be the top global Netflix show this week?	37	$1.0K	1,012	0	+1,012	Yes	+$11	06-08 03:11
Will "Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	47	$1.0K	1,020	0	+1,020	Yes	+$20	07-20 20:08
Will Shakira perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?	24	$1.0K	1,028	40	+988	Yes	+$64	04-18 00:17
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	21	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Yes	+$10	08-27 20:18
Will Madonna's monthly listeners figure hit 58m by August 31?	21	$1000	1,015	0	+1,015	No	+$15	08-27 20:18
Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 29?	35	$1000	1,012	0	+1,012	Yes	+$12	08-23 10:28
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	37	$998	1,018	0	+1,018	Yes	+$20	06-29 03:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 21:47:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x42120c…
10-25 21:47:39	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x366a5f…
10-25 21:39:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	420	65¢	$273	0x14645b…
10-25 21:38:03	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x445634…
10-25 21:37:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	191	100¢	$190	0xf3bc4f…
10-25 21:37:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x7ad5a8…
10-25 21:36:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	330	65¢	$216	0xcef62c…
10-25 21:24:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xd9200a…
10-25 21:24:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xbfa51a…
10-25 21:24:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xaadac3…
10-25 21:24:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa882e8…
10-25 21:24:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x5a1a15…
10-25 21:24:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x2ea87b…
10-25 21:24:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe48813…
10-25 21:24:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xde46ed…
10-25 21:24:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xca1ebf…
10-25 21:24:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa11e92…
10-25 21:24:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x5b6b67…
10-25 21:24:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x4e0be8…
10-25 21:24:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x4bac1f…
10-25 21:24:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1dd790…
10-25 21:24:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x12f74a…
10-25 21:24:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xc02bbe…
10-25 21:24:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x9a137b…
10-25 21:24:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x8e4f29…
10-25 21:24:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x86c749…
10-25 21:24:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x504cd2…
10-25 21:24:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x439ba4…
10-25 21:24:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x2f7b0e…
10-25 21:24:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1d0a9d…
10-25 21:24:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb03dc8…
10-25 20:37:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf3a8aa…
10-25 20:37:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x984d23…
10-25 20:10:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xe3fdd6…
10-25 20:09:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x70cace…
10-25 20:09:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x7970e3…
10-25 19:44:30	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xeea43c…
10-25 19:39:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x67250f…
10-25 19:39:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc6f158…
10-25 19:39:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x79c36a…
10-25 00:15:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x49eb44…
10-24 21:38:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–12%?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xcb7744…
10-24 21:38:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–12%?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x84a26a…
10-24 21:38:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x2b2467…
10-24 20:33:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,810	83¢	$2,329	0xb37cae…
10-24 16:33:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	86	83¢	$71	0x57dc61…
10-24 16:32:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	98	83¢	$81	0x1109c9…
10-24 16:32:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	117	83¢	$97	0x8bbe15…
10-24 16:32:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	78	83¢	$65	0xc90cf5…
10-24 16:32:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	157	83¢	$130	0xc5f61f…
10-24 16:32:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	117	83¢	$97	0xd7078f…
10-24 16:32:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	78	83¢	$65	0x5520a1…
10-24 16:32:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0xd3a7fb…
10-24 16:32:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	157	83¢	$130	0xe26cf2…
10-24 16:32:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	98	83¢	$81	0xd1d7ef…
10-24 16:32:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	117	83¢	$97	0x243e1d…
10-24 16:32:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	78	83¢	$65	0x6ccb02…
10-24 16:31:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	157	83¢	$130	0x9e3ad4…
10-24 16:31:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	117	83¢	$97	0xd7999c…
10-24 16:31:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	78	83¢	$65	0xeb89d4…
10-24 16:31:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	157	83¢	$130	0x9c3783…
10-24 16:31:36	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x4448ac…
10-24 16:31:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	157	83¢	$130	0x34248b…
10-24 16:31:33	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x846c8b…
10-24 16:31:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	157	83¢	$130	0x0ceda2…
10-23 01:52:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	BUY	147	98¢	$144	0xfd195f…
10-23 01:50:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	BUY	353	98¢	$346	0x7b61fe…
10-22 10:05:33	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C or higher on October 21?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x9701cb…
10-22 06:06:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C or higher on October 21?	Yes	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x158252…
10-22 05:57:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C or higher on October 21?	Yes	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x903c5f…
10-22 05:22:59	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C or higher on October 21?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$7	0x0bc527…
10-22 05:22:56	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C or higher on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x1fb6c5…
10-22 05:22:56	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C or higher on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x0790ec…
10-22 05:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C or higher on October 21?	Yes	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x1f5d7a…
10-22 05:12:38	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C or higher on October 21?	Yes	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0xce2e3e…
10-22 05:10:05	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C or higher on October 21?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x6da512…
10-22 04:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C or higher on October 21?	Yes	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0xf606d2…
10-22 04:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C or higher on October 21?	Yes	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0x56c214…
10-22 04:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C or higher on October 21?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x4ad4da…
10-22 04:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C or higher on October 21?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x2ef13a…
10-22 01:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 20?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb1cc2f…
10-22 00:47:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C or higher on October 21?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xfedfe1…
10-21 18:37:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc7bd30…
10-21 18:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 21?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x102161…
10-21 18:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	171	99¢	$169	0xd51fd4…
10-21 18:26:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	207	99¢	$205	0x7becae…
10-21 18:12:18	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 21?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x1557cd…
10-21 18:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	302	99¢	$299	0x8a0566…
10-21 18:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x06e183…
10-21 18:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 21?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xb46c27…
10-21 18:10:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 21?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xd1d1ce…
10-21 18:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbdbc4c…
10-21 18:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0xb73be9…
10-21 18:07:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x1a5a11…
10-21 18:05:50	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 21?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0xc6510c…
10-21 18:03:41	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 21?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3a6e38…
10-21 17:51:33	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C or below on October 21?	No	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0x07ee2d…
10-21 17:46:53	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C or below on October 21?	No	BUY	361	97¢	$350	0x0dbd98…
10-21 17:37:24	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 21?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x5f79f9…
10-21 17:32:38	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 21?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0xc9fe0c…