Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$284

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

84.7%

Resolved

128

Trades

274

lifetime

Volume

$8.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

$98

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-01 22:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Other

60% 67% -$153

Politics

34% 76% -$143

Sports

4% 75% +$4

Crypto

2% 100% +$6

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	No		+100	$93	98¢	$98	+$5	09-09 09:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	5	$608	310	310	+0	Yes	+$4	03-17 04:08
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	16	$564	355	355	+0	Yes	+$39	03-23 21:16
Will Marcos Pontes be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro?	9	$298	150	150	+0	No	+$1	08-06 13:34
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$286	299	0	+299	No	+$13	03-24 23:30
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	3	$273	300	0	+300	No	+$27	06-30 01:43
will trump try to fire powell by march 31	5	$206	110	110	+0	No	+$12	03-17 03:06
israel and saudi arabia normalize relations by march 31	3	$198	200	0	+200	No	+$2	03-25 23:07
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$197	100	100	+0	No	+$2	03-04 16:29
Will Robert Lewandowski score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$197	200	0	+200	No	+$3	06-01 00:43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$196	200	0	+200	Yes	+$4	04-08 21:10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$196	200	0	+200	Yes	+$4	06-02 12:28
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	2	$195	200	0	+200	No	+$5	09-20 17:16
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	1	$195	200	0	+200	No	+$5	08-05 20:26
foreign intervention in gaza by april 30	1	$194	200	0	+200	No	+$6	04-17 09:14
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	3	$194	200	0	+200	No	+$6	07-13 19:05
president trump to attend usa opening match 20260607163739001	3	$190	200	0	+200	No	+$10	06-12 08:56
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	1	$190	200	0	+200	No	+$10	06-05 21:09
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	2	$180	100	100	+0	No	+$0	08-26 17:59
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	2	$176	100	100	+0	No	-$16	06-30 10:03
Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 30?	3	$150	300	0	+300	open	—	11-01 21:36
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	4	$135	107	120	-13	No	-$40	03-04 16:50
Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 31?	4	$134	312	0	+312	No	-$134	10-29 06:43
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$102	110	0	+110	Yes	-$102	02-27 07:56
Will Rogério Marinho be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro?	4	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-06 12:49
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	1	$99	100	0	+100	Yes	-$99	02-27 08:04
us strikes iraq by february 28	2	$99	100	0	+100	Yes	-$99	02-27 08:06
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	1	$99	100	0	+100	No	+$1	10-09 07:16
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	2	$99	100	0	+100	Yes	+$1	08-06 12:44
us obtains iranian enriched uranium by august 31	1	$99	100	0	+100	No	+$1	08-18 16:45
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	1	$98	100	0	+100	No	+$2	08-17 10:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 22:53:01	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 15?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xee176d…
11-01 21:36:57	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 15?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x144ec1…
11-01 21:36:55	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 30?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x9b7e0e…
10-31 06:58:00	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xea7946…
10-31 04:54:21	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x8ebd5c…
10-31 04:50:39	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	92	97¢	$90	0xbc2859…
10-29 06:43:34	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 31?	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x6aa2b9…
10-29 06:01:40	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xba0320…
10-28 19:51:38	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 30?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x71fc4c…
10-26 13:59:11	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xd39d0e…
10-20 14:21:41	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 20?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xf05bb4…
10-13 20:18:40	will riyadh airport reopen by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	120	60¢	$72	0x9724f0…
10-13 18:45:15	will riyadh airport reopen by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	80	60¢	$48	0x42cc78…
10-13 17:05:45	will riyadh airport reopen by october 15 2026	No	BUY	99	96¢	$95	0x50c546…
10-11 15:03:22	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?	No	SELL	343	1¢	$3	0x85314f…
10-11 15:02:19	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?	No	SELL	55	1¢	$1	0x7d51e6…
10-11 15:02:00	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?	No	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0xc971b3…
10-11 15:00:48	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?	No	SELL	23	3¢	$1	0xcefb2f…
10-11 14:54:46	riyadh airport closed by october 31 2026	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xc1d39b…
10-11 14:54:34	riyadh airport closed by october 31 2026	No	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xf9b0d9…
10-11 14:52:52	riyadh airport closed by october 31 2026	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xde50ca…
10-11 14:51:49	riyadh airport closed by october 31 2026	No	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x0c273f…
10-11 14:51:45	riyadh airport closed by october 31 2026	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x5fd95a…
10-11 14:51:45	riyadh airport closed by october 31 2026	No	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x171cfd…
10-11 14:44:22	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?	No	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x842968…
10-11 14:33:34	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x5ff16b…
10-11 11:45:47	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xfd6773…
10-09 07:16:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x309166…
10-02 18:39:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x62d694…
09-24 00:28:14	Renan Santos participates in debate before first round?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xf0e0f0…
09-22 14:17:00	Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x0f5d87…
09-22 14:16:30	Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0x1ead91…
09-20 17:16:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x959723…
09-14 19:43:06	Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0xda699b…
09-09 09:24:18	Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xff8fa6…
09-04 12:18:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x75f6e8…
09-04 11:50:12	Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x1eaa61…
08-31 02:19:40	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xf0a6d6…
08-29 15:50:30	Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by August 31?	No	BUY	59	93¢	$55	0x792b3e…
08-28 15:58:40	Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by August 31?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x05be43…
08-28 15:41:43	Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by August 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa1bc75…
08-28 15:41:43	Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by August 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8093f3…
08-28 15:41:43	Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by August 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7dbb35…
08-28 15:41:37	Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by August 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9ea325…
08-28 15:41:36	Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by August 31?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xf5a18f…
08-28 15:41:36	Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by August 31?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xec1e5a…
08-28 15:41:36	Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by August 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x77cf63…
08-28 15:41:36	Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by August 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x42a750…
08-28 09:52:49	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in August 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0xc441f1…
08-28 04:08:51	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x95881a…
08-27 14:17:42	will trump speak to vladimir putin in september	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xfec46b…
08-27 13:28:10	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xaf38da…
08-27 12:42:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x451eda…
08-27 07:49:22	will trump meet with luiz inacio lula da silva in september 2026 20260826	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x860616…
08-27 05:56:21	will trump meet with kim jong un in september 2026 20260826	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x3c7219…
08-27 05:52:42	will trump meet with vladimir putin in september 2026 20260826	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2e0bfc…
08-27 05:45:54	will trump meet with kim jong un in september 2026 20260826	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x023880…
08-27 05:40:27	will trump meet with kim jong un in september 2026 20260826	No	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xc2ec26…
08-27 05:38:43	will trump meet with vladimir putin in september 2026 20260826	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x02f60e…
08-27 05:19:51	will trump speak to vladimir putin in september	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x36aad6…
08-26 17:59:06	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0xd8c2b2…
08-25 05:01:48	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by August 31?	No	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x0bafc8…
08-18 16:45:57	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by august 31	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf5de3a…
08-18 11:16:49	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741055	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf5597b…
08-17 17:07:58	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742049	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xe54b08…
08-17 10:38:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x6ce605…
08-12 16:05:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x83d790…
08-12 16:04:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x42d031…
08-11 22:32:06	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x234584…
08-11 13:59:49	us expels a brazilian diplomat by september 30	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x5dfdff…
08-10 09:16:39	trump announces lisa cook termination by august 31 20260807185637359	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x5b4a52…
08-06 13:34:12	Will Marcos Pontes be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x69cec7…
08-06 13:32:33	Will Marcos Pontes be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$37	0xb23373…
08-06 13:01:54	Will Marcos Pontes be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6822af…
08-06 12:51:38	Will Marcos Pontes be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xff669d…
08-06 12:49:35	Will Marcos Pontes be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xdc9043…
08-06 12:49:35	Will Marcos Pontes be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x84d130…
08-06 12:49:33	Will Rogério Marinho be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xee58bf…
08-06 12:49:32	Will Rogério Marinho be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdfbc5c…
08-06 12:49:32	Will Marcos Pontes be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2cc714…
08-06 12:44:15	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xd754b4…
08-06 12:44:05	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0x36e2da…
08-06 11:47:42	Will Rogério Marinho be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xd7149a…
08-05 20:26:38	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0x44e5d3…
08-05 16:36:47	Will Marcos Pontes be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro?	No	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0xa73d4a…
08-05 16:34:41	Will Marcos Pontes be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x79bf24…
08-05 16:34:24	Will Rogério Marinho be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x7ea887…
08-05 11:12:21	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x79f3f4…
08-04 18:15:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x259d82…
08-03 21:05:02	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x45c8ef…
08-02 16:23:30	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xad8b61…
08-02 16:07:51	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xc04c61…
08-02 15:20:11	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x5e0313…
08-01 13:04:48	Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xdb86cb…
07-31 01:19:24	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x79ea3e…
07-30 04:16:42	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x356e3a…
07-27 20:33:51	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xcd9e54…
07-27 18:06:57	will trump try to fire powell as fed board member by july 31 2026 20260626181928589	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x4cb4e0…
07-13 19:05:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	90	96¢	$86	0x3ba5fc…
07-13 18:58:56	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x364ff8…