Graceful-Forever — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$697

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$67

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 07-21 22:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

87% — —

Politics

9% — —

Crypto

4% 0% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	+74	$65	88¢	$65	+$0	07-05 22:08
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-31	$-1	3¢	$-1	+$0	06-15 01:30
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-5	$-1	11¢	$-0	+$0	06-15 01:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	5	$401	220	220	+0	open	—	05-12 07:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	8	$99	53	53	+0	open	—	05-21 08:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$87	50	50	+0	open	—	04-27 05:24
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	1	$65	74	0	+74	open	—	07-05 22:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	07-21 22:24
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	07-21 22:25
btc updown 5m 1773808200	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-18 04:35
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-20 06:21
btc updown 5m 1773808500	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	03-18 04:36
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-20 06:21
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	0	31	-31	open	—	06-15 01:30
bitcoin above 68k on july 13 2026	1	$1	12	0	+12	open	—	07-07 03:17
bitcoin above 66k on july 13 2026	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	07-07 03:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 11?	1	$1	62	0	+62	No	$-1	05-06 00:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 14?	1	$1	43	0	+43	open	—	05-07 18:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 16?	1	$1	53	0	+53	open	—	05-12 07:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 13?	1	$1	30	0	+30	No	$-1	05-06 19:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 18?	1	$1	31	0	+31	open	—	05-12 07:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 3?	1	$1	91	0	+91	open	—	04-27 18:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 17?	1	$1	34	0	+34	open	—	05-12 07:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 4?	1	$1	26	0	+26	open	—	04-27 18:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 12?	1	$1	34	0	+34	No	$-1	05-06 00:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 15?	1	$1	69	0	+69	open	—	05-12 07:25
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	0	5	-5	open	—	06-15 01:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 22:25:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	6	87¢	$6	0xdf1b20…
07-21 22:24:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe1fcff…
07-07 03:17:38	bitcoin above 66k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8413e6…
07-07 03:17:31	bitcoin above 68k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xfd4891…
07-07 03:14:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x13c672…
07-05 22:08:59	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	BUY	74	88¢	$65	0xad3da3…
06-15 01:30:48	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x3c616a…
06-15 01:30:33	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	4¢	$1	0xe0fe80…
05-21 08:08:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	53	95¢	$50	0xda0d40…
05-18 22:31:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x3350f1…
05-18 10:16:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xac646f…
05-18 10:06:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd5c30f…
05-14 08:13:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa5f264…
05-14 08:10:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x48d473…
05-14 05:52:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8beb38…
05-12 07:26:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x4525d9…
05-12 07:26:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x1c2964…
05-12 07:25:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x1b43bc…
05-12 07:25:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	69	1¢	$1	0xd4342c…
05-12 07:14:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0xdf6e08…
05-07 18:10:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xc336ba…
05-06 19:30:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xa042dc…
05-06 19:24:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xddbf25…
05-06 00:05:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xfcb83f…
05-06 00:04:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x76d0d9…
05-06 00:03:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x14ca00…
05-05 23:36:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	209	97¢	$203	0xaeca56…
04-29 05:56:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x887e99…
04-29 05:52:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x0ed8de…
04-27 18:13:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xe5db30…
04-27 18:13:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xb78b16…
04-27 05:24:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x96106f…
04-20 06:56:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	38	76¢	$29	0x918b43…
04-17 23:06:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x9eb01b…
04-16 21:32:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0xd6be5a…
03-20 06:21:27	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x461c6a…
03-20 06:21:19	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x1b40e2…
03-18 04:36:53	btc updown 5m 1773808500	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x679f50…
03-18 04:35:17	btc updown 5m 1773808200	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf53718…
03-18 04:33:23	btc updown 5m 1773808200	Down	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x3e9b67…
03-18 04:32:07	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x74ad19…
03-18 04:31:51	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xc29828…