Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 16?
open
Total volume
$79,333
$21,876 in 24h
Trades
581
Unique wallets
273
Liquidity
$35,352
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-15 17:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+7.7¢
(top1%: 8% YES on $735
vs crowd: 0% YES on $78.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $3 | $799 | $796 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 25 | $12 | $34.6K | $34.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 106 | $78 | $35.2K | $35.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 136 | $50 | $7.8K | $7.8K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $58 | $677 | $619 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $3 | $122 | $119 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $19 | $18.8K | $18.8K |
| Median | 120 | $7 | $40.1K | $40.1K |
| Below median | 23 | $25 | $11.2K | $11.2K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $16 | — | +$16 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 103 | $1 | $7.5K | $7.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | +32,436 | $57 | $57 | 57 | 05-15 06:59 |
| Foolhardy-Sundial 0xd453…4b1b | Yes | +14,490 | $14 | $14 | 39 | 05-15 03:35 |
| Whole-Corsage 0x5810…9de6 | No | +11,975 | $11,963 | $11,963 | 1 | 05-14 00:48 |
| Wooden-Maize 0xe849…55b0 | Yes | +8,000 | $8 | $8 | 4 | 05-14 13:41 |
| Mysterious-Lanai 0x62d8…6783 | Yes | +3,865 | $6 | $6 | 4 | 05-15 07:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x9f5f…6fbd | No | +3,646 | $3,643 | $3,643 | 1 | 05-15 06:59 |
| Secret-Foreigner 0xb795…577e | No | +3,600 | $3,592 | $3,592 | 1 | 05-15 06:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x63d7…7659 | No | +3,587 | $3,583 | $3,583 | 1 | 05-15 06:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x9cb5…af15 | No | +3,577 | $3,573 | $3,573 | 1 | 05-15 06:59 |
| Ornate-Valuable 0x6b0d…f2d6 | No | +3,535 | $3,528 | $3,528 | 1 | 05-15 05:06 |
| Total-Handover 0x9e9c…74df | No | +3,272 | $3,269 | $3,269 | 1 | 05-15 06:59 |
| Plaintive-Proposition 0x4e11…2c9b | No | +3,121 | $3,118 | $3,118 | 1 | 05-14 00:49 |
| Agile-Reboot 0x07f5…c763 | No | +3,047 | $3,044 | $3,044 | 1 | 05-15 06:59 |
| Metallic-Loft 0xb146…63af | No | +2,984 | $2,981 | $2,981 | 1 | 05-15 06:59 |
| Rotating-Patience 0x9a67…46e7 | No | +2,614 | $2,608 | $2,608 | 1 | 05-15 05:02 |
| Tender-Nationality 0x5084…fb85 | Yes | +2,000 | $2 | $6 | 6 | 05-15 06:59 |
| Discrete-Mussel 0x3d8d…a7e9 | Yes | +2,000 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 02:30 |
| Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | +1,586 | $2 | $3 | 5 | 05-15 17:44 |
| Venerated-Gazelle 0x8c8c…dfcc | No | +1,312 | $1,311 | $1,311 | 1 | 05-14 00:47 |
| Grown-Layer 0xd667…5f08 | No | +1,212 | $1,211 | $1,211 | 1 | 05-15 01:14 |
| Regal-Bull 0x5f12…a928 | No | +1,175 | $1,174 | $1,174 | 1 | 05-15 01:17 |
| Colorless-Quiver 0xdeca…0a65 | No | +1,173 | $1,172 | $1,172 | 1 | 05-15 01:16 |
| Left-Angora 0x71c9…1127 | No | +1,160 | $1,159 | $1,159 | 1 | 05-15 01:14 |
| Immediate-Carol 0xe0a2…18a4 | No | +1,095 | $1,094 | $1,094 | 1 | 05-15 01:18 |
| Vigilant-Lemur 0xf0af…09a3 | No | +1,083 | $1,082 | $1,082 | 1 | 05-15 01:16 |
| Yearly-Offer 0xa8e2…45ca | No | +1,035 | $1,034 | $1,034 | 1 | 05-15 01:18 |
| Scented-Misnomer 0xbcfe…c691 | No | +1,033 | $1,032 | $1,032 | 1 | 05-15 01:13 |
| Wild-Expectation 0xfc3f…af85 | No | +1,018 | $1,017 | $1,017 | 1 | 05-15 01:19 |
| Sore-Tadpole 0x4439…585f | No | +1,002 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 05-14 19:54 |
| Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $2 | 5 | 05-15 06:59 |
| Stylish-Raven 0xfbf2…3454 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 17:44 |
| Tight-Blast 0x128d…9340 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $3 | 5 | 05-15 01:14 |
| Discrete-Locomotive 0x241a…1c12 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $3 | 7 | 05-15 01:14 |
| Elderly-Bug-Degree 0x6534…2e43 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 05-15 01:16 |
| Bleak-Outrun 0x78b9…a5fb | Yes | +600 | $0 | $2 | 8 | 05-15 06:59 |
| Hard-To-Find-Stamen 0x29f3…0023 | No | +570 | $569 | $569 | 1 | 05-15 01:23 |
| Novel-Exhibition 0x5ce8…ed83 | Yes | +568 | $0 | $2 | 49 | 05-15 03:27 |
| Decimal-Abbreviation 0xd884…84c3 | No | +567 | $566 | $566 | 1 | 05-15 01:22 |
| Spherical-Generator 0x46b8…8e22 | No | +564 | $563 | $563 | 1 | 05-15 01:25 |
| Lazy-Tights 0x3a3a…5921 | No | +562 | $561 | $561 | 1 | 05-15 01:20 |
| Soggy-Powder 0x7d1d…bfd0 | No | +561 | $560 | $560 | 1 | 05-15 01:26 |
| Dense-Rayon 0xe85d…29bc | No | +560 | $559 | $559 | 1 | 05-15 01:20 |
| Stupendous-Microphone 0xc330…19fe | No | +556 | $555 | $555 | 1 | 05-15 01:21 |
| Rough-Phrase 0x2122…2c6e | No | +554 | $553 | $553 | 1 | 05-15 01:23 |
| Shoddy-Cowbell 0x8aaf…7beb | Yes | +500 | $0 | $2 | 5 | 05-15 06:59 |
| Impish-Midden 0x29ea…701e | Yes | +454 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 22:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x86a2…73a8 | Yes | +321 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 05-14 19:53 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +249 | $1 | $1 | 21 | 05-13 08:48 |
| Virtual-Roommate 0x84a1…2842 | Yes | +200 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 06:59 |
| Shady-Auditorium 0xc88a…7e26 | Yes | +157 | $0 | $1 | 6 | 05-15 03:39 |
| Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | +150 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 00:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 17:44:00 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | SELL | 414 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x96b145… |
| 05-15 17:44:00 | Snoopy-Option 0xb0c2…3ea3 | Yes | SELL | 586 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x96b145… |
| 05-15 17:44:00 | Stylish-Raven 0xfbf2…3454 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x96b145… |
| 05-15 16:01:55 | Young-Melon 0x8768…dd9b | No | SELL | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x1c8d83… |
| 05-15 16:01:55 | Snoopy-Option 0xb0c2…3ea3 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1c8d83… |
| 05-15 07:29:30 | Naughty-Buying 0xd311…8145 | No | SELL | 196 | 100¢ | $196 | 0x7ddaa7… |
| 05-15 07:29:30 | (anonymous) 0x86a2…73a8 | No | BUY | 61 | 100¢ | $61 | 0x7ddaa7… |
| 05-15 07:29:30 | Mysterious-Lanai 0x62d8…6783 | Yes | SELL | 135 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7ddaa7… |
| 05-15 06:59:50 | Shoddy-Cowbell 0x8aaf…7beb | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe9913c… |
| 05-15 06:59:50 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 264 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe9913c… |
| 05-15 06:59:50 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe9913c… |
| 05-15 06:59:50 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xe9913c… |
| 05-15 06:59:50 | Bleak-Outrun 0x78b9…a5fb | Yes | BUY | 600 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xe9913c… |
| 05-15 06:59:50 | Metallic-Loft 0xb146…63af | No | BUY | 2,984 | 100¢ | $2,981 | 0xe9913c… |
| 05-15 06:59:50 | Snoopy-Option 0xb0c2…3ea3 | Yes | BUY | 600 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xe9913c… |
| 05-15 06:59:13 | Mysterious-Lanai 0x62d8…6783 | Yes | BUY | 1,840 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x9c64e3… |
| 05-15 06:59:13 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 1,736 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x9c64e3… |
| 05-15 06:59:13 | (anonymous) 0x9cb5…af15 | No | BUY | 3,577 | 100¢ | $3,573 | 0x9c64e3… |
| 05-15 06:59:04 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 3,646 | 0¢ | $4 | 0xa97ef1… |
| 05-15 06:59:04 | Dirty-Porpoise-Commission 0xb42c…c27b | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8b753b… |
| 05-15 06:59:04 | Secret-Foreigner 0xb795…577e | No | BUY | 3,600 | 100¢ | $3,592 | 0x8b753b… |
| 05-15 06:59:04 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 612 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x9724d6… |
| 05-15 06:59:04 | Blushing-Cotton 0xa33c…0ff2 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8b753b… |
| 05-15 06:59:04 | Mysterious-Lanai 0x62d8…6783 | Yes | BUY | 2,000 | 0¢ | $4 | 0x8b753b… |
| 05-15 06:59:04 | (anonymous) 0x63d7…7659 | No | BUY | 3,587 | 100¢ | $3,583 | 0x9724d6… |
| 05-15 06:59:04 | Agile-Reboot 0x07f5…c763 | No | BUY | 3,047 | 100¢ | $3,044 | 0x97aa31… |
| 05-15 06:59:04 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 106 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8b753b… |
| 05-15 06:59:04 | (anonymous) 0x9f5f…6fbd | No | BUY | 3,646 | 100¢ | $3,643 | 0xa97ef1… |
| 05-15 06:59:04 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x97aa31… |
| 05-15 06:59:04 | Total-Handover 0x9e9c…74df | No | BUY | 3,272 | 100¢ | $3,269 | 0x27deef… |
| 05-15 06:59:04 | Virtual-Roommate 0x84a1…2842 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8b753b… |
| 05-15 06:59:04 | Mysterious-Lanai 0x62d8…6783 | Yes | BUY | 160 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x97aa31… |
| 05-15 06:59:04 | Tender-Nationality 0x5084…fb85 | Yes | BUY | 2,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x97aa31… |
| 05-15 06:59:04 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 3,272 | 0¢ | $3 | 0x27deef… |
| 05-15 06:58:50 | Zigzag-Lady 0x18ec…662a | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x236f8b… |
| 05-15 06:58:50 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x236f8b… |
| 05-15 06:45:38 | (anonymous) 0x2bc1…ff3c | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x8770c5… |
| 05-15 06:45:38 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8770c5… |
| 05-15 06:42:01 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x71f9aa… |
| 05-15 06:42:01 | Stylish-Motorcar 0xfcd1…ad3a | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x71f9aa… |
| 05-15 06:37:35 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x204481… |
| 05-15 06:37:35 | Pristine-Bother 0xb066…608e | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x204481… |
| 05-15 06:26:23 | Alienated-Vaulting 0x9273…ea5f | No | BUY | 82 | 100¢ | $82 | 0x1c2789… |
| 05-15 06:26:23 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 82 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1c2789… |
| 05-15 06:26:00 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2263b2… |
| 05-15 06:26:00 | Relieved-Friend 0x77f3…a328 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x2263b2… |
| 05-15 06:16:54 | Trusting-Morbid 0xd481…4f97 | No | BUY | 154 | 100¢ | $154 | 0x517344… |
| 05-15 06:16:54 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 154 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x517344… |
| 05-15 06:16:01 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 180 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x276aef… |
| 05-15 06:16:01 | Sour-Grammar 0xcae5…1cfb | No | BUY | 180 | 100¢ | $179 | 0x276aef… |
| 05-15 06:14:04 | Noxious-Province 0x3a65…f95d | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xb8a971… |
| 05-15 06:14:04 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb8a971… |
| 05-15 06:14:02 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1851e5… |
| 05-15 06:14:02 | Perfumed-Initialise 0x66d6…3877 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x1851e5… |
| 05-15 05:57:58 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 99 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf59eb5… |
| 05-15 05:57:58 | (anonymous) 0x1c38…e112 | No | BUY | 99 | 100¢ | $99 | 0xf59eb5… |
| 05-15 05:50:42 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 96 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xaafbbb… |
| 05-15 05:50:42 | Weepy-Flytrap 0x7d30…2134 | No | BUY | 96 | 100¢ | $96 | 0xaafbbb… |
| 05-15 05:50:09 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 263 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x218577… |
| 05-15 05:50:09 | Old-Fashioned-Porter 0xc20f…c613 | No | BUY | 263 | 100¢ | $263 | 0x218577… |
| 05-15 05:46:36 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 122 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x817f27… |
| 05-15 05:46:36 | (anonymous) 0x31dc…f83a | No | BUY | 122 | 100¢ | $122 | 0x817f27… |
| 05-15 05:45:50 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 118 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf35ee3… |
| 05-15 05:45:50 | (anonymous) 0xdb68…455f | No | BUY | 118 | 100¢ | $118 | 0xf35ee3… |
| 05-15 05:45:26 | (anonymous) 0xf1d6…2838 | No | BUY | 140 | 100¢ | $140 | 0xa30e1b… |
| 05-15 05:45:26 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 140 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa30e1b… |
| 05-15 05:43:13 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 96 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2edcb1… |
| 05-15 05:43:13 | Good-Turn 0xd9bd…75f6 | No | BUY | 96 | 100¢ | $96 | 0x2edcb1… |
| 05-15 05:34:29 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 124 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbbe5a4… |
| 05-15 05:34:29 | Superior-Hand 0x8bec…d68a | No | BUY | 124 | 100¢ | $124 | 0xbbe5a4… |
| 05-15 05:33:32 | (anonymous) 0x1544…6f03 | No | BUY | 155 | 100¢ | $155 | 0xb37961… |
| 05-15 05:33:32 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 155 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb37961… |
| 05-15 05:33:09 | Mad-Embossing 0x4155…c764 | No | BUY | 120 | 100¢ | $120 | 0xd8f67c… |
| 05-15 05:33:09 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 120 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd8f67c… |
| 05-15 05:31:31 | (anonymous) 0xc42e…79f7 | No | BUY | 177 | 100¢ | $176 | 0x094151… |
| 05-15 05:31:31 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 177 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x094151… |
| 05-15 05:21:31 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 130 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc02c54… |
| 05-15 05:21:31 | (anonymous) 0xe19f…deac | No | BUY | 130 | 100¢ | $130 | 0xc02c54… |
| 05-15 05:21:01 | Impolite-Ruckus 0x3ea2…92ad | No | BUY | 112 | 100¢ | $112 | 0x3d4e47… |
| 05-15 05:21:01 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 112 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3d4e47… |
| 05-15 05:18:55 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 98 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9fb0a2… |
| 05-15 05:18:55 | Unfit-Vase 0xe3fe…fb89 | No | BUY | 98 | 100¢ | $98 | 0x9fb0a2… |
| 05-15 05:17:05 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 94 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd7dbe3… |
| 05-15 05:17:05 | Queasy-Polarization 0xcdf1…7cb3 | No | BUY | 94 | 100¢ | $93 | 0xd7dbe3… |
| 05-15 05:11:32 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 113 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd53f7e… |
| 05-15 05:11:32 | (anonymous) 0x47b8…cfd6 | No | BUY | 113 | 100¢ | $113 | 0xd53f7e… |
| 05-15 05:09:00 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 6,478 | 0¢ | $13 | 0x924588… |
| 05-15 05:09:00 | Shocking-Treat 0x3c5a…0a4f | Yes | SELL | 6,478 | 0¢ | $13 | 0x924588… |
| 05-15 05:06:01 | Ornate-Valuable 0x6b0d…f2d6 | No | BUY | 3,535 | 100¢ | $3,528 | 0x54b66b… |
| 05-15 05:06:01 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 3,535 | 0¢ | $7 | 0x54b66b… |
| 05-15 05:03:52 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 115 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x16127a… |
| 05-15 05:03:52 | (anonymous) 0xc70e…45a2 | No | BUY | 115 | 100¢ | $114 | 0x16127a… |
| 05-15 05:02:10 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 2,614 | 0¢ | $5 | 0x44788c… |
| 05-15 05:02:10 | Rotating-Patience 0x9a67…46e7 | No | BUY | 2,614 | 100¢ | $2,608 | 0x44788c… |
| 05-15 05:02:09 | (anonymous) 0x1d0c…0db0 | No | BUY | 121 | 100¢ | $120 | 0xbf4d5e… |
| 05-15 05:02:09 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 121 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbf4d5e… |
| 05-15 04:58:54 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2f473b… |
| 05-15 04:58:54 | Monthly-Soup 0x119d…cb73 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x2f473b… |
| 05-15 04:55:40 | Unkempt-Wrestler 0x5ca1…0494 | No | BUY | 153 | 100¢ | $153 | 0x05a395… |
| 05-15 04:55:40 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 153 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x05a395… |