Old-Fashioned-Porter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$12.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$188

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-22 02:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$16

Other

0% 100% +$1

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No		-8	-$8	97¢	$-8	+$0	10-22 02:41
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		-1	-$1	98¢	$-1	$0	09-01 01:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on May 12?	1	$284	284	+284	No	+$0	05-11 03:27
bitcoin above 78k on april 8	1	$278	279	+279	No	+$0	04-08 07:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	1	$278	279	+279	Yes	+$1	05-24 08:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 7?	1	$275	275	+275	Yes	+$0	05-06 16:16
bitcoin above 78k on april 6	1	$275	275	+275	No	+$0	04-04 02:36
ethereum above 1600 on march 9	1	$274	275	+275	Yes	+$1	03-08 13:17
will the price of ethereum be less than 1700 on april 13	1	$273	273	+273	No	+$0	04-12 08:23
bitcoin above 78k on march 16	1	$272	272	+272	No	+$1	03-15 15:02
will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on january 3	1	$272	272	+272	No	+$1	01-02 10:02
bitcoin above 58k on march 14	1	$272	272	+272	Yes	+$0	03-13 12:55
bitcoin above 78k on april 2	1	$272	272	+272	No	+$0	04-01 04:41
bitcoin above 78k on march 26	1	$271	271	+271	No	+$0	03-25 19:38
will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 20	1	$271	271	+271	No	+$1	01-18 04:44
bitcoin above 76k on february 15	1	$270	271	+271	No	+$1	02-14 01:27
will the price of bitcoin be less than 78000 on january 28	1	$269	269	+269	No	+$0	01-27 13:23
ethereum above 2500 on february 25	1	$269	269	+269	No	+$0	02-23 00:54
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 29	1	$269	269	+269	No	+$0	03-27 18:42
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on february 22	1	$268	269	+269	No	+$0	02-21 01:31
bitcoin above 80k on january 9	1	$267	267	+267	Yes	+$0	01-07 15:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 14?	1	$267	267	+267	No	+$0	05-13 01:07
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2600 on february 11	1	$267	267	+267	No	+$0	02-09 23:51
bitcoin above 78k on march 31	1	$266	266	+266	No	+$0	03-29 21:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 22?	1	$266	266	+266	No	+$0	05-22 07:59
ethereum above 3700 on january 26	1	$266	266	+266	No	+$0	01-24 08:06
ethereum above 2500 on february 20	1	$265	266	+266	No	+$0	02-19 02:33
ethereum above 1400 on march 3	1	$265	265	+265	Yes	+$0	03-02 07:26
bitcoin above 80k on january 17	1	$265	265	+265	Yes	+$0	01-15 03:43
ethereum above 2600 on march 20	1	$264	264	+264	No	+$0	03-19 15:37
bitcoin above 80k on january 6	1	$264	264	+264	Yes	+$0	01-04 15:49
bitcoin above 64k on march 18	1	$264	264	+264	Yes	+$0	03-17 12:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 02:41:36	StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x45773c…
09-01 01:48:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0e89e0…
08-13 07:39:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 14?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5b21d4…
07-29 19:49:00	bitcoin above 68k on july 30 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf5f065…
07-22 12:43:33	bitcoin above 60k on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf6f0e7…
06-18 20:11:32	bitcoin above 72k on june 20 2026	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x53b5a4…
06-15 19:08:03	bitcoin above 54k on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xe8e341…
06-14 13:41:13	Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x4c2a98…
06-14 13:38:43	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2b1df5…
06-08 22:08:48	ethereum above 2000 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x24b750…
05-24 08:12:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	279	100¢	$278	0x8887d6…
05-22 07:59:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	266	100¢	$266	0x4f2bb8…
05-15 05:50:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	263	100¢	$263	0x218577…
05-14 10:13:39	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8df620…
05-13 01:07:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	267	100¢	$267	0xf86b70…
05-11 03:27:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	284	100¢	$284	0xf3455d…
05-06 16:16:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	275	100¢	$275	0x9d8b16…
04-27 15:42:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	237	100¢	$237	0x5ea721…
04-22 13:16:16	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 23	No	BUY	239	100¢	$239	0x8294d6…
04-20 12:18:00	Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in April?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xecaeef…
04-20 12:16:18	Will Germany strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5cf60b…
04-20 12:14:28	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x517992…
04-20 12:12:44	Will Netflix reach $455 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x319070…
04-19 12:39:16	bitcoin above 82k on april 20	No	BUY	254	100¢	$254	0x642825…
04-12 08:55:15	Will gas hit (Low) $3.95 by April 30?	No	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x2961d0…
04-12 08:53:17	Will Solana dip to $50 in April?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$4	0x225ec4…
04-12 08:23:19	will the price of ethereum be less than 1700 on april 13	No	BUY	273	100¢	$273	0x6c5c6d…
04-08 07:38:27	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	No	BUY	279	100¢	$278	0xd0e611…
04-04 14:06:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf6d4fd…
04-04 02:36:05	bitcoin above 78k on april 6	No	BUY	275	100¢	$275	0x4dc764…
04-01 04:41:49	bitcoin above 78k on april 2	No	BUY	272	100¢	$272	0xf47c69…
03-29 21:34:30	bitcoin above 78k on march 31	No	BUY	266	100¢	$266	0x57b4d2…
03-27 18:42:17	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 29	No	BUY	269	100¢	$269	0x2b865b…
03-25 19:38:25	bitcoin above 78k on march 26	No	BUY	271	100¢	$271	0x9f52ea…
03-23 16:15:29	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on march 24	No	BUY	257	100¢	$257	0xc0e60b…
03-21 12:50:15	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on march 22	No	BUY	263	100¢	$262	0xec12c8…
03-20 16:40:37	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf35d52…
03-20 16:39:19	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x77c819…
03-19 15:37:25	ethereum above 2600 on march 20	No	BUY	264	100¢	$264	0x8e3247…
03-17 12:13:29	bitcoin above 64k on march 18	Yes	BUY	264	100¢	$264	0x69c4da…
03-15 15:02:13	bitcoin above 78k on march 16	No	BUY	272	100¢	$272	0x6dcc8b…
03-13 12:55:37	bitcoin above 58k on march 14	Yes	BUY	272	100¢	$272	0xda6911…
03-08 13:17:03	ethereum above 1600 on march 9	Yes	BUY	275	100¢	$274	0xd5eda1…
03-07 09:28:41	bitcoin above 60k on march 7	Yes	BUY	263	100¢	$262	0x3c924c…
03-02 07:26:49	ethereum above 1400 on march 3	Yes	BUY	265	100¢	$265	0x1ba464…
02-28 02:28:33	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 1	No	BUY	264	100¢	$264	0xc56c94…
02-23 00:54:06	ethereum above 2500 on february 25	No	BUY	269	100¢	$269	0xac41e9…
02-21 01:31:00	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on february 22	No	BUY	269	100¢	$268	0xe0699b…
02-19 02:33:26	ethereum above 2500 on february 20	No	BUY	266	100¢	$265	0x9700c0…
02-16 00:51:37	bitcoin above 78k on february 17	No	BUY	260	100¢	$259	0xb1a5e3…
02-14 01:27:05	bitcoin above 76k on february 15	No	BUY	271	100¢	$270	0x12577e…
02-12 01:20:57	ethereum above 2500 on february 13	No	BUY	259	100¢	$259	0x2fb3e4…
02-09 23:51:55	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2600 on february 11	No	BUY	267	100¢	$267	0xd528eb…
02-07 04:56:17	bitcoin above 84k on february 8	No	BUY	261	100¢	$261	0xb77b42…
02-04 21:59:03	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 92000 on february 6	No	BUY	261	100¢	$261	0x341115…
02-02 08:48:32	bitcoin above 92k on february 3	No	BUY	264	100¢	$263	0x2ceec4…
01-29 11:58:24	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 30	No	BUY	258	100¢	$258	0x3b1c88…
01-27 13:23:35	will the price of bitcoin be less than 78000 on january 28	No	BUY	269	100¢	$269	0xdaa5a4…
01-24 08:06:48	ethereum above 3700 on january 26	No	BUY	266	100¢	$266	0x9cc402…
01-21 09:00:46	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 104000 on january 23	No	BUY	260	100¢	$260	0x6f27b0…
01-19 01:24:12	will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x88a14e…
01-18 04:44:34	will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 20	No	BUY	271	100¢	$271	0xded6fa…
01-15 03:43:54	bitcoin above 80k on january 17	Yes	BUY	265	100¢	$265	0x1cabcd…
01-11 03:29:54	bitcoin above 102k on january 13	No	BUY	259	100¢	$259	0x749626…
01-07 15:09:31	bitcoin above 80k on january 9	Yes	BUY	267	100¢	$267	0x853bb3…
01-04 15:49:53	bitcoin above 80k on january 6	Yes	BUY	264	100¢	$264	0xde22b2…
01-02 10:02:29	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on january 3	No	BUY	272	100¢	$272	0xfe4f74…