Sore-Tadpole — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,271

lifetime

Volume

$323.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$254

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-11 06:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 100% +$17

Politics

5% — —

Other

1% 33% $-9

Sports

0% 100% +$4

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes		+5	$5	98¢	$5	+$0	06-11 06:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	25	$11.7K	8,000	7,000	+1,000	open	—	01-11 18:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	3	$4.3K	2,203	2,203	+0	open	—	06-02 15:40
will pheu thai party pt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	4	$3.1K	3,230	0	+3,230	open	—	02-01 18:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 31?	1	$2.2K	2,202	0	+2,202	open	—	05-29 20:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 29?	1	$2.2K	2,164	0	+2,164	open	—	05-27 18:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on June 4?	1	$2.1K	2,103	0	+2,103	open	—	06-02 15:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	1	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	open	—	05-26 18:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 3?	1	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	open	—	06-02 15:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 24?	2	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	open	—	05-22 19:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?	1	$2.0K	2,010	0	+2,010	open	—	05-30 18:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 30?	1	$2.0K	2,006	0	+2,006	open	—	05-28 21:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?	1	$1.2K	1,201	0	+1,201	open	—	05-22 07:41
ethereum above 1900 on april 22	1	$1.1K	1,101	0	+1,101	open	—	04-20 18:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 11?	1	$1.1K	1,101	0	+1,101	No	+$1	05-10 04:55
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 26?	1	$1.1K	1,101	0	+1,101	open	—	04-24 20:01
bitcoin above 60k on april 11	2	$1.1K	1,101	0	+1,101	open	—	04-09 20:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 3?	2	$1.1K	1,101	0	+1,101	open	—	05-01 19:18
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 17?	1	$1.1K	1,101	0	+1,101	open	—	05-15 20:36
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 19?	1	$1.1K	1,101	0	+1,101	open	—	05-17 21:02
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 9?	1	$1.1K	1,101	0	+1,101	Yes	+$1	05-07 19:03
ethereum above 1800 on april 18	1	$1.1K	1,101	0	+1,101	open	—	04-16 19:07
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 28?	1	$1.1K	1,101	0	+1,101	open	—	04-26 18:57
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 7?	1	$1.1K	1,101	0	+1,101	Yes	+$1	05-05 18:53
bitcoin above 60k on april 13	1	$1.1K	1,101	0	+1,101	open	—	04-11 20:08
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 13?	1	$1.1K	1,101	0	+1,101	Yes	+$1	05-11 19:41
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 15?	1	$1.1K	1,101	0	+1,101	open	—	05-13 18:27
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 21?	1	$1.1K	1,101	0	+1,101	open	—	05-19 22:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	1	$1.1K	1,101	0	+1,101	open	—	04-29 20:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	1	$1.1K	1,102	0	+1,102	No	+$2	05-03 20:14
ethereum above 1900 on april 20	1	$1.1K	1,102	0	+1,102	open	—	04-18 21:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 06:04:06	Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xef8ac4…
06-08 06:41:31	lol al blg 2026 06 08	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xa3d327…
06-06 06:07:04	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x5738e1…
06-05 05:49:13	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xdb43dc…
06-04 07:42:31	cs2 tyloo shk 2026 06 04	TYLOO	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xef1394…
06-03 04:17:05	LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xabc703…
06-02 15:44:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on June 4?	No	BUY	2,103	100¢	$2,100	0xe4a6a9…
06-02 15:40:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xcbb326…
06-02 15:38:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	SELL	2,203	97¢	$2,133	0x50e0a1…
06-02 15:17:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	2,002	100¢	$2,000	0xc6d567…
06-01 17:09:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	2,203	100¢	$2,200	0x42b19e…
05-31 08:03:54	LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x75d0e1…
05-30 18:58:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2,010	99¢	$2,000	0x298239…
05-29 20:35:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	2,202	100¢	$2,200	0x6d113c…
05-29 07:07:55	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Dplus KIA	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xcd2dae…
05-28 21:18:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	2,006	100¢	$2,000	0x0138c9…
05-28 07:36:19	LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x799422…
05-27 18:33:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	2,164	100¢	$2,160	0xd7feee…
05-27 12:26:48	Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	magic	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xe80d3f…
05-26 18:15:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	2,002	100¢	$2,000	0x20c1f6…
05-25 19:12:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	1,051	100¢	$1,050	0xd212c6…
05-25 19:12:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	1,102	100¢	$1,100	0xa50344…
05-24 21:34:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x041036…
05-24 21:33:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 26?	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x1766da…
05-24 06:38:45	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x2d2fc6…
05-23 21:28:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	734	100¢	$730	0x7f4674…
05-23 21:27:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	380	100¢	$380	0x14540e…
05-23 21:27:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0x373879…
05-23 21:27:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	561	100¢	$560	0x934061…
05-22 19:03:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x5eb9dd…
05-22 19:02:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x99e6a9…
05-22 10:48:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfaf946…
05-22 07:41:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	1,201	100¢	$1,200	0x6f3e80…
05-22 07:41:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	951	100¢	$950	0x65f3ca…
05-21 05:56:28	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x297c12…
05-20 21:45:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x3d602d…
05-20 21:44:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 22?	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0xcd1c2f…
05-19 22:08:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x4f7c37…
05-19 22:08:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 21?	No	BUY	1,101	100¢	$1,100	0x500f2a…
05-18 18:22:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0xa67ac9…
05-18 18:21:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	1,003	100¢	$1,000	0x894cc5…
05-18 07:20:49	LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	KT Rolster	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xd61542…
05-17 21:02:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	1,002	100¢	$1,000	0x7ab2d7…
05-17 21:02:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 19?	No	BUY	1,101	100¢	$1,100	0xb88749…
05-16 20:03:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x8304e0…
05-16 20:03:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 18?	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0xc33b09…
05-15 20:36:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	1,041	100¢	$1,040	0xa44838…
05-15 20:36:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 17?	No	BUY	1,101	100¢	$1,100	0x671f18…
05-15 08:37:31	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xc52f0d…
05-14 19:54:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	1,002	100¢	$1,000	0xdfe5c9…
05-14 19:54:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 16?	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0xcfbd1c…
05-14 05:54:08	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf548a0…
05-13 18:28:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x0fea6d…
05-13 18:27:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 15?	No	BUY	1,101	100¢	$1,100	0xbd41d2…
05-12 20:28:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xc36086…
05-12 20:28:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 14?	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x6c48f5…
05-12 04:17:21	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x44a3f8…
05-11 19:41:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0xd86909…
05-11 19:41:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1,101	100¢	$1,100	0x0ef511…
05-10 19:38:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x574691…
05-10 19:38:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x98fcab…
05-10 15:08:35	LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Karmine Corp	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x7a5a24…
05-10 04:55:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	1,101	100¢	$1,100	0x68fece…
05-10 04:55:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 11?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x66fbd5…
05-10 04:55:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 11?	No	BUY	601	100¢	$600	0x67663e…
05-09 07:26:08	LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x3143dd…
05-07 19:03:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x720ad6…
05-07 19:03:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,101	100¢	$1,100	0x868c16…
05-07 05:48:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xd9109a…
05-06 18:38:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0xea41d4…
05-06 18:38:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,011	100¢	$1,010	0x2b6367…
05-05 18:53:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0xee0ba2…
05-05 18:53:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	1,101	100¢	$1,100	0xf626ac…
05-05 05:27:32	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x1954b0…
05-04 19:33:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x716866…
05-04 19:33:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x1de8ef…
05-03 20:14:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	1,102	100¢	$1,100	0x128699…
05-03 20:13:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x977680…
05-02 19:53:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x2f0f34…
05-02 19:53:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0xeba17a…
05-01 19:18:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb4128f…
05-01 19:18:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x511691…
05-01 19:18:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 3?	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x03a368…
05-01 06:54:52	Will Trump say "Social Security" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdb820a…
04-30 21:14:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x8ce554…
04-30 21:14:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 2?	No	BUY	1,002	100¢	$1,000	0xb1c589…
04-29 20:10:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	1,101	100¢	$1,100	0xc687d7…
04-29 20:10:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 1?	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x653c4d…
04-28 20:02:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x705d9a…
04-28 20:01:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,002	100¢	$1,000	0x739514…
04-28 05:45:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xfe7c92…
04-27 19:15:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	1,005	100¢	$1,000	0x08d569…
04-27 19:14:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	1,003	100¢	$1,000	0x434da3…
04-27 07:37:38	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x33eaa3…
04-26 18:57:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1,002	100¢	$1,000	0xbc5740…
04-26 18:57:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1,101	100¢	$1,100	0x04b114…
04-25 21:01:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x152164…
04-25 21:00:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x8807a0…
04-25 06:35:50	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa70c43…
04-24 20:01:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x373f20…