Wild-Expectation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

138

lifetime

Volume

$102.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$743

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-10 18:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$7

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 74k on march 3	2	$2.5K	1,241	1,241	+0	open	—	03-03 15:32
bitcoin above 74k on march 4	4	$2.5K	1,242	1,242	+0	open	—	03-04 00:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 13?	2	$2.4K	1,289	1,121	+168	No	+$0	05-12 10:27
bitcoin above 78k on february 27	2	$2.0K	1,024	1,024	+0	open	—	02-27 19:03
bitcoin above 74k on february 19	3	$1.4K	684	684	+0	open	—	02-18 20:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 11?	1	$1.3K	1,286	0	+1,286	No	+$1	05-11 02:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 10?	1	$1.3K	1,284	0	+1,284	No	+$1	05-09 01:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 8?	1	$1.3K	1,283	0	+1,283	No	+$1	05-07 09:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	1	$1.3K	1,282	0	+1,282	No	+$1	05-06 03:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	1	$1.3K	1,281	0	+1,281	No	+$1	05-05 00:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?	1	$1.3K	1,279	0	+1,279	open	—	05-04 00:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 3?	1	$1.3K	1,278	0	+1,278	open	—	05-02 02:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 29?	1	$1.3K	1,277	0	+1,277	open	—	04-28 05:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 27?	1	$1.3K	1,276	0	+1,276	open	—	04-26 00:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 1?	1	$1.3K	1,270	0	+1,270	open	—	04-30 11:48
bitcoin above 84k on april 24	1	$1.3K	1,270	0	+1,270	open	—	04-24 01:09
bitcoin above 84k on april 23	1	$1.3K	1,269	0	+1,269	open	—	04-22 23:22
bitcoin above 68k on april 22	1	$1.3K	1,265	0	+1,265	open	—	04-21 21:23
bitcoin above 82k on april 21	1	$1.3K	1,264	0	+1,264	open	—	04-20 20:56
bitcoin above 66k on april 20	1	$1.3K	1,261	0	+1,261	open	—	04-19 09:00
bitcoin above 82k on april 17	1	$1.3K	1,259	0	+1,259	open	—	04-16 19:13
bitcoin above 82k on april 16	1	$1.3K	1,258	0	+1,258	open	—	04-15 19:48
bitcoin above 82k on april 15	1	$1.3K	1,257	0	+1,257	open	—	04-14 16:09
bitcoin above 64k on march 12	1	$1.3K	1,256	0	+1,256	open	—	03-11 21:56
bitcoin above 80k on march 11	1	$1.3K	1,254	0	+1,254	open	—	03-10 19:26
bitcoin above 64k on april 13	1	$1.3K	1,254	0	+1,254	open	—	04-12 19:51
bitcoin above 76k on march 10	1	$1.3K	1,252	0	+1,252	open	—	03-09 19:29
bitcoin above 64k on april 12	1	$1.3K	1,252	0	+1,252	open	—	04-11 20:09
bitcoin above 76k on march 9	1	$1.2K	1,251	0	+1,251	open	—	03-08 19:28
bitcoin above 62k on april 11	1	$1.2K	1,251	0	+1,251	open	—	04-10 19:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 18:43:37	bitcoin above 56k on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	440	100¢	$438	0x98013a…
06-09 18:43:13	bitcoin above 68k on june 10 2026	No	BUY	438	100¢	$437	0x5a37c5…
06-08 18:46:31	bitcoin above 72k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	436	100¢	$436	0xea69f8…
06-07 18:38:06	bitcoin above 68k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	437	99¢	$434	0x72e9a8…
06-06 19:04:18	bitcoin above 70k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	434	100¢	$434	0xad62d1…
06-05 19:17:27	bitcoin above 68k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	434	100¢	$433	0x2d33d3…
06-04 01:43:01	bitcoin above 76k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	432	100¢	$432	0x81913e…
06-02 19:12:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	432	100¢	$431	0x73b59f…
06-01 20:01:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	431	100¢	$430	0xb4de40…
05-30 06:02:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	429	100¢	$428	0x44a140…
05-27 05:01:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	428	100¢	$427	0xeadd16…
05-25 09:36:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	1,026	100¢	$1,022	0xedcfad…
05-23 02:54:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	601	100¢	$600	0x512aab…
05-21 13:58:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	1,023	100¢	$1,022	0x76d4aa…
05-19 04:44:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	1,021	100¢	$1,018	0xcc717c…
05-17 02:34:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	1,019	100¢	$1,018	0x3c4633…
05-15 01:19:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	1,018	100¢	$1,017	0x1b0a65…
05-12 10:27:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	1,121	100¢	$1,119	0xc76ea0…
05-12 01:12:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	1,289	100¢	$1,286	0x8e1ee2…
05-11 02:14:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	1,286	100¢	$1,285	0x4ad293…
05-09 01:40:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	1,284	100¢	$1,283	0x70d8f8…
05-07 09:40:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	1,283	100¢	$1,282	0x8995ea…
05-06 03:06:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	1,282	100¢	$1,281	0x7b9c47…
05-05 00:54:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	1,281	100¢	$1,280	0x50d44d…
05-04 00:55:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	1,279	100¢	$1,278	0x382b10…
05-02 02:15:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	1,278	100¢	$1,277	0x3cff7c…
04-30 11:48:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	1,270	100¢	$1,269	0x6991bd…
04-28 05:02:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	1,277	100¢	$1,276	0x38ea53…
04-26 00:17:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	1,276	99¢	$1,270	0xd5172a…
04-24 01:09:22	bitcoin above 84k on april 24	No	BUY	1,270	100¢	$1,268	0x2c840d…
04-22 23:22:42	bitcoin above 84k on april 23	No	BUY	1,269	100¢	$1,265	0x436b7b…
04-21 21:23:48	bitcoin above 68k on april 22	Yes	BUY	1,265	100¢	$1,264	0x173da5…
04-20 20:56:32	bitcoin above 82k on april 21	No	BUY	1,264	100¢	$1,261	0x9d35eb…
04-19 09:00:10	bitcoin above 66k on april 20	Yes	BUY	1,261	100¢	$1,260	0xd06949…
04-17 20:24:44	bitcoin above 70k on april 18	Yes	BUY	1,202	100¢	$1,200	0x7753c9…
04-16 19:13:32	bitcoin above 82k on april 17	No	BUY	1,259	100¢	$1,257	0x4a40c0…
04-15 19:48:18	bitcoin above 82k on april 16	No	BUY	1,258	100¢	$1,256	0xe5dc41…
04-14 16:09:23	bitcoin above 82k on april 15	No	BUY	1,257	100¢	$1,254	0xaa5965…
04-12 19:51:49	bitcoin above 64k on april 13	Yes	BUY	1,254	100¢	$1,252	0x51b8c3…
04-11 20:09:37	bitcoin above 64k on april 12	Yes	BUY	1,252	100¢	$1,250	0xd3bdd5…
04-10 19:23:47	bitcoin above 62k on april 11	Yes	BUY	1,251	100¢	$1,249	0x0de592…
04-09 19:44:55	bitcoin above 62k on april 10	Yes	BUY	1,249	100¢	$1,248	0x47dd05…
04-08 20:30:43	bitcoin above 62k on april 9	Yes	BUY	1,248	100¢	$1,247	0xda0a3c…
04-07 20:02:13	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	No	BUY	1,247	100¢	$1,246	0xddece6…
04-06 23:34:17	bitcoin above 76k on april 7	No	BUY	1,246	100¢	$1,245	0x11b2e2…
04-05 18:54:51	bitcoin above 74k on april 6	No	BUY	1,245	100¢	$1,242	0x43c630…
04-04 08:37:53	bitcoin above 74k on april 5	No	BUY	1,242	100¢	$1,241	0x22f4dc…
04-02 19:01:53	bitcoin above 58k on april 3	Yes	BUY	1,241	100¢	$1,240	0xe9aaad…
04-01 19:25:59	bitcoin above 74k on april 2	No	BUY	1,240	100¢	$1,238	0xf40c6e…
03-31 19:35:01	bitcoin above 76k on april 1	No	BUY	1,238	100¢	$1,237	0x38e365…
03-30 19:01:31	bitcoin above 72k on march 31	No	BUY	1,237	100¢	$1,234	0xd0b3ab…
03-29 19:08:56	bitcoin above 72k on march 30	No	BUY	1,234	100¢	$1,230	0x5ac1d4…
03-28 19:40:48	bitcoin above 74k on march 29	No	BUY	1,230	100¢	$1,229	0x1a3e12…
03-28 05:23:55	bitcoin above 60k on march 28	Yes	BUY	1,229	100¢	$1,228	0xac6cf8…
03-26 19:33:55	bitcoin above 76k on march 27	No	BUY	1,228	100¢	$1,227	0x1571c5…
03-25 19:25:39	bitcoin above 78k on march 26	No	BUY	1,227	100¢	$1,225	0x78483f…
03-24 20:17:21	bitcoin above 76k on march 25	No	BUY	1,225	100¢	$1,224	0xba8669…
03-23 23:48:53	bitcoin above 78k on march 24	No	BUY	1,224	100¢	$1,223	0x33c55f…
03-23 03:05:43	bitcoin above 74k on march 23	No	BUY	1,223	100¢	$1,222	0x2d9d8b…
03-21 02:12:51	bitcoin above 80k on march 22	No	BUY	1,222	100¢	$1,219	0x6c9ab8…
03-19 04:02:23	bitcoin above 82k on march 20	No	BUY	1,219	100¢	$1,218	0xe80061…
03-18 02:24:41	bitcoin above 80k on march 18	No	BUY	1,218	100¢	$1,217	0x909686…
03-17 00:24:47	bitcoin above 82k on march 17	No	BUY	1,217	100¢	$1,216	0x487421…
03-15 05:58:07	bitcoin above 64k on march 16	Yes	BUY	1,216	100¢	$1,214	0x8cc0e1…
03-13 23:35:33	bitcoin above 78k on march 14	No	BUY	1,214	100¢	$1,213	0x21181a…
03-13 10:10:35	bitcoin above 64k on march 13	Yes	BUY	1,213	100¢	$1,212	0xa644ea…
03-11 21:56:31	bitcoin above 64k on march 12	Yes	BUY	1,256	100¢	$1,254	0x492a1e…
03-10 19:26:11	bitcoin above 80k on march 11	No	BUY	1,254	100¢	$1,252	0x47d508…
03-09 19:29:55	bitcoin above 76k on march 10	No	BUY	1,252	100¢	$1,251	0xedda42…
03-08 19:28:33	bitcoin above 76k on march 9	No	BUY	1,251	100¢	$1,250	0x490ce0…
03-07 20:30:55	bitcoin above 60k on march 8	Yes	BUY	1,250	100¢	$1,247	0x765ea9…
03-06 19:47:41	bitcoin above 76k on march 7	No	BUY	1,247	100¢	$1,246	0x088915…
03-05 19:57:27	bitcoin above 62k on march 6	Yes	BUY	1,246	100¢	$1,241	0xc1689f…
03-04 19:49:31	bitcoin above 62k on march 5	Yes	BUY	1,241	100¢	$1,239	0xf9e908…
03-04 00:40:41	bitcoin above 76k on march 4	No	BUY	1,239	100¢	$1,237	0x473dd0…
03-04 00:39:11	bitcoin above 74k on march 4	No	SELL	545	100¢	$543	0xd8dc34…
03-04 00:37:35	bitcoin above 74k on march 4	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0xb93e6b…
03-04 00:24:23	bitcoin above 74k on march 4	No	SELL	497	100¢	$495	0x7b26d2…
03-03 15:33:09	bitcoin above 74k on march 4	No	BUY	1,242	100¢	$1,240	0xb944fb…
03-03 15:32:53	bitcoin above 74k on march 3	No	SELL	1,241	100¢	$1,240	0x17abfc…
03-02 10:37:17	bitcoin above 74k on march 3	No	BUY	1,241	100¢	$1,237	0x478d0e…
02-28 21:32:11	bitcoin above 74k on march 1	No	BUY	1,237	100¢	$1,235	0x06c2c5…
02-27 19:04:23	bitcoin above 78k on february 28	No	BUY	1,235	100¢	$1,233	0x7ef622…
02-27 19:03:23	bitcoin above 78k on february 27	No	SELL	1,024	100¢	$1,023	0x6eea81…
02-24 22:52:18	bitcoin above 78k on february 27	No	BUY	1,024	100¢	$1,022	0x1b7f83…
02-23 21:22:06	bitcoin above 72k on february 24	No	BUY	1,232	100¢	$1,231	0xf97f71…
02-22 21:35:58	bitcoin above 74k on february 23	No	BUY	1,231	100¢	$1,230	0x85917a…
02-20 22:37:58	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	No	SELL	150	1¢	$2	0x400885…
02-19 20:52:14	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	No	BUY	115	2¢	$2	0x7f8e6f…
02-19 20:52:10	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x362835…
02-19 20:38:18	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x8951f4…
02-19 20:21:24	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	No	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x0821a4…
02-19 09:51:50	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	No	SELL	150	2¢	$3	0x2cf7d1…
02-19 01:12:54	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	No	BUY	120	2¢	$2	0x1bd2fc…
02-19 01:12:16	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	No	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xb7e513…
02-18 20:11:30	bitcoin above 74k on february 19	No	SELL	684	100¢	$683	0x8f4b61…
02-18 19:41:04	bitcoin above 74k on february 19	No	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0x3d590f…
02-18 19:29:44	bitcoin above 74k on february 19	No	BUY	183	100¢	$182	0xd02298…
02-16 19:39:21	bitcoin above 74k on february 17	No	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0x2a1f6b…
02-15 20:20:09	bitcoin above 76k on february 16	No	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0xd01080…